XRP价格预测：Ripple Labs的本地令牌是否会从最近37％的崩溃中反弹？

Ripple以转变全球付款和汇款而闻名，最近几个月来经历了巨大的起伏。

In the swirling cauldron of cryptocurrency, few assets have commanded as much attention as XRP, the native token of global payments behemoth Ripple. Known for its cutting-edge technology and vision to revolutionize cross-border remittances, Ripple has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months. After a thrilling surge to $3.4 in January, the price of XRP has crashed by over 37%, recently hitting lows of around $2. This dramatic drop has left many wondering what the future holds for XRP in April and beyond.

在加密货币的旋转大锅中，很少有资产像XRP一样受到全球支付庞然大物波纹的原住民标志的关注。 Ripple以彻底改变跨境汇款的尖端技术和愿景而闻名，近几个月来经历了过山车的骑行。在一月份的激动人心达到3.4美元之后，XRP的价格上涨了37％以上，最近跌至2美元左右。这种戏剧性的下降使许多人想知道4月及以后XRP的未来如何。

After a stellar first quarter that saw the resolution of its long-running legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a surge in interest from financial institutions regarding a potential spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), the outlook for the cryptocurrency remains uncertain.

在获得了与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的长期法律斗争以及金融机构对潜在现场XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）的利益激增的一场出色的第一季度之后，对加密货币的前景仍然不确定。

To fully understand the implications of this crash and what it could mean for the future of XRP, let’s delve into the events that led up to this point and the factors that could influence the price of XRP in April.

为了充分了解这次崩溃的含义及其对XRP的未来意味着什么，让我们深入研究导致这一点的事件以及可能影响4月XRP价格的因素。

A Quarter of Legal Victories and Unfulfilled Potential Despite the hype surrounding a potential price breakout to $5 or higher earlier this year, fueled by rumors of a pending Bitcoin price prediction from Cathie Wood and a rally in the broader cryptocurrency market, the story of XRP in Q1 ultimately unfolded quite differently.

尽管有传言说，尽管有传言称，凯西·伍德（Cathie Wood）的悬而未决的比特币价格预测以及在更广泛的加密货币市场上的集会，但在今年早些时候的潜在价格突破到今年早些时候的炒作却涉及到今年早些时候的50次胜利和未实现的潜力，这是Q1中XRP的故事最终截然不同。

After years of legal woes and a threat of a complete ban on U.S. participation in the blockchain and crypto industry, the SEC finally settled its case with Ripple. The case, which began in December 2020 with the SEC’s accusations that Ripple Labs had sold unregistered securities to investors when it raised billions in 2013, revolved around the classification of XRP. The SEC maintained that XRP, as a digital asset, should be classified as a security, rendering it subject to strict regulatory oversight.

经过多年的法律困境以及完全禁止美国参与区块链和加密行业的威胁，SEC终于与Ripple解决了案子。该案始于2020年12月，当时SEC指控Ripple Labs在2013年筹集了数十亿美元时已将未注册的证券出售给了未注册的证券，围绕XRP的分类。 SEC坚持认为，XRP作为数字资产，应将其归类为安全性，并进行严格的监管监督。

However, Judge Analisa Torres ruled in favor of Ripple, deciding that XRP sold to individuals was not a security. This ruling was a major win for Ripple and its supporters, as it set a precedent for how regulators may treat similar cases in the future. Nonetheless, the case wasn’t entirely settled in Ripple’s favor. While the court agreed with Ripple on the securities issue, it also ruled that the company had violated certain laws and imposed a $250 million fine on the company.

但是，Analisa Torres法官裁定支持Ripple，认为将XRP卖给个人不是安全。这项裁决是Ripple及其支持者的重大胜利，因为它为监管机构将来如何治疗类似案件树立了先例。尽管如此，此案并不完全解决Ripple的支持。尽管法院在证券问题上同意Ripple，但它还裁定该公司违反了某些法律，并向公司罚款2.5亿美元。

This legal battle had a significant impact on the price of XRP. As the case progressed, there were hopes that a swift settlement could lead to a surge in the price of XRP. However, despite securing a favorable ruling on the securities issue, the final verdict wasn’t entirely positive for Ripple.

这场法律斗争对XRP的价格产生了重大影响。随着案件的进行，人们希望迅速的和解可以导致XRP的价格上涨。但是，尽管对证券问题做出了有利的裁决，但最终的判决并不完全是积极的。

After months of legal back-and-forth, both the SEC and Ripple agreed to settle the case in March, with the SEC withdrawing its appeal. Ultimately, Ripple will pay $50 million in fines and the SEC will not pursue further action, bringing a conclusion to one of the most closely watched cases in the cryptocurrency industry.

经过几个月的来回法律，SEC和Ripple都同意在3月解决此案，而SEC撤回了上诉。最终，Ripple将支付5,000万美元的罚款，而SEC将不会采取进一步的行动，从而为加密货币行业中最密切关注的案件之一得出结论。

This finality in the case could be crucial for Ripple to move forward and forge partnerships with U.S.-based companies that had previously been hesitant to get involved due to the pending litigation. As Ripple seeks to expand its footprint and compete with traditional financial networks like SWIFT, this newfound freedom from legal constraints could be pivotal in its long-term success.

该案的这种终结性对于Ripple的前进并与美国公司建立合作伙伴关系至关重要，这些公司以前犹豫不决，由于未决诉讼。随着Ripple试图扩大其足迹并与Swift等传统金融网络竞争，这种新发现的不受法律约束的自由可能在其长期成功方面至关重要。

A Game-Changer: Towards Institutional Involvement with a Spot XRP ETF

改变游戏规则：与Spot XRP ETF进行机构参与

Another noteworthy development for Ripple in the first quarter was the surge in interest from financial institutions regarding a potential spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Several major firms, including Canary, Fidelity, and Grayscale, have applied for approval to launch a spot XRP ETF.

第一季度Ripple的另一个值得注意的发展是金融机构对潜在XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）的利益激增。包括Canary，Fidelity和Grayscale在内的几家主要公司已申请批准推出XRP ETF。

The approval of such an ETF would be a game-changer for Ripple, as it would open the door to institutional investors, who have been hesitant to invest in XRP due to regulatory concerns. However, the odds of the SEC approving a spot XRP ETF in the near future remain high, with analysts estimating a probability of 85% or more.

这种ETF的批准将是Ripple的游戏规则改变者，因为它将为机构投资者打开大门，由于监管问题，他们一直不愿投资于XRP。但是，SEC在不久的将来批准XRP ETF的几率仍然很高，分析师估计概率为85％或更多。

Such approval could provide a significant boost to XRP’s liquidity and market visibility, paving the way for more capital inflows from Wall Street and beyond. If the ETF approval comes to fruition in April or the second quarter, it could provide a strong catalyst for XRP’s price to recover from its current slump.

这种认可可以显着提高XRP的流动性和市场知名度，为从华尔街及以后的更多资本流入铺平道路。如果ETF批准在4月或第二季度实现，则可以为XRP的价格从其目前的低迷中恢复过来提供强大的催化剂。

Network Growth and New Use Cases on the XRP Ledger

XRP分类帐中的网络增长和新用例

XRP’s price isn’t the only aspect of Ripple’s business that has shown positive growth in Q1. The XRP Ledger, the blockchain that powers XRP and various other Ripple-based projects, has also seen interesting developments.

XRP的价格并不是Ripple业务的唯一方面，它在第一季度表现出正增长。 XRP Ledger是为XRP提供动力的区块链和其他各种基于波纹的项目，也看到了有趣的发展。

Most notably, Ripple USD (RLUSD), a stablecoin issued on the XRP Ledger, has experienced impressive growth, with its market cap reaching $243 million in Q1, cementing its position as one of the more popular stablecoins within the industry.

最值得注意的是，在XRP Ledger上发行的Stablecoin Ripple USD（RLUSD）经历了令人印象深刻的增长，其市值在第一季度达到了2.43亿美元，巩固了其作为该行业中最受欢迎的Stablecoins之一的地位。

Additionally, other major players within the XRP Ledger ecosystem, such as Sologenic, Coreum, and Salute, have contributed to the network’s expansion

此外，XRP Ledger生态系统中的其他主要参与者（例如Sologenic，Coreum和Salute）为网络的扩展做出了贡献