XRP價格預測：Ripple Labs的本地令牌是否會從最近37％的崩潰中反彈？

Ripple以轉變全球付款和匯款而聞名，最近幾個月來經歷了巨大的起伏。

In the swirling cauldron of cryptocurrency, few assets have commanded as much attention as XRP, the native token of global payments behemoth Ripple. Known for its cutting-edge technology and vision to revolutionize cross-border remittances, Ripple has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months. After a thrilling surge to $3.4 in January, the price of XRP has crashed by over 37%, recently hitting lows of around $2. This dramatic drop has left many wondering what the future holds for XRP in April and beyond.

在加密貨幣的旋轉大鍋中，很少有資產像XRP一樣受到全球支付龐然大物波紋的原住民標誌的關注。 Ripple以徹底改變跨境匯款的尖端技術和願景而聞名，近幾個月來經歷了過山車的騎行。在一月份的激動人心達到3.4美元之後，XRP的價格上漲了37％以上，最近跌至2美元左右。這種戲劇性的下降使許多人想知道4月及以後XRP的未來如何。

After a stellar first quarter that saw the resolution of its long-running legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a surge in interest from financial institutions regarding a potential spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), the outlook for the cryptocurrency remains uncertain.

在獲得了與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的長期法律鬥爭以及金融機構對潛在現場XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）的利益激增的一場出色的第一季度之後，對加密貨幣的前景仍然不確定。

To fully understand the implications of this crash and what it could mean for the future of XRP, let’s delve into the events that led up to this point and the factors that could influence the price of XRP in April.

為了充分了解這次崩潰的含義及其對XRP的未來意味著什麼，讓我們深入研究導致這一點的事件以及可能影響4月XRP價格的因素。

A Quarter of Legal Victories and Unfulfilled Potential Despite the hype surrounding a potential price breakout to $5 or higher earlier this year, fueled by rumors of a pending Bitcoin price prediction from Cathie Wood and a rally in the broader cryptocurrency market, the story of XRP in Q1 ultimately unfolded quite differently.

儘管有傳言說，儘管有傳言稱，凱西·伍德（Cathie Wood）的懸而未決的比特幣價格預測以及在更廣泛的加密貨幣市場上的集會，但在今年早些時候的潛在價格突破到今年早些時候的炒作卻涉及到今年早些時候的50次勝利和未實現的潛力，這是Q1中XRP的故事最終截然不同。

After years of legal woes and a threat of a complete ban on U.S. participation in the blockchain and crypto industry, the SEC finally settled its case with Ripple. The case, which began in December 2020 with the SEC’s accusations that Ripple Labs had sold unregistered securities to investors when it raised billions in 2013, revolved around the classification of XRP. The SEC maintained that XRP, as a digital asset, should be classified as a security, rendering it subject to strict regulatory oversight.

經過多年的法律困境以及完全禁止美國參與區塊鍊和加密行業的威脅，SEC終於與Ripple解決了案子。該案始於2020年12月，當時SEC指控Ripple Labs在2013年籌集了數十億美元時已將未註冊的證券出售給了未註冊的證券，圍繞XRP的分類。 SEC堅持認為，XRP作為數字資產，應將其歸類為安全性，並進行嚴格的監管監督。

However, Judge Analisa Torres ruled in favor of Ripple, deciding that XRP sold to individuals was not a security. This ruling was a major win for Ripple and its supporters, as it set a precedent for how regulators may treat similar cases in the future. Nonetheless, the case wasn’t entirely settled in Ripple’s favor. While the court agreed with Ripple on the securities issue, it also ruled that the company had violated certain laws and imposed a $250 million fine on the company.

但是，Analisa Torres法官裁定支持Ripple，認為將XRP賣給個人不是安全。這項裁決是Ripple及其支持者的重大勝利，因為它為監管機構將來如何治療類似案件樹立了先例。儘管如此，此案並不完全解決Ripple的支持。儘管法院在證券問題上同意Ripple，但它還裁定該公司違反了某些法律，並向公司罰款2.5億美元。

This legal battle had a significant impact on the price of XRP. As the case progressed, there were hopes that a swift settlement could lead to a surge in the price of XRP. However, despite securing a favorable ruling on the securities issue, the final verdict wasn’t entirely positive for Ripple.

這場法律鬥爭對XRP的價格產生了重大影響。隨著案件的進行，人們希望迅速的和解可以導致XRP的價格上漲。但是，儘管對證券問題做出了有利的裁決，但最終的判決並不完全是積極的。

After months of legal back-and-forth, both the SEC and Ripple agreed to settle the case in March, with the SEC withdrawing its appeal. Ultimately, Ripple will pay $50 million in fines and the SEC will not pursue further action, bringing a conclusion to one of the most closely watched cases in the cryptocurrency industry.

經過幾個月的來回法律，SEC和Ripple都同意在3月解決此案，而SEC撤回了上訴。最終，Ripple將支付5,000萬美元的罰款，而SEC將不會採取進一步的行動，從而為加密貨幣行業中最密切關注的案件之一得出結論。

This finality in the case could be crucial for Ripple to move forward and forge partnerships with U.S.-based companies that had previously been hesitant to get involved due to the pending litigation. As Ripple seeks to expand its footprint and compete with traditional financial networks like SWIFT, this newfound freedom from legal constraints could be pivotal in its long-term success.

該案的這種終結性對於Ripple的前進並與美國公司建立合作夥伴關係至關重要，這些公司以前猶豫不決，由於未決訴訟。隨著Ripple試圖擴大其足跡並與Swift等傳統金融網絡競爭，這種新發現的不受法律約束的自由可能在其長期成功方面至關重要。

A Game-Changer: Towards Institutional Involvement with a Spot XRP ETF

改變遊戲規則：與Spot XRP ETF進行機構參與

Another noteworthy development for Ripple in the first quarter was the surge in interest from financial institutions regarding a potential spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Several major firms, including Canary, Fidelity, and Grayscale, have applied for approval to launch a spot XRP ETF.

第一季度Ripple的另一個值得注意的發展是金融機構對潛在XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）的利益激增。包括Canary，Fidelity和Grayscale在內的幾家主要公司已申請批准推出XRP ETF。

The approval of such an ETF would be a game-changer for Ripple, as it would open the door to institutional investors, who have been hesitant to invest in XRP due to regulatory concerns. However, the odds of the SEC approving a spot XRP ETF in the near future remain high, with analysts estimating a probability of 85% or more.

這種ETF的批准將是Ripple的遊戲規則改變者，因為它將為機構投資者打開大門，由於監管問題，他們一直不願投資於XRP。但是，SEC在不久的將來批准XRP ETF的機率仍然很高，分析師估計概率為85％或更多。

Such approval could provide a significant boost to XRP’s liquidity and market visibility, paving the way for more capital inflows from Wall Street and beyond. If the ETF approval comes to fruition in April or the second quarter, it could provide a strong catalyst for XRP’s price to recover from its current slump.

這種認可可以顯著提高XRP的流動性和市場知名度，為從華爾街及以後的更多資本流入鋪平道路。如果ETF批准在4月或第二季度實現，則可以為XRP的價格從其目前的低迷中恢復過來提供強大的催化劑。

Network Growth and New Use Cases on the XRP Ledger

XRP分類帳中的網絡增長和新用例

XRP’s price isn’t the only aspect of Ripple’s business that has shown positive growth in Q1. The XRP Ledger, the blockchain that powers XRP and various other Ripple-based projects, has also seen interesting developments.

XRP的價格並不是Ripple業務的唯一方面，它在第一季度表現出正增長。 XRP Ledger是為XRP提供動力的區塊鍊和其他各種基於波紋的項目，也看到了有趣的發展。

Most notably, Ripple USD (RLUSD), a stablecoin issued on the XRP Ledger, has experienced impressive growth, with its market cap reaching $243 million in Q1, cementing its position as one of the more popular stablecoins within the industry.

最值得注意的是，在XRP Ledger上發行的Stablecoin Ripple USD（RLUSD）經歷了令人印象深刻的增長，其市值在第一季度達到了2.43億美元，鞏固了其作為該行業中最受歡迎的Stablecoins之一的地位。

Additionally, other major players within the XRP Ledger ecosystem, such as Sologenic, Coreum, and Salute, have contributed to the network’s expansion

此外，XRP Ledger生態系統中的其他主要參與者（例如Sologenic，Coreum和Salute）為網絡的擴展做出了貢獻