XRP价格预测：增加压力可能会使XRP降低20％

XRP的价格处于越来越大的压力下，技术和基本指标都表明了巨大的衰退。

The price of XRP is coming under increasing pressure as technical and fundamental indicators point to a potential 20% drop. A symmetrical triangle pattern has emerged on the XRP/USD weekly chart, signaling a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers, which could result in a breakout or breakdown.

由于技术和基本指标表明潜在的20％下降，XRP的价格正处于越来越大的压力下。 XRP/USD每周图表中出现了对称的三角形模式，这标志着买卖双方之间犹豫不决的阶段，这可能导致突破或分解。

Historically, symmetrical triangles have led to significant price movements, with large rallies or sharp declines ensuing. For instance, during the 2018 crypto market crash, Ethereum formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which was followed by an 80% plummet from the breakout point.

从历史上看，对称的三角形导致了巨大的价格变动，随之而来的是大型集会或急剧下降。例如，在2018年加密货币市场崩溃期间，以太坊形成了一种对称的三角形模式，随后从突破点开始下降80％。

If we apply the same logic to XRP, which is currently trading at $1.80, a bearish breakout would likely drive prices to $1.46. This price level coincides with the 50-week exponential moving average, adding another layer of technical relevance to this key support zone.

如果我们将相同的逻辑应用于目前以1.80美元的价格交易的XRP，则看跌的突破可能会使价格提高到1.46美元。这个价格水平与50周的指数移动平均线相吻合，为该关键支持区增加了另一层技术相关性。

If the price of XRP breaks down from the symmetrical triangle, we could see a rapid selloff as traders react to this bearish development. In addition, the Trump administration recently clarified its stance on cryptocurrencies, which could put further downward pressure on XRP.

如果XRP的价格从对称的三角形中降低，那么随着交易者对这种看跌的发展做出反应，我们会看到迅速的抛售。此外，特朗普政府最近阐明了其对加密货币的立场，这可能会对XRP造成进一步的向下压力。

During a recent crypto summit at the White House, investors had expressed interest in learning which coins the administration is considering for the U.S. strategic crypto reserve.

在白宫最近举行的加密峰会上，投资者表示有兴趣学习政府正在考虑美国战略加密储备的兴趣。

While coins like Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano were mentioned, there was no official endorsement from the Trump administration. Furthermore, there is no evidence to suggest that the U.S. government is investing in any altcoins.

尽管提到了以太坊，索拉纳和卡尔达诺这样的硬币，但特朗普政府没有正式认可。此外，没有证据表明美国政府正在投资任何Altcoins。

On the other hand, the administration confirmed that the U.S. government has been accumulating Bitcoin (BTC) since 2024, and the current total BTC holdings are valued at $17.7 billion. This disparity in institutional investment could put additional downward pressure on XRP as it struggles to maintain relevance in the broader market.

另一方面，政府确认，自2024年以来，美国政府一直在积累比特币（BTC），目前的BTC总股份的价值为177亿美元。机构投资的这种差异可能会给XRP带来额外的向下压力，因为它努力保持在更广阔的市场中的相关性。

The XRP/BTC pair is currently trading within a critical distribution zone, and the 200-week exponential moving average stands at 2,459 satoshis. A break below this key level could open the door for an even steeper decline in the XRP price, potentially pushing it toward 1,700 satoshis.

XRP/BTC对当前正在关键的分销区内进行交易，200周的指数移动平均值为2,459 satoshis。低于此钥匙水平的突破可能会使XRP价格下降甚至更高，从而将其推向1,700 Satoshis。

This scenario would exacerbate the bearish sentiment surrounding XRP and further widen the gap between XRP and Bitcoin in terms of institutional preference.

这种情况将加剧围绕XRP的看跌情绪，并进一步扩大XRP和比特币之间的差距。

Another worrisome signal for XRP is the recent spike in trading volumes, which is unfolding in the midst of bearish market conditions. Crypto analyst Martunn notes that XRP is currently undergoing a distribution phase, with large investors (whales) engaging in a massive sell-off of their XRP holdings following a huge price rally.

XRP的另一个令人担忧的信号是最近在交易量的飙升，在看跌市场条件中正在发生。加密分析师Martunn指出，XRP目前正在经历分销阶段，大型投资者（鲸鱼）在大量的价格集会后大规模卖出了其XRP控股。

Since November 2024, XRP has experienced a surge of 600%, which has attracted a wave of retail investors into the market. However, as of the third quarter of 2024, whale wallets holding more than 1 million XRP have seen their balances decrease.

自2024年11月以来，XRP经历了600％的增长，这吸引了一波零售投资者进入市场。但是，截至2024年的第三季度，拥有超过100万XRP的鲸鱼钱包的平衡降低了。

Over the course of a year, these major investors have sold a significant portion of their XRP holdings, with their collective balance decreasing from 94.21 billion XRP to 90.21 billion XRP. This mass liquidation has effectively erased the post-election “Trump pump” gains that were crucial in fueling XRP’s price surge.

在一年的过程中，这些主要投资者已出售了XRP持有的很大一部分，其集体余额从942.1亿XRP降低到902.1亿XRP。这种大规模清算有效地消除了大选后的“特朗普泵”收益，这对于加油XRP的价格涨幅至关重要。

The decreasing whale accumulation suggests that major investors are positioning themselves for a potential downturn, increasing the likelihood of a correction toward the $1.46 support level. If this selling trend persists, it could lead to a liquidity crunch, exacerbating the downward price movement.

鲸鱼的积累下降表明，主要投资者正在为潜在的衰退而定位，这增加了对1.46美元的支持水平进行更正的可能性。如果这种销售趋势持续存在，它可能会导致流动性紧缩，加剧下降价格转移。

However, there is still a slight chance for a bullish breakout from the symmetrical triangle if the broader crypto market experiences a shift in technical trends. A renewed focus from major institutions, increased adoption rates, or positive regulatory developments could create the momentum needed to push prices upward.

但是，如果更广泛的加密货币市场经历技术趋势的转变，则仍然有一个少量的看涨对称三角形的机会。主要机构的重新关注，提高的采用率或积极的监管发展可能会创造出向上推动价格所需的势头。

Additionally, the price action of Bitcoin will be critical in determining the fate of XRP. If BTC manages to rally from current price levels, it could provide support for other cryptocurrencies like XRP and mitigate some of the expected downside risks.

此外，比特币的价格动作对于确定XRP的命运至关重要。如果BTC设法从目前的价格水平召集，则可以为XRP等其他加密货币提供支持，并减轻一些预期的下行风险。

But current technical indicators and fundamental factors suggest a bearish outlook for XRP. The symmetrical triangle pattern, the Trump administration’s stance on crypto, and the surge in XRP trading volume all point to a potential 20% drop in the coming weeks.

但是当前的技术指标和基本因素表明XRP的看跌前景。对称的三角形模式，特朗普政府对加密货币的立场以及XRP交易量的激增都表明未来几周的可能下降了20％。

Investors should be prepared for increased volatility and monitor these technical and fundamental factors closely as XRP navigates these turbulent market conditions.

当XRP导航这些动荡的市场条件时，投资者应为增加波动率的增加并密切监视这些技术和基本因素。