XRP價格預測：增加壓力可能會使XRP降低20％

XRP的價格處於越來越大的壓力下，技術和基本指標都表明了巨大的衰退。

The price of XRP is coming under increasing pressure as technical and fundamental indicators point to a potential 20% drop. A symmetrical triangle pattern has emerged on the XRP/USD weekly chart, signaling a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers, which could result in a breakout or breakdown.

由於技術和基本指標表明潛在的20％下降，XRP的價格正處於越來越大的壓力下。 XRP/USD每週圖表中出現了對稱的三角形模式，這標誌著買賣雙方之間猶豫不決的階段，這可能導致突破或分解。

Historically, symmetrical triangles have led to significant price movements, with large rallies or sharp declines ensuing. For instance, during the 2018 crypto market crash, Ethereum formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which was followed by an 80% plummet from the breakout point.

從歷史上看，對稱的三角形導致了巨大的價格變動，隨之而來的是大型集會或急劇下降。例如，在2018年加密貨幣市場崩潰期間，以太坊形成了一種對稱的三角形模式，隨後從突破點開始下降80％。

If we apply the same logic to XRP, which is currently trading at $1.80, a bearish breakout would likely drive prices to $1.46. This price level coincides with the 50-week exponential moving average, adding another layer of technical relevance to this key support zone.

如果我們將相同的邏輯應用於目前以1.80美元的價格交易的XRP，則看跌的突破可能會使價格提高到1.46美元。這個價格水平與50週的指數移動平均線相吻合，為該關鍵支持區增加了另一層技術相關性。

If the price of XRP breaks down from the symmetrical triangle, we could see a rapid selloff as traders react to this bearish development. In addition, the Trump administration recently clarified its stance on cryptocurrencies, which could put further downward pressure on XRP.

如果XRP的價格從對稱的三角形中降低，那麼隨著交易者對這種看跌的發展做出反應，我們會看到迅速的拋售。此外，特朗普政府最近闡明了其對加密貨幣的立場，這可能會對XRP造成進一步的向下壓力。

During a recent crypto summit at the White House, investors had expressed interest in learning which coins the administration is considering for the U.S. strategic crypto reserve.

在白宮最近舉行的加密峰會上，投資者表示有興趣學習政府正在考慮美國戰略加密儲備的興趣。

While coins like Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano were mentioned, there was no official endorsement from the Trump administration. Furthermore, there is no evidence to suggest that the U.S. government is investing in any altcoins.

儘管提到了以太坊，索拉納和卡爾達諾這樣的硬幣，但特朗普政府沒有正式認可。此外，沒有證據表明美國政府正在投資任何Altcoins。

On the other hand, the administration confirmed that the U.S. government has been accumulating Bitcoin (BTC) since 2024, and the current total BTC holdings are valued at $17.7 billion. This disparity in institutional investment could put additional downward pressure on XRP as it struggles to maintain relevance in the broader market.

另一方面，政府確認，自2024年以來，美國政府一直在積累比特幣（BTC），目前的BTC總股份的價值為177億美元。機構投資的這種差異可能會給XRP帶來額外的向下壓力，因為它努力保持在更廣闊的市場中的相關性。

The XRP/BTC pair is currently trading within a critical distribution zone, and the 200-week exponential moving average stands at 2,459 satoshis. A break below this key level could open the door for an even steeper decline in the XRP price, potentially pushing it toward 1,700 satoshis.

XRP/BTC對當前正在關鍵的分銷區內進行交易，200週的指數移動平均值為2,459 satoshis。低於此鑰匙水平的突破可能會使XRP價格下降甚至更高，從而將其推向1,700 Satoshis。

This scenario would exacerbate the bearish sentiment surrounding XRP and further widen the gap between XRP and Bitcoin in terms of institutional preference.

這種情況將加劇圍繞XRP的看跌情緒，並進一步擴大XRP和比特幣之間的差距。

Another worrisome signal for XRP is the recent spike in trading volumes, which is unfolding in the midst of bearish market conditions. Crypto analyst Martunn notes that XRP is currently undergoing a distribution phase, with large investors (whales) engaging in a massive sell-off of their XRP holdings following a huge price rally.

XRP的另一個令人擔憂的信號是最近在交易量的飆升，在看跌市場條件中正在發生。加密分析師Martunn指出，XRP目前正在經歷分銷階段，大型投資者（鯨魚）在大量的價格集會後大規模賣出了其XRP控股。

Since November 2024, XRP has experienced a surge of 600%, which has attracted a wave of retail investors into the market. However, as of the third quarter of 2024, whale wallets holding more than 1 million XRP have seen their balances decrease.

自2024年11月以來，XRP經歷了600％的增長，這吸引了一波零售投資者進入市場。但是，截至2024年的第三季度，擁有超過100萬XRP的鯨魚錢包的平衡降低了。

Over the course of a year, these major investors have sold a significant portion of their XRP holdings, with their collective balance decreasing from 94.21 billion XRP to 90.21 billion XRP. This mass liquidation has effectively erased the post-election “Trump pump” gains that were crucial in fueling XRP’s price surge.

在一年的過程中，這些主要投資者已出售了XRP持有的很大一部分，其集體餘額從942.1億XRP降低到902.1億XRP。這種大規模清算有效地消除了大選後的“特朗普泵”收益，這對於加油XRP的價格漲幅至關重要。

The decreasing whale accumulation suggests that major investors are positioning themselves for a potential downturn, increasing the likelihood of a correction toward the $1.46 support level. If this selling trend persists, it could lead to a liquidity crunch, exacerbating the downward price movement.

鯨魚的積累下降表明，主要投資者正在為潛在的衰退而定位，這增加了對1.46美元的支持水平進行更正的可能性。如果這種銷售趨勢持續存在，它可能會導致流動性緊縮，加劇下降價格轉移。

However, there is still a slight chance for a bullish breakout from the symmetrical triangle if the broader crypto market experiences a shift in technical trends. A renewed focus from major institutions, increased adoption rates, or positive regulatory developments could create the momentum needed to push prices upward.

但是，如果更廣泛的加密貨幣市場經歷技術趨勢的轉變，則仍然有一個少量的看漲對稱三角形的機會。主要機構的重新關注，提高的採用率或積極的監管發展可能會創造出向上推動價格所需的勢頭。

Additionally, the price action of Bitcoin will be critical in determining the fate of XRP. If BTC manages to rally from current price levels, it could provide support for other cryptocurrencies like XRP and mitigate some of the expected downside risks.

此外，比特幣的價格動作對於確定XRP的命運至關重要。如果BTC設法從目前的價格水平召集，則可以為XRP等其他加密貨幣提供支持，並減輕一些預期的下行風險。

But current technical indicators and fundamental factors suggest a bearish outlook for XRP. The symmetrical triangle pattern, the Trump administration’s stance on crypto, and the surge in XRP trading volume all point to a potential 20% drop in the coming weeks.

但是當前的技術指標和基本因素表明XRP的看跌前景。對稱的三角形模式，特朗普政府對加密貨幣的立場以及XRP交易量的激增都表明未來幾週的可能下降了20％。

Investors should be prepared for increased volatility and monitor these technical and fundamental factors closely as XRP navigates these turbulent market conditions.

當XRP導航這些動蕩的市場條件時，投資者應為增加波動率的增加並密切監視這些技術和基本因素。