XRP价格预测：崩溃还是反弹？

在正在进行的市场不确定性中，XRP，Ripple Labs的本地令牌，已经失去了重大价值，并达到了看跌价格动作模式的关键水平。

Amid ongoing market uncertainty, XRP, Ripple Labs’ native token, has lost significant value and reached a key level that could determine its next move.

在正在进行的市场不确定性中，XRP（Ripple Labs的本地令牌）失去了巨大的价值，并达到了可以决定其下一步行动的关键水平。

Currently, sentiment across the crypto landscape is bearish, with major assets like Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] struggling to gain momentum.

目前，在加密货币景观中的情绪是看跌，比特币[BTC]和以太坊[ETH]等主要资产都在努力获得动力。

At the same time, altcoins have also been performing poorly, leading to a pessimistic outlook among crypto traders.

同时，Altcoins的性能也很差，导致加密交易员的悲观前景。

Bearish head-and-shoulders pattern

看跌的头和露肩图案

The asset’s daily chart suggests that this level is a make-or-break point that will determine XRP’s next move.

资产的每日图表表明，此级别是确定XRP的下一步行动的重点或突破点。

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, XRP has successfully formed a textbook-style bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, reaching the neckline at $2 and nearing a breakdown.

根据Ambcrypto的分析，XRP已成功形成了教科书风格的看跌头和露肩图案，以2美元的价格达到领口并接近崩溃。

Historically, this level has always acted as crucial support before forming this bearish pattern, with XRP rebounding multiple times after testing it.

从历史上看，在形成这种看跌模式之前，该水平一直是至关重要的支持，在测试后，XRP多次反弹。

Source: TradingView

资料来源：TradingView

XRP price prediction: Crash or rebound?

XRP价格预测：崩溃还是反弹？

If XRP continues to decline and closes a daily candle below the $1.95 or $1.90 level, there is a strong possibility that the asset could drop by 39% to reach its support level at $1.15.

如果XRP继续下降并关闭低于$ 1.95或1.90美元的每日蜡烛，那么资产很有可能会下降39％，以达到其支持水平为1.15美元。

On the other hand, if the asset manages to hold above the $2 mark, there is a possibility that history will repeat itself, and the price may recover or rebound in the future.

另一方面，如果资产设法超过$ 2大关，则历史可能会重复出现，并且价格可能会在将来恢复或反弹。

Despite these factors, XRP’s price has managed to maintain itself above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that the asset remains in an uptrend despite continuous price drops and retains bullish strength.

尽管有这些因素，XRP的价格还是设法维持在200天的指数式移动平均水平（EMA）之上，表明尽管价格下降并保留了看涨的强度，但资产仍然处于上升趋势。

In addition, a prominent crypto expert recently shared a post on X (formerly Twitter), highlighting that XRP’s MVRC Ratio has fallen below the 200 EMA, indicating a potential shift in the long-term market trend.

此外，一位著名的加密专家最近在X（以前为Twitter）上分享了一篇文章，强调XRP的MVRC比率已低于200 EMA，这表明长期市场趋势的潜在变化。

Given the current market sentiment, this could present an ideal buy-the-dip opportunity, presenting the possibility of a price rebound as long as XRP manages to stay above the $2 level. Otherwise, a massive crash could be on the horizon.

鉴于当前的市场情绪，这可能会带来理想的购买机会，只要XRP设法保持超过2美元的水平，就可以提出价格反弹的可能性。否则，可能会发生大规模崩溃。

Prominent crypto expert highlights the possibility of a "huge crash" in XRP if it breaks down from the crucial $2 level, presenting a "no-brainer buy-the-dip" opportunity.

著名的加密货币专家强调，如果XRP从关键的$ 2级别上崩溃，则可能会在XRP中发生“巨大的崩溃”，并带来“无能为力的买入”机会。

This coincides with a shift in the long-term market trend as the MVRV Ratio falls below the 200-day EMA.

随着MVRV比率低于200天EMA，这与长期市场趋势的变化相吻合。

This suggests that despite the recent price drops, institutions are still accumulating more XRP, which could support a rebound in the coming days.

这表明，尽管最近的价格下跌，但机构仍在积累更多的XRP，这可以支持未来几天的反弹。

Moreover, on-chain metrics indicate that bulls are currently in control, as reported by the on-chain analytics firm Coinglass.

此外，链链指标表明，正如链分析公司Coinglass报道的那样，公牛目前正在控制。

Traders are over-leveraged at the $2.019 level, which appears to be a key support, with $76 million worth of long positions built in the hope that the price won’t drop below this level.

交易者以2.019美元的水平过度杠杆率，这似乎是一个重要的支持，并建立了价值7,600万美元的长头寸，希望价格不会降至此水平以下。

On the other hand, $2.142 is another over-leveraged level, where traders have built $31.54 million worth of short positions, anticipating that the price won’t surpass this level.

另一方面，$ 2.142是另一个过度杠杆化的水平，交易者已经建立了价值315.4万美元的短职位，预计价格将不会超过这一水平。

However, since long bets exceed short positions, it clearly indicates that bulls are currently dominating the asset.

但是，由于长期赌注超过了短职位，因此清楚地表明，公牛目前正在主导资产。

$1.55 million worth of XRP outflow

价值155万美元的XRP流出

Meanwhile, long-term holders are also accumulating XRP tokens, as reported by Coinglass data.

同时，如Coinglass Data报道，长期持有人也正在积累XRP令牌。

Spot inflow/outflow data revealed that exchanges have witnessed an outflow of an impressive $1.55 million worth of XRP in the past 24 hours, indicating potential accumulation.

现货流入/流出数据显示，在过去的24小时内，交流见证了令人印象深刻的155万美元XRP的流出，这表明潜在的积累。

When combining these on-chain metrics with traders holding significant long positions and exchanges continuing to see outflows, it indicates potential buying pressure and upside momentum in the coming days.

当将这些链上指标与贸易商保持着很长的位置和交流继续看到流出的交易者相结合时，它表明在未来几天内潜在的购买压力和上升势头。