XRP價格預測：崩潰還是反彈？

在正在進行的市場不確定性中，XRP，Ripple Labs的本地令牌，已經失去了重大價值，並達到了看跌價格動作模式的關鍵水平。

Amid ongoing market uncertainty, XRP, Ripple Labs’ native token, has lost significant value and reached a key level that could determine its next move.

在正在進行的市場不確定性中，XRP（Ripple Labs的本地令牌）失去了巨大的價值，並達到了可以決定其下一步行動的關鍵水平。

Currently, sentiment across the crypto landscape is bearish, with major assets like Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] struggling to gain momentum.

目前，在加密貨幣景觀中的情緒是看跌，比特幣[BTC]和以太坊[ETH]等主要資產都在努力獲得動力。

At the same time, altcoins have also been performing poorly, leading to a pessimistic outlook among crypto traders.

同時，Altcoins的性能也很差，導致加密交易員的悲觀前景。

Bearish head-and-shoulders pattern

看跌的頭和露肩圖案

The asset’s daily chart suggests that this level is a make-or-break point that will determine XRP’s next move.

資產的每日圖表表明，此級別是確定XRP的下一步行動的重點或突破點。

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, XRP has successfully formed a textbook-style bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, reaching the neckline at $2 and nearing a breakdown.

根據Ambcrypto的分析，XRP已成功形成了教科書風格的看跌頭和露肩圖案，以2美元的價格達到領口並接近崩潰。

Historically, this level has always acted as crucial support before forming this bearish pattern, with XRP rebounding multiple times after testing it.

從歷史上看，在形成這種看跌模式之前，該水平一直是至關重要的支持，在測試後，XRP多次反彈。

Source: TradingView

資料來源：TradingView

XRP price prediction: Crash or rebound?

XRP價格預測：崩潰還是反彈？

If XRP continues to decline and closes a daily candle below the $1.95 or $1.90 level, there is a strong possibility that the asset could drop by 39% to reach its support level at $1.15.

如果XRP繼續下降並關閉低於$ 1.95或1.90美元的每日蠟燭，那麼資產很有可能會下降39％，以達到其支持水平為1.15美元。

On the other hand, if the asset manages to hold above the $2 mark, there is a possibility that history will repeat itself, and the price may recover or rebound in the future.

另一方面，如果資產設法超過$ 2大關，則歷史可能會重複出現，並且價格可能會在將來恢復或反彈。

Despite these factors, XRP’s price has managed to maintain itself above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that the asset remains in an uptrend despite continuous price drops and retains bullish strength.

儘管有這些因素，XRP的價格還是設法維持在200天的指數式移動平均水平（EMA）之上，表明儘管價格下降並保留了看漲的強度，但資產仍然處於上升趨勢。

In addition, a prominent crypto expert recently shared a post on X (formerly Twitter), highlighting that XRP’s MVRC Ratio has fallen below the 200 EMA, indicating a potential shift in the long-term market trend.

此外，一位著名的加密專家最近在X（以前為Twitter）上分享了一篇文章，強調XRP的MVRC比率已低於200 EMA，這表明長期市場趨勢的潛在變化。

Given the current market sentiment, this could present an ideal buy-the-dip opportunity, presenting the possibility of a price rebound as long as XRP manages to stay above the $2 level. Otherwise, a massive crash could be on the horizon.

鑑於當前的市場情緒，這可能會帶來理想的購買機會，只要XRP設法保持超過2美元的水平，就可以提出價格反彈的可能性。否則，可能會發生大規模崩潰。

Prominent crypto expert highlights the possibility of a "huge crash" in XRP if it breaks down from the crucial $2 level, presenting a "no-brainer buy-the-dip" opportunity.

著名的加密貨幣專家強調，如果XRP從關鍵的$ 2級別上崩潰，則可能會在XRP中發生“巨大的崩潰”，並帶來“無能為力的買入”機會。

This coincides with a shift in the long-term market trend as the MVRV Ratio falls below the 200-day EMA.

隨著MVRV比率低於200天EMA，這與長期市場趨勢的變化相吻合。

This suggests that despite the recent price drops, institutions are still accumulating more XRP, which could support a rebound in the coming days.

這表明，儘管最近的價格下跌，但機構仍在積累更多的XRP，這可以支持未來幾天的反彈。

Moreover, on-chain metrics indicate that bulls are currently in control, as reported by the on-chain analytics firm Coinglass.

此外，鍊鍊指標表明，正如鍊分析公司Coinglass報導的那樣，公牛目前正在控制。

Traders are over-leveraged at the $2.019 level, which appears to be a key support, with $76 million worth of long positions built in the hope that the price won’t drop below this level.

交易者以2.019美元的水平過度槓桿率，這似乎是一個重要的支持，並建立了價值7,600萬美元的長頭寸，希望價格不會降至此水平以下。

On the other hand, $2.142 is another over-leveraged level, where traders have built $31.54 million worth of short positions, anticipating that the price won’t surpass this level.

另一方面，$ 2.142是另一個過度槓桿化的水平，交易者已經建立了價值315.4萬美元的短職位，預計價格將不會超過這一水平。

However, since long bets exceed short positions, it clearly indicates that bulls are currently dominating the asset.

但是，由於長期賭注超過了短職位，因此清楚地表明，公牛目前正在主導資產。

$1.55 million worth of XRP outflow

價值155萬美元的XRP流出

Meanwhile, long-term holders are also accumulating XRP tokens, as reported by Coinglass data.

同時，如Coinglass Data報導，長期持有人也正在積累XRP令牌。

Spot inflow/outflow data revealed that exchanges have witnessed an outflow of an impressive $1.55 million worth of XRP in the past 24 hours, indicating potential accumulation.

現貨流入/流出數據顯示，在過去的24小時內，交流見證了令人印象深刻的155萬美元XRP的流出，這表明潛在的積累。

When combining these on-chain metrics with traders holding significant long positions and exchanges continuing to see outflows, it indicates potential buying pressure and upside momentum in the coming days.

當將這些鏈上指標與貿易商保持著很長的位置和交流繼續看到流出的交易者相結合時，它表明在未來幾天內潛在的購買壓力和上升勢頭。