XRP价格预测：为什么长期持有人能赢得大笔

对于许多投资者来说，XRP仍然是一项关键资产，并且具有雄心勃勃的价格目标。加密分析师Dustybc加密新闻，分享了有关XRP市场行为，投资者心理学和历史周期的见解。

Cryptocurrency prices have been on a wild ride over the past year, and XRP has been one of the standout performers. The seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has surged more than 120% year-to-date, easily outpacing Bitcoin's 40% gain.

在过去的一年中，加密货币价格一直在狂野，XRP一直是杰出的表演者之一。按市值计算的第七大加密货币已经飙升了超过120％以上，很容易超过比特币的40％增长。

But despite XRP's impressive performance, some investors are still wondering whether the asset can continue to rally. After all, XRP has a history of making parabolic moves, only to crash back down to earth.

但是，尽管XRP的表现令人印象深刻，但一些投资者仍然想知道资产是否可以继续集会。毕竟，XRP有进行抛物线词的历史，只是坠落到地球上。

However, according to one crypto analyst, XRP's long-term price performance is likely to be determined by the resilience of its long-term holders.

但是，根据一位加密分析师的说法，XRP的长期价格绩效很可能取决于其长期持有人的韧性。

In a recent analysis, DustyBC Crypto News highlighted some of the key psychological price levels for XRP, as well as some of the technical indicators that suggest the asset is still in a long-term accumulation phase.

在最近的分析中，Dustybc加密新闻强调了XRP的一些关键心理价格水平，以及一些表明资产仍处于长期积累阶段的技术指标。

According to the analyst, XRP has played a "core" role in his portfolio for years, due to its potential for growth. He noted that XRP surged from around $0.5 to over $3 in a short period of time, underscoring the asset's history of making sharp price moves.

根据分析师的说法，XRP多年来在其投资组合中发挥了“核心”作用，这是由于其增长的潜力。他指出，XRP在短时间内从大约0.5美元上涨至3美元以上，这突显了资产的急速变化历史。

"I personally like to use key psychological levels for my targets, and for XRP, I’m looking at $3, $35, and even $314 as potential price points," he said.

他说：“我个人喜欢将关键的心理水平用于我的目标，对于XRP，我认为35美元，35美元甚至314美元作为潜在价格点。”

Crucial support has emerged around $2.60 to $2.70, which could pave the way for further upward price movement. Moreover, the analyst observed that XRP's search interest has been declining even as the price has remained stable or increased, suggesting a bullish divergence.

至关重要的支持已经出现了约2.60至2.70美元，这可能为进一步的上价铺平道路。此外，分析师观察到，即使价格保持稳定或上涨，XRP的搜索兴趣一直在下降，这表明看涨了差异。

"Less searching usually means short-term traders are leaving, and long-term investors are accumulating," he added.

他补充说：“较少的搜索通常意味着短期交易者正在离开，长期投资者正在积累。”

Long-Term Holders vs. Short-Term Speculators

长期持有人与短期投机者

The crypto analyst also drew a stark contrast between long-term holders and short-term speculators, highlighting how the latter tend to miss out on the best gains.

加密分析师还在长期持有人和短期投机者之间形成了鲜明的对比，这强调了后者往往如何错过最佳收益。

He noted that XRP's core investors are known for their resilience, rarely selling during downtrends. In contrast, new entrants often buy during hype cycles and exit when prices fail to meet expectations.

他指出，XRP的核心投资者以其韧性而闻名，在下降期间很少出售。相反，当价格无法满足期望时，新进入者经常在炒作周期和退出期间购买。

"Many traders miss out on the best gains in the market by selling early," he said. "Historically, buying strategically during market dips has led to profits even if it takes a while."

他说：“许多交易者通过提早出售而错过了市场上最佳收益。” “从历史上看，即使需要一段时间，在市场下降期间进行战略性购买也导致了利润。”

Even those who bought XRP near its peak in 2017 have had opportunities to recover losses over time, he added.

他补充说，即使是那些在2017年达到顶峰的XRP的人也有机会随着时间的流逝而恢复损失。

XRP vs. Bitcoin: Market Position, Performance

XRP与比特币：市场地位，性能

In recent weeks, XRP has outperformed many other cryptocurrencies, despite trailing behind Bitcoin in recent years. As one of the top-performing assets in the top 10 and potentially the top 20, the analyst highlighted its position as one of the biggest gainers.

最近几周，尽管近年来落后于比特币，但XRP表现优于其他许多加密货币。作为前10名最佳表现的资产之一，并可能是前20名，分析师强调了其作为最大获利者之一的地位。

He noted that XRP's fundamentals are still strong, but its poor performance against Bitcoin could be due to regulatory issues, like the SEC action.

他指出，XRP的基本面仍然很强，但其对比特币的表现不佳可能是由于法规问题，例如SEC行动。

Historical Cycles: Is Another XRP Breakout Imminent?

历史周期：另一个XRP突破即将发生？

Finally, the analyst addressed some concerns among investors that XRP's price action may follow the 2017-2018 cycle, which ended in a steep correction.

最后，分析师解决了投资者的一些担忧，即XRP的价格行动可能遵循2017-2018周期，该周期以陡峭的纠正结束。

However, he argued that current trends differ significantly. The previous XRP bull run lasted only 24 days, while the current cycle has lasted nearly 90 days, he said.

但是，他认为当前趋势差异很大。他说，以前的XRP公牛持续了24天，而当前周期持续了将近90天。

"We're seeing strong price action, building support around $2, and the market structure is showing a potential breakout," he added. "With bullish sentiment still in the market, I don't think this cycle is over yet."

他补充说：“我们看到了强劲的价格行动，建立支持约2美元，市场结构显示出潜在的突破。” “随着看涨的情绪仍在市场上，我认为这个周期还没有结束。”

The analyst concluded his analysis with an optimistic outlook, reinforcing that long-term resilience has historically rewarded XRP investors. He noted that even in bear markets, relief rallies present opportunities, and patience is key to maximizing gains.

这位分析师以乐观的前景结束了他的分析，这加强了长期的韧性在历史上奖励了XRP投资者。他指出，即使在熊市中，救济集会也有机会，耐心是最大化收益的关键。

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