XRP價格預測：為什麼長期持有人能贏得大筆

對於許多投資者來說，XRP仍然是一項關鍵資產，並且具有雄心勃勃的價格目標。加密分析師Dustybc加密新聞，分享了有關XRP市場行為，投資者心理學和歷史週期的見解。

Cryptocurrency prices have been on a wild ride over the past year, and XRP has been one of the standout performers. The seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has surged more than 120% year-to-date, easily outpacing Bitcoin's 40% gain.

在過去的一年中，加密貨幣價格一直在狂野，XRP一直是傑出的表演者之一。按市值計算的第七大加密貨幣已經飆升了超過120％以上，很容易超過比特幣的40％增長。

But despite XRP's impressive performance, some investors are still wondering whether the asset can continue to rally. After all, XRP has a history of making parabolic moves, only to crash back down to earth.

但是，儘管XRP的表現令人印象深刻，但一些投資者仍然想知道資產是否可以繼續集會。畢竟，XRP有進行拋物線詞的歷史，只是墜落到地球上。

However, according to one crypto analyst, XRP's long-term price performance is likely to be determined by the resilience of its long-term holders.

但是，根據一位加密分析師的說法，XRP的長期價格績效很可能取決於其長期持有人的韌性。

In a recent analysis, DustyBC Crypto News highlighted some of the key psychological price levels for XRP, as well as some of the technical indicators that suggest the asset is still in a long-term accumulation phase.

在最近的分析中，Dustybc加密新聞強調了XRP的一些關鍵心理價格水平，以及一些表明資產仍處於長期積累階段的技術指標。

According to the analyst, XRP has played a "core" role in his portfolio for years, due to its potential for growth. He noted that XRP surged from around $0.5 to over $3 in a short period of time, underscoring the asset's history of making sharp price moves.

根據分析師的說法，XRP多年來在其投資組合中發揮了“核心”作用，這是由於其增長的潛力。他指出，XRP在短時間內從大約0.5美元上漲至3美元以上，這突顯了資產的急速變化歷史。

"I personally like to use key psychological levels for my targets, and for XRP, I’m looking at $3, $35, and even $314 as potential price points," he said.

他說：“我個人喜歡將關鍵的心理水平用於我的目標，對於XRP，我認為35美元，35美元甚至314美元作為潛在價格點。”

Crucial support has emerged around $2.60 to $2.70, which could pave the way for further upward price movement. Moreover, the analyst observed that XRP's search interest has been declining even as the price has remained stable or increased, suggesting a bullish divergence.

至關重要的支持已經出現了約2.60至2.70美元，這可能為進一步的上價鋪平道路。此外，分析師觀察到，即使價格保持穩定或上漲，XRP的搜索興趣一直在下降，這表明看漲了差異。

"Less searching usually means short-term traders are leaving, and long-term investors are accumulating," he added.

他補充說：“較少的搜索通常意味著短期交易者正在離開，長期投資者正在積累。”

Long-Term Holders vs. Short-Term Speculators

長期持有人與短期投機者

The crypto analyst also drew a stark contrast between long-term holders and short-term speculators, highlighting how the latter tend to miss out on the best gains.

加密分析師還在長期持有人和短期投機者之間形成了鮮明的對比，這強調了後者往往如何錯過最佳收益。

He noted that XRP's core investors are known for their resilience, rarely selling during downtrends. In contrast, new entrants often buy during hype cycles and exit when prices fail to meet expectations.

他指出，XRP的核心投資者以其韌性而聞名，在下降期間很少出售。相反，當價格無法滿足期望時，新進入者經常在炒作週期和退出期間購買。

"Many traders miss out on the best gains in the market by selling early," he said. "Historically, buying strategically during market dips has led to profits even if it takes a while."

他說：“許多交易者通過提早出售而錯過了市場上最佳收益。” “從歷史上看，即使需要一段時間，在市場下降期間進行戰略性購買也導致了利潤。”

Even those who bought XRP near its peak in 2017 have had opportunities to recover losses over time, he added.

他補充說，即使是那些在2017年達到頂峰的XRP的人也有機會隨著時間的流逝而恢復損失。

XRP vs. Bitcoin: Market Position, Performance

XRP與比特幣：市場地位，性能

In recent weeks, XRP has outperformed many other cryptocurrencies, despite trailing behind Bitcoin in recent years. As one of the top-performing assets in the top 10 and potentially the top 20, the analyst highlighted its position as one of the biggest gainers.

最近幾週，儘管近年來落後於比特幣，但XRP表現優於其他許多加密貨幣。作為前10名最佳表現的資產之一，並可能是前20名，分析師強調了其作為最大獲利者之一的地位。

He noted that XRP's fundamentals are still strong, but its poor performance against Bitcoin could be due to regulatory issues, like the SEC action.

他指出，XRP的基本面仍然很強，但其對比特幣的表現不佳可能是由於法規問題，例如SEC行動。

Historical Cycles: Is Another XRP Breakout Imminent?

歷史週期：另一個XRP突破即將發生？

Finally, the analyst addressed some concerns among investors that XRP's price action may follow the 2017-2018 cycle, which ended in a steep correction.

最後，分析師解決了投資者的一些擔憂，即XRP的價格行動可能遵循2017-2018週期，該週期以陡峭的糾正結束。

However, he argued that current trends differ significantly. The previous XRP bull run lasted only 24 days, while the current cycle has lasted nearly 90 days, he said.

但是，他認為當前趨勢差異很大。他說，以前的XRP公牛持續了24天，而當前週期持續了將近90天。

"We're seeing strong price action, building support around $2, and the market structure is showing a potential breakout," he added. "With bullish sentiment still in the market, I don't think this cycle is over yet."

他補充說：“我們看到了強勁的價格行動，建立支持約2美元，市場結構顯示出潛在的突破。” “隨著看漲的情緒仍在市場上，我認為這個週期還沒有結束。”

The analyst concluded his analysis with an optimistic outlook, reinforcing that long-term resilience has historically rewarded XRP investors. He noted that even in bear markets, relief rallies present opportunities, and patience is key to maximizing gains.

這位分析師以樂觀的前景結束了他的分析，這加強了長期的韌性在歷史上獎勵了XRP投資者。他指出，即使在熊市中，救濟集會也有機會，耐心是最大化收益的關鍵。

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