XRP价格在本周感觉到热量，随着加密市场的波动范围浪潮

XRP本周感觉到热量，因为在加密市场中席卷了一波波动。在短暂地收回了2.00美元以上的地面后，令牌测试将再次获得关键支持水平。

Rising macroeconomic headwinds have placed a damper on crypto's recent wave of volatility, with XRP feeling the heat as key support is tested.

宏观经济的上升逆风在最近的Crypto最近波动率的浪潮中放大了一个阻尼器，XRP感受到了对关键支撑的热量。

What happened: After briefly reclaiming ground above $2.00, the token is now testing that key support again. Broader macro concerns, especially renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China, have weighed on risk assets, dragging down both stocks and crypto.

发生了什么：在短暂地收回了2.00美元以上的地面之后，令牌现在正在再次测试该关键支持。更广泛的宏观担忧，尤其是美国和中国之间的重新贸易紧张局势，已经权衡了风险资产，拖延了股票和加密货币。

On top of that, investors seem to be getting jittery. Large amounts of XRP are being moved onto exchanges, usually a sign that holders might be looking to sell, and traders are slashing their positions, with long position liquidations spiking to $5.1 million in the last 24 hours. As more people are betting on downside moves, which is visible in the quickly shifting long-to-short ratio, the market trend feels more defensive than optimistic in the short term.

最重要的是，投资者似乎正在抖动。大量的XRP正在转移到交易所，通常是持有人可能希望出售的标志，而交易者正在削减其头寸，在过去的24小时内，长位置清算升至510万美元。随着越来越多的人押注下行动作，这在迅速变化的长期比率中可以看到，因此在短期内，市场趋势比乐观更具防御性。

XRP Ledger Exchange Inflows Chart | Source: CryptoQuant

XRP Ledger Exchange流入图|资料来源：加密

XRP Derivatives Data | Source: Coinglass

XRP导数数据|资料来源：小店

What's new: Despite all the short-term pressure, a longer-term narrative could benefit Ripple (NYSE:PYPL) - a potential XRP ETF.

新事物：尽管有所有短期压力，但长期的叙事可能会使波纹（NYSE：PYPL）受益 - 潜在的XRP ETF。

As Kaiko Research highlights, XRP shows signs of improved market depth and a more favorable regulatory outlook compared to other tokens like SOL, which is crucial for an ETF approval. However, with a new SEC Chair just stepping in and the process taking time, it’s unlikely to happen immediately.

正如Kaiko Research所强调的那样，XRP与其他令牌（如SOL）相比，XRP显示了改善市场深度和更有利的监管前景的迹象，这对于ETF批准至关重要。但是，随着新的SEC椅子刚刚介入并且该过程需要时间，这不太可能立即发生。

Those hopes are getting dashed even further as May 22 is fast approaching, and there’s still no clear sign of an approval for Grayscale’s (NYSE:GS) or any other trusts’ conversion to ETFs.

随着5月22日即将来临，这些希望甚至进一步破灭了，仍然没有明确的迹象表明灰度（NYSE：GS）或任何其他信任转换为ETF。

Also in Brief: A new report from the CCFA highlights the staggering recovery of the crypto market from the 2022 bear market. From a low of $908 billion in December 2022, the total market cap has climbed to $1.56 trillion by April 2025, showcasing a resilience that belies the turbulent year.

简而言之：CCFA的一份新报告强调了2022年熊市的加密货币市场的惊人复苏。从2022年12月的9008亿美元的低点开始，到2025年4月，总市值攀升至1.56万亿美元，展示了掩盖动荡一年的韧性。

The report also sheds light on the significant role played by stablecoins in facilitating seamless transactions within the crypto ecosystem. In 2022 alone, over $10 quadrillion in value flowed through stablecoins, triple the total value of transactions conducted in the U.S. dollar.

该报告还阐明了Stablecoins在促进加密生态系统内无缝交易中所扮演的重要作用。仅在2022年，超过100亿美元的价值就流过了稳定的，这三倍的总价值是美元以美元进行的交易的总价值。

This incredible volume underscores the increasing reliance on stablecoins for facilitating rapid and efficient transactions within the crypto sphere.

这一令人难以置信的体积强调了对稳定剂的日益依赖，以促进加密球体内的快速和高效交易。

Crucial levels to watch: The XRP price began its recent move within a tight trading range between $2.11 and $2.15 before experiencing a breakout to the upside, which was short-lived. After testing the resistance level near $2.19, the XRP price faced strong selling pressure, forming a descending channel.

值得关注的关键水平：XRP价格在紧密的交易范围内开始在2.11至2.15美元之间，然后经历了短暂的突破，这是短暂的。在测试了2.19美元的电阻水平后，XRP价格面临着强大的销售压力，形成了下降渠道。

This downtrend has continued, with XRP consistently making lower highs and lower lows. During the decline, the RSI showed multiple overbought conditions (greater than 70) near key peaks and dropped into oversold territory (less than 30) several times, suggesting persistent bearish momentum with occasional attempts at recovery. The triple top formation at the channel’s upper boundary confirms the strength of the ongoing downtrend.

这种下降趋势一直在继续，XRP始终保持较低的高点和较低的低点。在下降期间，RSI在钥匙峰附近显示出多种过高的条件（大于70），并几次下降到超售区域（少于30），这表明偶尔尝试恢复时持续的看跌动量。该通道上边界的三重顶层形成证实了正在进行的下降趋势的强度。

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 16th, 2025

图1，由Alokkp0608分析，于2025年4月16日发布

The MACD indicator, which stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence, reinforces this bearish sentiment with multiple Death Crosses, which occur when the 12-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crosses below the 26-period EMA, indicating sustained selling pressure. However, there were also brief periods of Golden Crosses, signaling temporary relief rallies as the 12-period EMA crosses above the 26-period EMA.

MACD指标代表了移动平均收敛差异，它加强了这种看跌情绪，以多个死亡十字杂交，这发生在12个周期EMA（指数移动平均值）以下以下是26-周期EMA，表明持续的销售压力。但是，也有短暂的黄金十字架，表明暂时的浮雕集会是在26个周期EMA上方的12个周期EMA杂交时。

Currently, XRP has approached the highlighted support zone around $2.05, a level that previously acted as an area of demand. The RSI is nearing 36, suggesting that XRP could be nearing oversold conditions again, which may lead to a short-term bounce if buyers step in at this level. However, the latest Death Cross on the MACD suggests that continued caution is warranted.

目前，XRP已在2.05美元左右接近突出显示的支持区，这一水平以前是需求领域。 RSI接近36，这表明XRP可能会再次接近超售条件，如果买家介入此水平，可能会导致短期反弹。但是，MACD上的最新死亡十字架表明，必须谨慎行事。

What to keep in mind: XRP is feeling the heat. Key support at $2.00 is being tested as exchange inflows spike and traders book losses.

要记住什么：XRP感觉到热量。 $ 2.00的主要支持正在测试，因为交换流入峰值和贸易商读书损失。

On a brighter note, a possible spot XRP ETF approval later this year could still benefit Ripple in the long run. As Kaiko Research points out, XRP shows signs of better liquidity and a more favorable regulatory climate compared to other tokens like Solana (CRYPTO:SOL), rendering it a better candidate for an ETF, according to the report. However, with a new SEC Chair just stepping in and the process taking time, it’s unlikely to happen immediately.

从长远来看，今年晚些时候可能的XRP ETF批准可能仍然使Ripple受益。根据Kaiko Research的指出，与Solana（Crypto：Sol）相比，XRP显示出更好的流动性和更有利的监管气候迹象，使其成为ETF的更好候选者。但是，随着新的SEC椅子刚刚介入并且该过程需要时间，这不太可能立即发生。