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XRP本週感覺到熱量,因為在加密市場中席捲了一波波動。在短暫地收回了2.00美元以上的地面後,令牌測試將再次獲得關鍵支持水平。
Rising macroeconomic headwinds have placed a damper on crypto's recent wave of volatility, with XRP feeling the heat as key support is tested.
宏觀經濟的上升逆風在最近的Crypto最近波動率的浪潮中放大了一個阻尼器,XRP感受到了對關鍵支撐的熱量。
What happened: After briefly reclaiming ground above $2.00, the token is now testing that key support again. Broader macro concerns, especially renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China, have weighed on risk assets, dragging down both stocks and crypto.
發生了什麼:在短暫地收回了2.00美元以上的地面之後,令牌現在正在再次測試該關鍵支持。更廣泛的宏觀擔憂,尤其是美國和中國之間的重新貿易緊張局勢,已經權衡了風險資產,拖延了股票和加密貨幣。
On top of that, investors seem to be getting jittery. Large amounts of XRP are being moved onto exchanges, usually a sign that holders might be looking to sell, and traders are slashing their positions, with long position liquidations spiking to $5.1 million in the last 24 hours. As more people are betting on downside moves, which is visible in the quickly shifting long-to-short ratio, the market trend feels more defensive than optimistic in the short term.
最重要的是,投資者似乎正在抖動。大量的XRP正在轉移到交易所,通常是持有人可能希望出售的標誌,而交易者正在削減其頭寸,在過去的24小時內,長位置清算升至510萬美元。隨著越來越多的人押注下行動作,這在迅速變化的長期比率中可以看到,因此在短期內,市場趨勢比樂觀更具防禦性。
XRP Ledger Exchange Inflows Chart | Source: CryptoQuant
XRP Ledger Exchange流入圖|資料來源:加密
XRP Derivatives Data | Source: Coinglass
XRP導數數據|資料來源:小店
What's new: Despite all the short-term pressure, a longer-term narrative could benefit Ripple (NYSE:PYPL) - a potential XRP ETF.
新事物:儘管有所有短期壓力,但長期的敘事可能會使波紋(NYSE:PYPL)受益 - 潛在的XRP ETF。
As Kaiko Research highlights, XRP shows signs of improved market depth and a more favorable regulatory outlook compared to other tokens like SOL, which is crucial for an ETF approval. However, with a new SEC Chair just stepping in and the process taking time, it’s unlikely to happen immediately.
正如Kaiko Research所強調的那樣,XRP與其他令牌(如SOL)相比,XRP顯示了改善市場深度和更有利的監管前景的跡象,這對於ETF批准至關重要。但是,隨著新的SEC椅子剛剛介入並且該過程需要時間,這不太可能立即發生。
Those hopes are getting dashed even further as May 22 is fast approaching, and there’s still no clear sign of an approval for Grayscale’s (NYSE:GS) or any other trusts’ conversion to ETFs.
隨著5月22日即將來臨,這些希望甚至進一步破滅了,仍然沒有明確的跡象表明灰度(NYSE:GS)或任何其他信任轉換為ETF。
Also in Brief: A new report from the CCFA highlights the staggering recovery of the crypto market from the 2022 bear market. From a low of $908 billion in December 2022, the total market cap has climbed to $1.56 trillion by April 2025, showcasing a resilience that belies the turbulent year.
簡而言之:CCFA的一份新報告強調了2022年熊市的加密貨幣市場的驚人復蘇。從2022年12月的9008億美元的低點開始,到2025年4月,總市值攀升至1.56萬億美元,展示了掩蓋動盪一年的韌性。
The report also sheds light on the significant role played by stablecoins in facilitating seamless transactions within the crypto ecosystem. In 2022 alone, over $10 quadrillion in value flowed through stablecoins, triple the total value of transactions conducted in the U.S. dollar.
該報告還闡明了Stablecoins在促進加密生態系統內無縫交易中所扮演的重要作用。僅在2022年,超過100億美元的價值就流過了穩定的,這三倍的總價值是美元以美元進行的交易的總價值。
This incredible volume underscores the increasing reliance on stablecoins for facilitating rapid and efficient transactions within the crypto sphere.
這一令人難以置信的體積強調了對穩定劑的日益依賴,以促進加密球體內的快速和高效交易。
Crucial levels to watch: The XRP price began its recent move within a tight trading range between $2.11 and $2.15 before experiencing a breakout to the upside, which was short-lived. After testing the resistance level near $2.19, the XRP price faced strong selling pressure, forming a descending channel.
值得關注的關鍵水平:XRP價格在緊密的交易範圍內開始在2.11至2.15美元之間,然後經歷了短暫的突破,這是短暫的。在測試了2.19美元的電阻水平後,XRP價格面臨著強大的銷售壓力,形成了下降渠道。
This downtrend has continued, with XRP consistently making lower highs and lower lows. During the decline, the RSI showed multiple overbought conditions (greater than 70) near key peaks and dropped into oversold territory (less than 30) several times, suggesting persistent bearish momentum with occasional attempts at recovery. The triple top formation at the channel’s upper boundary confirms the strength of the ongoing downtrend.
這種下降趨勢一直在繼續,XRP始終保持較低的高點和較低的低點。在下降期間,RSI在鑰匙峰附近顯示出多種過高的條件(大於70),並幾次下降到超售區域(少於30),這表明偶爾嘗試恢復時持續的看跌動量。該通道上邊界的三重頂層形成證實了正在進行的下降趨勢的強度。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 16th, 2025
圖1,由Alokkp0608分析,於2025年4月16日發布
The MACD indicator, which stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence, reinforces this bearish sentiment with multiple Death Crosses, which occur when the 12-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crosses below the 26-period EMA, indicating sustained selling pressure. However, there were also brief periods of Golden Crosses, signaling temporary relief rallies as the 12-period EMA crosses above the 26-period EMA.
MACD指標代表了移動平均收斂差異,它加強了這種看跌情緒,以多個死亡十字雜交,這發生在12個週期EMA(指數移動平均值)以下以下是26-週期EMA,表明持續的銷售壓力。但是,也有短暫的黃金十字架,表明暫時的浮雕集會是在26個週期EMA上方的12個週期EMA雜交時。
Currently, XRP has approached the highlighted support zone around $2.05, a level that previously acted as an area of demand. The RSI is nearing 36, suggesting that XRP could be nearing oversold conditions again, which may lead to a short-term bounce if buyers step in at this level. However, the latest Death Cross on the MACD suggests that continued caution is warranted.
目前,XRP已在2.05美元左右接近突出顯示的支持區,這一水平以前是需求領域。 RSI接近36,這表明XRP可能會再次接近超售條件,如果買家介入此水平,可能會導致短期反彈。但是,MACD上的最新死亡十字架表明,必須謹慎行事。
What to keep in mind: XRP is feeling the heat. Key support at $2.00 is being tested as exchange inflows spike and traders book losses.
要記住什麼:XRP感覺到熱量。 $ 2.00的主要支持正在測試,因為交換流入峰值和貿易商讀書損失。
On a brighter note, a possible spot XRP ETF approval later this year could still benefit Ripple in the long run. As Kaiko Research points out, XRP shows signs of better liquidity and a more favorable regulatory climate compared to other tokens like Solana (CRYPTO:SOL), rendering it a better candidate for an ETF, according to the report. However, with a new SEC Chair just stepping in and the process taking time, it’s unlikely to happen immediately.
從長遠來看,今年晚些時候可能的XRP ETF批准可能仍然使Ripple受益。根據Kaiko Research的指出,與Solana(Crypto:Sol)相比,XRP顯示出更好的流動性和更有利的監管氣候跡象,使其成為ETF的更好候選者。但是,隨著新的SEC椅子剛剛介入並且該過程需要時間,這不太可能立即發生。
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