XRP价格正面临着越来越高的技术和根本压力，预示着大幅下降20％

XRP价格正面临着增加的技术和根本压力，在不久的将来预示了20％的大幅下降。

The price of XRP is facing increasing technical and fundamental pressure, foreshadowing a major decline of 20% in the very near future. Three decisive factors are clearly emerging, and the future of XRP may already be sealed. In light of these concerning signals, investors will need to exercise increased vigilance and anticipate possible scenarios to protect their positions.

XRP的价格正面临着增加的技术和根本压力，预示着不久的将来的大幅下降20％。显然出现了三个决定性因素，XRP的未来可能已经被密封。鉴于这些关于信号的信号，投资者将需要提高警惕性，并预测可能的情况以保护其立场。

3 factors indicating an imminent drop of 20% for XRP?

3个因素，表明XRP即将下降20％？

Ripple, besides being accused of manipulating the market on XRP sales, is under pressure as its cryptocurrency could face an imminent drop. Three key factors suggest a symmetrical triangle, the Trump factor, and a surge in volume.

波普尔（Ripple）除了被指控在XRP销售方面操纵市场外，其加密货币可能会面临即将下降的压力。三个关键因素表明对称三角形，特朗普因素和数量激增。

A symmetrical triangle signaling a decline

对称的三角形信号显示下降

On the weekly chart of XRP/USD, a symmetrical triangle has formed, signaling a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers. This type of configuration does not guarantee an upward trend and can lead to a bearish breakout.

在XRP/USD的每周图表上，形成了对称的三角形，这标志着买卖双方之间犹豫不决的阶段。这种类型的配置不能保证向上的趋势，并可能导致看跌。

According to technical analysis, symmetrical triangles are symmetrical patterns that typically form during a period of consolidation or indecision in the market. They are characterized by two converging lines of support and resistance, creating a triangular shape.

根据技术分析，对称三角形是对称模式，通常在市场上的合并或犹豫不决期间形成。它们的特征是两条融合的支撑和阻力线，形成了三角形。

When the price breaks out of the triangle, it is said to be "pivoting," and the direction of the breakout can indicate the future trend. A breakout above the triangle's upper boundary usually leads to a continuation of the previous uptrend, while a breakout below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the previous downtrend.

当价格突破三角形时，据说这是“枢纽”，突破的方向可以表明未来的趋势。三角形上方边界上方的突破通常会导致上一次上升趋势的延续，而下边界以下的突破信号是先前下降趋势的延续。

However, in the case of XRP, the breakout is expected to be bearish, leading to a drop towards $1.46. This level corresponds to the 50-week exponential moving average and represents a 20% correction from the current price.

但是，就XRP而言，预计突破将是看跌，导致$ 1.46的下跌。该级别对应于50周的指数移动平均线，比当前价格纠正20％。

The Trump factor: Bitcoin favored, XRP neglected

特朗普因素：比特币偏爱，XRP忽略了

The recent crypto summit at the White House dashed the hopes of Ripple investors. Many anticipated an inclusion of the token in a strategic reserve for the United States. However, the Trump administration clarified that the mentioned cryptos – Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, and XRP – were only examples, not validated names.

最近在白宫的加密峰会打破了波纹投资者的希望。许多人预计将令牌包括在美国的战略储备中。但是，特朗普政府澄清说，提到的加密货币 - 以太坊，索拉纳，卡丹诺和XRP只是例子，未经验证的名称。

Moreover, there is no evidence that the U.S. government holds any XRP, in stark contrast to Bitcoin, where the state reportedly possesses around $17.7 billion. In this context, the XRP/BTC pair is operating in a critical distribution zone, varying around the 200-2W EMA exponential moving average (2,459 satoshis).

此外，没有证据表明美国政府持有任何XRP，与比特币形成鲜明对比的是，据报道，该州拥有约177亿美元。在这种情况下，XRP/BTC对在关键的分布区中运行，围绕200-2W EMA指数移动平均线（2,459个SATOSHIS）。

A breakout below this level could lead to a drop towards 1,700 satoshis, further increasing the bearish pressure on XRP/USD.

低于此水平的突破可能会导致1,700 satoshis的下降，从而进一步增加了XRP/USD的看跌压力。

A surge in volume synonymous with distribution

卷的增长与发行的代名词

Another alarming signal is the sharp rise in XRP's transaction volumes, a phenomenon reminiscent of the bearish trend of 2021. According to analyst Martunn, Ripple is undergoing a distribution phase, where major investors (whales) are selling their holdings after a significant price increase.

另一个令人震惊的信号是XRP交易量的急剧上升，这是一种让人联想到2021年看跌趋势的现象。根据分析师Martunn的说法，Ripple正在经历分销阶段，主要投资者（鲸鱼）在大幅上涨后正在出售其持股。

Since November 2024, XRP has experienced a surge of 600%, attracting many individual buyers. However, the progressive liquidation of whale positions suggests a possible trend reversal.

自2024年11月以来，XRP经历了600％的增长，吸引了许多个人买家。但是，鲸鱼位置的进行性清算表明可能趋势逆转。

Crypto wallets holding more than one million XRP have seen their balance drop from 94.21 billion to 90.21 billion XRP in one year, erasing the gains from the post-electoral "Trump pump."

拥有超过一百万XRP的加密钱包已经看到，一年内，他们的余额从942.1亿美元下降到902.1亿XRP，从而消除了届时“特朗普泵”的收益。

If this trend continues, we could see a decrease in liquidity and an increase in selling pressure, ultimately leading to a major correction towards $1.46, thus validating the breakdown of the symmetrical triangle.

如果这种趋势持续下去，我们可以看到流动性下降和销售压力的增加，最终导致了1.46美元的重大更正，从而验证了对称三角形的崩溃。

This scenario would also be consistent with the behavior of the 50-week exponential moving average, which has acted as a strong level of support and resistance in the past.

这种情况也将与50周的指数移动平均平均线的行为一致，这在过去一直是强大的支持和阻力水平。

A truly inevitable drop?

真正不可避免的下降？

Several indicators suggest an imminent drop for Ripple, but a bullish breakout of the symmetrical triangle is still possible if the overall crypto market regains strength. A resurgence of institutional interest, increased adoption, or a favorable regulatory announcement could reverse the trend.

几个指标表明，波纹即将下降，但是如果整个加密货币市场恢复实力，则可能对对称三角形的看涨突破。机构利益的复兴，收养或有利的监管公告可能会扭转这一趋势。

Furthermore, if Bitcoin continues to rise, it could pull XRP along and mitigate the risk of a drop to $1.46.

此外，如果比特币继续上升，它可能会将XRP降低并降低降至1.46美元的风险。

The technical indicators, the evolution of political sentiment, and the dynamics of whales are thus converging towards a bearish outlook of 20% for XRP. Crypto investors must remain vigilant in the face of these signals and anticipate a potential market correction.

因此，技术指标，政治情绪的演变以及鲸鱼的动态趋向于XRP的百分之20％。面对这些信号，加密投资者必须保持警惕，并预计潜在的市场更正。