XRP價格正面臨著越來越高的技術和根本壓力，預示著大幅下降20％

XRP價格正面臨著增加的技術和根本壓力，在不久的將來預示了20％的大幅下降。

The price of XRP is facing increasing technical and fundamental pressure, foreshadowing a major decline of 20% in the very near future. Three decisive factors are clearly emerging, and the future of XRP may already be sealed. In light of these concerning signals, investors will need to exercise increased vigilance and anticipate possible scenarios to protect their positions.

XRP的價格正面臨著增加的技術和根本壓力，預示著不久的將來的大幅下降20％。顯然出現了三個決定性因素，XRP的未來可能已經被密封。鑑於這些關於信號的信號，投資者將需要提高警惕性，並預測可能的情況以保護其立場。

3 factors indicating an imminent drop of 20% for XRP?

3個因素，表明XRP即將下降20％？

Ripple, besides being accused of manipulating the market on XRP sales, is under pressure as its cryptocurrency could face an imminent drop. Three key factors suggest a symmetrical triangle, the Trump factor, and a surge in volume.

波普爾（Ripple）除了被指控在XRP銷售方面操縱市場外，其加密貨幣可能會面臨即將下降的壓力。三個關鍵因素表明對稱三角形，特朗普因素和數量激增。

A symmetrical triangle signaling a decline

對稱的三角形信號顯示下降

On the weekly chart of XRP/USD, a symmetrical triangle has formed, signaling a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers. This type of configuration does not guarantee an upward trend and can lead to a bearish breakout.

在XRP/USD的每週圖表上，形成了對稱的三角形，這標誌著買賣雙方之間猶豫不決的階段。這種類型的配置不能保證向上的趨勢，並可能導致看跌。

According to technical analysis, symmetrical triangles are symmetrical patterns that typically form during a period of consolidation or indecision in the market. They are characterized by two converging lines of support and resistance, creating a triangular shape.

根據技術分析，對稱三角形是對稱模式，通常在市場上的合併或猶豫不決期間形成。它們的特徵是兩條融合的支撐和阻力線，形成了三角形。

When the price breaks out of the triangle, it is said to be "pivoting," and the direction of the breakout can indicate the future trend. A breakout above the triangle's upper boundary usually leads to a continuation of the previous uptrend, while a breakout below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the previous downtrend.

當價格突破三角形時，據說這是“樞紐”，突破的方向可以表明未來的趨勢。三角形上方邊界上方的突破通常會導致上一次上升趨勢的延續，而下邊界以下的突破信號是先前下降趨勢的延續。

However, in the case of XRP, the breakout is expected to be bearish, leading to a drop towards $1.46. This level corresponds to the 50-week exponential moving average and represents a 20% correction from the current price.

但是，就XRP而言，預計突破將是看跌，導致$ 1.46的下跌。該級別對應於50週的指數移動平均線，比當前價格糾正20％。

The Trump factor: Bitcoin favored, XRP neglected

特朗普因素：比特幣偏愛，XRP忽略了

The recent crypto summit at the White House dashed the hopes of Ripple investors. Many anticipated an inclusion of the token in a strategic reserve for the United States. However, the Trump administration clarified that the mentioned cryptos – Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, and XRP – were only examples, not validated names.

最近在白宮的加密峰會打破了波紋投資者的希望。許多人預計將令牌包括在美國的戰略儲備中。但是，特朗普政府澄清說，提到的加密貨幣 - 以太坊，索拉納，卡丹諾和XRP只是例子，未經驗證的名稱。

Moreover, there is no evidence that the U.S. government holds any XRP, in stark contrast to Bitcoin, where the state reportedly possesses around $17.7 billion. In this context, the XRP/BTC pair is operating in a critical distribution zone, varying around the 200-2W EMA exponential moving average (2,459 satoshis).

此外，沒有證據表明美國政府持有任何XRP，與比特幣形成鮮明對比的是，據報導，該州擁有約177億美元。在這種情況下，XRP/BTC對在關鍵的分佈區中運行，圍繞200-2W EMA指數移動平均線（2,459個SATOSHIS）。

A breakout below this level could lead to a drop towards 1,700 satoshis, further increasing the bearish pressure on XRP/USD.

低於此水平的突破可能會導致1,700 satoshis的下降，從而進一步增加了XRP/USD的看跌壓力。

A surge in volume synonymous with distribution

卷的增長與發行的代名詞

Another alarming signal is the sharp rise in XRP's transaction volumes, a phenomenon reminiscent of the bearish trend of 2021. According to analyst Martunn, Ripple is undergoing a distribution phase, where major investors (whales) are selling their holdings after a significant price increase.

另一個令人震驚的信號是XRP交易量的急劇上升，這是一種讓人聯想到2021年看跌趨勢的現象。根據分析師Martunn的說法，Ripple正在經歷分銷階段，主要投資者（鯨魚）在大幅上漲後正在出售其持股。

Since November 2024, XRP has experienced a surge of 600%, attracting many individual buyers. However, the progressive liquidation of whale positions suggests a possible trend reversal.

自2024年11月以來，XRP經歷了600％的增長，吸引了許多個人買家。但是，鯨魚位置的進行性清算表明可能趨勢逆轉。

Crypto wallets holding more than one million XRP have seen their balance drop from 94.21 billion to 90.21 billion XRP in one year, erasing the gains from the post-electoral "Trump pump."

擁有超過一百萬XRP的加密錢包已經看到，一年內，他們的餘額從942.1億美元下降到902.1億XRP，從而消除了屆時“特朗普泵”的收益。

If this trend continues, we could see a decrease in liquidity and an increase in selling pressure, ultimately leading to a major correction towards $1.46, thus validating the breakdown of the symmetrical triangle.

如果這種趨勢持續下去，我們可以看到流動性下降和銷售壓力的增加，最終導致了1.46美元的重大更正，從而驗證了對稱三角形的崩潰。

This scenario would also be consistent with the behavior of the 50-week exponential moving average, which has acted as a strong level of support and resistance in the past.

這種情況也將與50週的指數移動平均平均線的行為一致，這在過去一直是強大的支持和阻力水平。

A truly inevitable drop?

真正不可避免的下降？

Several indicators suggest an imminent drop for Ripple, but a bullish breakout of the symmetrical triangle is still possible if the overall crypto market regains strength. A resurgence of institutional interest, increased adoption, or a favorable regulatory announcement could reverse the trend.

幾個指標表明，波紋即將下降，但是如果整個加密貨幣市場恢復實力，則可能對對稱三角形的看漲突破。機構利益的複興，收養或有利的監管公告可能會扭轉這一趨勢。

Furthermore, if Bitcoin continues to rise, it could pull XRP along and mitigate the risk of a drop to $1.46.

此外，如果比特幣繼續上升，它可能會將XRP降低並降低降至1.46美元的風險。

The technical indicators, the evolution of political sentiment, and the dynamics of whales are thus converging towards a bearish outlook of 20% for XRP. Crypto investors must remain vigilant in the face of these signals and anticipate a potential market correction.

因此，技術指標，政治情緒的演變以及鯨魚的動態趨向於XRP的百分之20％。面對這些信號，加密投資者必須保持警惕，並預計潛在的市場更正。