随着特朗普就职典礼的临近，XRP 可能会与比特币 (BTC) 一起扩大涨势

XRP 过去一周上涨超过 40%。比特币（BTC）是最大的加密货币，从 90,000 美元以下的闪崩中恢复过来，并于周五重返 104,000 美元以上。

XRP price analysis: Token hits new all-time high, to extend rally post-Trump inauguration?

XRP 价格分析：代币创下历史新高，特朗普就职后将延续涨势？

XRP price rallied over 40% in the past week, hitting a new all-time high with a 24-hour trade volume that left Ethereum (ETH) to bite the dust on Thursday.

XRP 价格在过去一周上涨了 40% 以上，创下历史新高，24 小时交易量让以太坊 (ETH) 周四惨遭淘汰。

The token is likely to extend its rally in the coming days following President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration.

在当选总统唐纳德·特朗普就职后的未来几天内，该代币可能会继续上涨。

XRP price rallies over 40% in the past week

XRP 价格过去一周上涨超过 40%

Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency recovered from its flashcrash under $90,000 and made a comeback above $104,000 on Friday. The native token of the XRPLedger is rallying alongside the top crypto.

比特币（BTC）是最大的加密货币，从 90,000 美元以下的闪崩中恢复过来，并于周五重返 104,000 美元以上。 XRPLedger 的原生代币正在与顶级加密货币一起上涨。

Trump’s upcoming inauguration is one of the leading catalysts, alongside optimism on crypto regulation, pro-crypto policy and a new approach by financial regulatory agencies in the U.S.

特朗普即将就职典礼是主要催化剂之一，此外还有对加密货币监管、支持加密货币的政策以及美国金融监管机构采取的新方法的乐观情绪

XRP price could gain further, entering price discovery next week.

XRP 价格可能进一步上涨，下周进入价格发现阶段。

At the time of publication, XRP trades at $3.26.

截至本文发布时，XRP 交易价格为 3.26 美元。

On-chain indicators support XRP price gains

链上指标支持 XRP 价格上涨

On-chain indicators support a bullish thesis for XRP. The total funding rate metric is positive, greater than one throughout January 2025.

链上指标支持 XRP 的看涨论点。总资金费率指标为正，在 2025 年 1 月期间均大于 1。

The count of active addresses recorded a large spike on Thursday, Jan. 16.

1 月 16 日星期四，活跃地址数量大幅增加。

On-chain indicators on Santiment are conducive to further gains in XRP in the coming week.

Santiment 的链上指标有利于 XRP 在未来一周进一步上涨。

The supply distribution metric on Santiment shows an increase in XRP token supply held by wallets that own 10,000 to 100,000, 1 million to 10 million and 100 million and above XRP tokens.

Santiment 的供应分布指标显示，拥有 10,000 至 100,000、100 万至 1000 万以及 1 亿及以上 XRP 代币的钱包所持有的 XRP 代币供应量有所增加。

The three classes of holders have accumulated the altcoin, even as the price climbs. This is indicative of a likely XRP price increase in the future.

即使价格上涨，这三类持有者仍然积累了山寨币。这表明 XRP 价格未来可能会上涨。

Market movers and Ripple lawsuit

市场推动者和 Ripple 诉讼

Monday’s inauguration is the largest market mover in crypto. But RippleNet’s rising adoption among institutions, the developments in RLUSD stablecoin and the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple are the three key market movers influencing the altcoin’s price.

周一的就职典礼是加密货币领域最大的市场推动者。但 RippleNet 在机构中的日益普及、RLUSD 稳定币的发展以及 SEC 对 Ripple 的诉讼是影响山寨币价格的三个关键市场推动因素。

Even as the U.S. financial regulator filed an appeal against Ripple on Jan. 15, the altcoin continued its rally undeterred.

尽管美国金融监管机构于 1 月 15 日对 Ripple 提起上诉，但该山寨币仍继续上涨。

The July 2023 ruling by Judge Analisa Torres that classified secondary sales of XRP as non-securities is being challenged and the SEC is seeking to have those retail sales classified as unregistered securities sales.

法官 Analisa Torres 于 2023 年 7 月做出的​​将 XRP 的二级销售归类为非证券的裁决受到质疑，SEC 正在寻求将这些零售销售归类为未注册的证券销售。

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told crypto.news in an exclusive interview:

Bitget Research 首席分析师 Ryan Lee 在接受 crypto.news 独家采访时表示：

“XRP’s surge can be attributed to favorable outcomes in Ripple’s SEC lawsuit and a more crypto-friendly political climate in the US. If regulatory uncertainties are resolved, the influx of institutional investors could further solidify XRP’s position in the crypto market.”

“XRP 的飙升可归因于 Ripple 向 SEC 提起的诉讼的有利结果以及美国对加密货币更加友好的政治氛围。如果监管的不确定性得到解决，机构投资者的涌入可能会进一步巩固 XRP 在加密市场的地位。”

It remains to be seen whether the Trump administration will support pro-crypto regulation and whether it influences the outcome of lawsuits against firms like Ripple Labs.

特朗普政府是否会支持加密货币监管，以及它是否会影响针对 Ripple Labs 等公司的诉讼结果，还有待观察。

Technical analysis and XRP price forecast

技术分析和 XRP 价格预测

XRP price is hovering close to its all-time high at $3.40. At the time of writing, XRP traded at $3.2385. A 22% price rally could push XRP into price discovery, at the 141.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the climb from the $1.9054 low to the $3.4000 peak.

XRP 价格徘徊在接近历史高点 3.40 美元的水平。截至撰写本文时，XRP 交易价格为 3.2385 美元。价格上涨 22% 可能会推动 XRP 进入价格发现阶段，即从 1.9054 美元低点攀升至 3.4000 美元峰值的 141.4% 斐波那契回撤位。

The technical indicators, RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis for XRP. MACD flashes consecutive green histogram bars. Traders need to keep their eyes peeled as RSI signals that the token is currently overbought or overvalued, as it reads 83.

技术指标 RSI 和 MACD 支持 XRP 的看涨论点。 MACD 闪烁连续的绿色柱状图。交易者需要保持警惕，因为 RSI 表明该代币目前处于超买或高估状态，其读数为 83。

In the event of a correction, XRP could find support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.6977.

如果出现回调，XRP 可能会在 50% 斐波那契回撤位 2.6977 美元处找到支撑。

Expert commentary on XRP

XRP 专家评论

James Toledano, COO at Unity Wallet, told crypto.news in an exclusive interview:

Unity Wallet 首席运营官 James Toledano 在独家采访中告诉 crypto.news：

“Given that XRP was stuck at around $0.50 for literally 3 years, its recent breakout momentum reflects new levels of investor optimism around regulatory clarity and the potential approval of an XRP ETF in the following months. If the XRP ETF gets approved, it will have the potential to open the floodgates of capital inflow, meaning it could reach new heights in 2025.”

“鉴于 XRP 在近 3 年里一直徘徊在 0.50 美元左右，其近期的突破势头反映出投资者对监管清晰度和未来几个月 XRP ETF 可能获得批准的乐观态度达到了新的水平。如果XRP ETF获得批准，它将有可能打开资本流入的闸门，这意味着它可能在2025年达到新的高度。”

Toledano warns XRP holders to be wary as altcoins take volatility to the next level in the current market cycle.

Toledano 警告 XRP 持有者要保持警惕，因为山寨币在当前市场周期中将波动性提升到了一个新的水平。

He said:

他说：

“Altcoin ETFs have genuine potential to attract capital, especially if supported by innovation-friendly policies with the new incoming U.S. administration. But, their success may be less consistent compared to Bitcoin ETFs due to the seemingly episodic nature of interest in altcoins.

“山寨币 ETF 具有吸引资本的真正潜力，特别是如果受到即将上任的美国新政府的创新友好政策的支持。但是，由于人们对山寨币的兴趣看似间歇性，因此与比特币 ETF 相比，它们的成功可能不太稳定。

Just take a look at fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price this week. The factors are multifaceted; we could say it’s Trump, seasonality,

看看本周比特币价格的波动就知道了。影响因素是多方面的；我们可以说这是特朗普，季节性，