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XRP 過去一週上漲超過 40%。比特幣(BTC)是最大的加密貨幣,從 90,000 美元以下的閃崩中恢復過來,並在週五重返 104,000 美元以上。
XRP price analysis: Token hits new all-time high, to extend rally post-Trump inauguration?
XRP 價格分析:代幣創下歷史新高,川普就職後將延續漲勢?
XRP price rallied over 40% in the past week, hitting a new all-time high with a 24-hour trade volume that left Ethereum (ETH) to bite the dust on Thursday.
XRP 價格在過去一周上漲了 40% 以上,創下歷史新高,24 小時交易量讓以太坊 (ETH) 週四慘遭淘汰。
The token is likely to extend its rally in the coming days following President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration.
在當選總統唐納德·川普就職後的未來幾天內,該代幣可能會繼續上漲。
XRP price rallies over 40% in the past week
XRP 價格過去一週上漲超過 40%
Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency recovered from its flashcrash under $90,000 and made a comeback above $104,000 on Friday. The native token of the XRPLedger is rallying alongside the top crypto.
比特幣(BTC)是最大的加密貨幣,從 90,000 美元以下的閃崩中恢復過來,並在週五重返 104,000 美元以上。 XRPLedger 的原生代幣正在與頂級加密貨幣一起上漲。
Trump’s upcoming inauguration is one of the leading catalysts, alongside optimism on crypto regulation, pro-crypto policy and a new approach by financial regulatory agencies in the U.S.
川普即將就職典禮是主要催化劑之一,此外還有對加密貨幣監管、支持加密貨幣的政策以及美國金融監管機構採取的新方法的樂觀情緒
XRP price could gain further, entering price discovery next week.
XRP 價格可能進一步上漲,下週進入價格發現階段。
At the time of publication, XRP trades at $3.26.
截至本文發佈時,XRP 交易價格為 3.26 美元。
On-chain indicators support XRP price gains
鏈上指標支持 XRP 價格上漲
On-chain indicators support a bullish thesis for XRP. The total funding rate metric is positive, greater than one throughout January 2025.
鏈上指標支持 XRP 的看漲論點。總資金費率指標為正,在 2025 年 1 月期間均大於 1。
The count of active addresses recorded a large spike on Thursday, Jan. 16.
1 月 16 日星期四,活躍地址數量大幅增加。
On-chain indicators on Santiment are conducive to further gains in XRP in the coming week.
Santiment 的鏈上指標有利於 XRP 在未來一週進一步上漲。
The supply distribution metric on Santiment shows an increase in XRP token supply held by wallets that own 10,000 to 100,000, 1 million to 10 million and 100 million and above XRP tokens.
Santiment 的供應分佈指標顯示,擁有 10,000 至 100,000、100 萬至 1000 萬以及 1 億及以上 XRP 代幣的錢包所持有的 XRP 代幣供應量有所增加。
The three classes of holders have accumulated the altcoin, even as the price climbs. This is indicative of a likely XRP price increase in the future.
即使價格上漲,這三類持有者仍然累積了山寨幣。這表明 XRP 價格未來可能會上漲。
Market movers and Ripple lawsuit
市場推動者和 Ripple 訴訟
Monday’s inauguration is the largest market mover in crypto. But RippleNet’s rising adoption among institutions, the developments in RLUSD stablecoin and the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple are the three key market movers influencing the altcoin’s price.
週一的就職典禮是加密貨幣領域最大的市場推動者。但 RippleNet 在機構中的日益普及、RLUSD 穩定幣的發展以及 SEC 對 Ripple 的訴訟是影響山寨幣價格的三個關鍵市場推動因素。
Even as the U.S. financial regulator filed an appeal against Ripple on Jan. 15, the altcoin continued its rally undeterred.
儘管美國金融監管機構於 1 月 15 日對 Ripple 提起上訴,但該山寨幣仍繼續上漲。
The July 2023 ruling by Judge Analisa Torres that classified secondary sales of XRP as non-securities is being challenged and the SEC is seeking to have those retail sales classified as unregistered securities sales.
法官 Analisa Torres 於 2023 年 7 月做出的將 XRP 的二級銷售歸類為非證券的裁決受到質疑,SEC 正在尋求將這些零售銷售歸類為未註冊的證券銷售。
Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told crypto.news in an exclusive interview:
Bitget Research 首席分析師 Ryan Lee 在接受 crypto.news 獨家採訪時表示:
“XRP’s surge can be attributed to favorable outcomes in Ripple’s SEC lawsuit and a more crypto-friendly political climate in the US. If regulatory uncertainties are resolved, the influx of institutional investors could further solidify XRP’s position in the crypto market.”
「XRP 的飆升可歸因於 Ripple 向 SEC 提起的訴訟的有利結果以及美國對加密貨幣更加友好的政治氛圍。如果監管的不確定性得到解決,機構投資者的湧入可能會進一步鞏固 XRP 在加密市場的地位。
It remains to be seen whether the Trump administration will support pro-crypto regulation and whether it influences the outcome of lawsuits against firms like Ripple Labs.
川普政府是否會支持加密貨幣監管,以及它是否會影響針對 Ripple Labs 等公司的訴訟結果,還有待觀察。
Technical analysis and XRP price forecast
技術分析和 XRP 價格預測
XRP price is hovering close to its all-time high at $3.40. At the time of writing, XRP traded at $3.2385. A 22% price rally could push XRP into price discovery, at the 141.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the climb from the $1.9054 low to the $3.4000 peak.
XRP 價格徘徊在接近歷史高點 3.40 美元的水平。截至撰寫本文時,XRP 交易價格為 3.2385 美元。價格上漲 22% 可能會推動 XRP 進入價格發現階段,即從 1.9054 美元低點攀升至 3.4000 美元峰值的 141.4% 斐波那契回撤位。
The technical indicators, RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis for XRP. MACD flashes consecutive green histogram bars. Traders need to keep their eyes peeled as RSI signals that the token is currently overbought or overvalued, as it reads 83.
技術指標 RSI 和 MACD 支持 XRP 的看漲論點。 MACD 閃爍連續的綠色長條圖。交易者需要保持警惕,因為 RSI 表明該代幣目前處於超買或高估狀態,其讀數為 83。
In the event of a correction, XRP could find support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.6977.
如果出現回調,XRP 可能會在 50% 斐波那契回檔位 2.6977 美元處找到支撐。
Expert commentary on XRP
XRP 專家評論
James Toledano, COO at Unity Wallet, told crypto.news in an exclusive interview:
Unity Wallet 營運長 James Toledano 在獨家專訪中告訴 crypto.news:
“Given that XRP was stuck at around $0.50 for literally 3 years, its recent breakout momentum reflects new levels of investor optimism around regulatory clarity and the potential approval of an XRP ETF in the following months. If the XRP ETF gets approved, it will have the potential to open the floodgates of capital inflow, meaning it could reach new heights in 2025.”
「鑑於 XRP 在近 3 年裡一直徘徊在 0.50 美元左右,其近期的突破勢頭反映出投資者對監管清晰度和未來幾個月 XRP ETF 可能獲得批准的樂觀態度達到了新的水平。如果XRP ETF獲得批准,它將有可能打開資本流入的閘門,這意味著它可能在2025年達到新的高度。
Toledano warns XRP holders to be wary as altcoins take volatility to the next level in the current market cycle.
Toledano 警告 XRP 持有者要保持警惕,因為山寨幣在當前市場週期中將波動性提升到了一個新的水平。
He said:
他說:
“Altcoin ETFs have genuine potential to attract capital, especially if supported by innovation-friendly policies with the new incoming U.S. administration. But, their success may be less consistent compared to Bitcoin ETFs due to the seemingly episodic nature of interest in altcoins.
「山寨幣 ETF 具有吸引資本的真正潛力,特別是如果受到即將上任的美國政府的創新友好政策的支持。但是,由於人們對山寨幣的興趣看似間歇性,因此與比特幣 ETF 相比,它們的成功可能不太穩定。
Just take a look at fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price this week. The factors are multifaceted; we could say it’s Trump, seasonality,
看看本週比特幣價格的波動就知道了。影響因素是多方面的;我們可以說這是川普,季節性,
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