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随着看跌压力加剧,XRP 多头陷入困境;下行风险迫在眉睫

2024/04/03 22:48

XRP 价格偏离了更广泛的市场趋势,整个 3 月份都在窄幅区间内盘整。该资产面临巨大的看跌压力,下跌超过 8%,达到 0.58 美元左右的水平。尽管预期看涨反弹,但看跌热潮可能即将来临。价格已进入上升通道,在支撑位和阻力位之间波动。目前,它已经达到了下降三角形的较低支撑位,引发了人们对多头是否有能力引发趋势逆转的质疑。 MACD 表明存在看涨交叉的可能性,但 XRP 可能会在三角形内保持盘整,直到持续看涨突破。

随着看跌压力加剧,XRP 多头陷入困境;下行风险迫在眉睫

XRP Price Analysis: Bulls Face Uphill Battle as Bearish Pressure Looms

XRP 价格分析:看跌压力逼近,多头面临艰苦战斗

Amidst the broader market's valiant efforts to defy the bearish torrent, XRP prices have remained unyielding in their downtrend. The March trade commenced with consolidation within a constrained range, but a profoundly bearish sentiment emerged at the month's outset. Levels plummeted from the consolidated zone around $0.62, experiencing an abrupt 8% decline to reach levels close to $0.58. As traders harbor hopes for a bullish resurgence, they may soon confront another bearish onslaught.

在更广泛的市场奋力抵抗看跌洪流的情况下,XRP 价格在下跌趋势中依然坚不可摧。 3 月份交易开始时在有限区间内盘整,但月初出现了严重的看跌情绪。价格从 0.62 美元左右的综合区域暴跌,突然下跌 8%,达到接近 0.58 美元的水平。由于交易者对看涨复苏抱有希望,他们可能很快就会面临另一场看跌冲击。

The price action embarked upon an ascending channel, escalating to the support level. However, another rebound precipitated a swift descent back towards the channel's support line. The trade trajectory underwent a transformation, experiencing an upward thrust that propelled it to the resistance level, effectively breaching the $0.5665 support zone. This triggered a precipitous correction, followed by a reiteration of the upward momentum that propelled the price to $0.7440, surpassing $0.6630 and exiting the channel.

价格走势进入上升通道,升级至支撑位。然而,另一次反弹促使价格迅速回落至通道支撑线。交易轨迹发生了转变,经历了向上的推力,将其推向阻力位,有效突破了 0.5665 美元的支撑区域。这引发了急剧回调,随后重申了上涨势头,将价格推至 0.7440 美元,突破 0.6630 美元并退出通道。

With the trade now gravitating towards the lower support of the triangle subsequent to the breach of the resistance, the question arises: will the bulls be capable of maintaining that support?

随着突破阻力位后交易现在转向三角形的较低支撑位,问题出现了:多头是否有能力维持该支撑位?

As previously mentioned, the XRP price has attained the lower support of the descending triangle, and it will be intriguing to observe whether the bulls can orchestrate a trend reversal. The prevailing trading conditions fail to corroborate a bullish narrative, but the MACD suggests the potential for a trend reversal as levels draw nearer to achieving a bullish crossover. Nonetheless, until these levels ascend within the bullish range, the XRP price may remain confined within the triangle.

如前所述,XRP 价格已达到下降三角形的较低支撑位,观察多头是否能策划趋势逆转将是一件有趣的事情。目前的交易状况未能证实看涨的说法,但 MACD 表明,随着价格水平接近实现看涨交叉,趋势可能会逆转。尽管如此,在这些水平上升到看涨范围内之前,XRP 价格可能仍局限于三角形内。

Furthermore, a protracted perspective raises significant concerns as the price confronts one of its pivotal support levels. In the short term, the 200-day MA serves as a critical support level, but over a more extended period, it has consistently fulfilled a robust support function. After steadfastly defending this support for several days, the bulls seem to have weakened, increasing the likelihood of a breach at the lower support.

此外,当价格面临关键支撑位之一时,长期前景会引发重大担忧。短期来看,200日均线是关键支撑位,但在较长时期内,它始终发挥着强劲的支撑作用。在连续几天坚定捍卫这一支撑位之后,多头似乎已经减弱,增加了突破较低支撑位的可能性。

In the long term, the XRP price is scrutinizing the 200-day MA levels, which underscores the bearish nature of the trade. The DMI is on the cusp of signaling a bearish trend as the ADX oscillates within a lower range, while both the +Di and -Di are approaching a bearish crossover. Consequently, a decline to $0.522 appears imminent, and should the bulls fail to safeguard this support, a substantial correction could ensue, potentially dragging levels down below $0.5.

从长期来看,XRP 价格正在审视 200 日均线水平,这凸显了交易的看跌性质。随着 ADX 在较低范围内振荡,DMI 即将发出看跌趋势信号,而 +Di 和 -Di 都接近看跌交叉。因此,价格似乎即将跌至 0.522 美元,如果多头未能捍卫这一支撑位,则可能会出现大幅调整,可能会将价格拖至 0.5 美元以下。

However, the broader market dynamics do not seem to favor such a pessimistic scenario. Consequently, a minor correction could attract significant liquidity, potentially propelling the XRP price above its current bearish constraints.

然而,更广泛的市场动态似乎并不支持这种悲观的情况。因此,小幅调整可能会吸引大量流动性,从而有可能推动 XRP 价格突破当前的看跌限制。

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