如果重复的历史模式上演，当前周期中的 XRP 突破可能会为代币反弹至 100 美元做好准备

技术分析师 Gert van Lagen 表示，该预测是基于 Ripple 附属代币已确认双底突破的事实

XRP’s recent breakout might be preparing the token for a rally to $100 if a repeating historical pattern plays out, according to technical analyst Gert van Lagen.

技术分析师格特·范拉根 (Gert van Lagen) 表示，如果重复的历史模式上演，XRP 最近的突破可能会为反弹至 100 美元做好准备。

The projection is based on the fact that XRP has confirmed a double-bottom breakout, a bullish structure that previously led to XRP’s rise in 2017.

该预测基于 XRP 已确认双底突破这一事实，这是一种看涨结构，曾导致 XRP 在 2017 年上涨。

In an X post on January 14, Van Lagen noted that the double-bottom formation emerged in the 2017-2018 cycle, during which XRP surged to its all-time high near $3.50 after breaking through its neckline resistance and successfully retesting it.

Van Lagen 在 1 月 14 日的 X 帖子中指出，双底形态出现在 2017-2018 年周期中，在此期间，XRP 在突破颈线阻力并成功重新测试后飙升至 3.50 美元附近的历史高点。

Now, amid the current market cycle, the analyst observed that XRP has repeated this structure, bouncing from the neckline after a retest.

现在，在当前的市场周期中，分析师观察到 XRP 重复了这种结构，在重新测试后从颈线反弹。

Van Lagen’s projection suggests that XRP could follow a similar trajectory, making the next target possibly around $100.

Van Lagen 的预测表明，XRP 可能会遵循类似的轨迹，使下一个目标可能在 100 美元左右。

It is worth noting that although such a rally might be driven by underlying fundamentals around Ripple partnerships and regulatory developments, it remains highly ambitious. Achieving this target will also require significant support from the overall sustainability of the cryptocurrency market rally.

值得注意的是，尽管这种反弹可能是由 Ripple 合作伙伴关系和监管发展的基本面推动的，但它仍然雄心勃勃。实现这一目标还需要加密货币市场反弹整体可持续性的大力支持。

Indeed, a $100 target would elevate XRP’s market cap to $5.74 trillion, making it the most valuable cryptocurrency, provided assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) post minimal growth over the same period. However, Van Lagen did not offer a specific timeline for when XRP might reach this ambitious $100 target.

事实上，100 美元的目标将使 XRP 的市值升至 5.74 万亿美元，使其成为最有价值的加密货币，前提是比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 等资产在同一时期内增长幅度最小。然而，Van Lagen 并未提供 XRP 何时达到这一雄心勃勃的 100 美元目标的具体时间表。

While the $100 mark may not seem achievable in the short term, XRP investors could interpret the asset’s recent breakout as a potential indicator of its trajectory toward this goal.

虽然短期内似乎无法达到 100 美元大关，但 XRP 投资者可以将该资产最近的突破解读为其实现这一目标轨迹的潜在指标。

What next for XRP’s price

XRP 的价格接下来会怎样

XRP has experienced one of the longest consolidation periods below the $1 mark, but recently broke out amid the post-election rally, driven by anticipation of Donald Trump’s pro-cryptocurrency stance.

XRP 经历了 1 美元以下最长的盘整期之一，但最近在唐纳德·特朗普支持加密货币立场的预期推动下，在大选后的反弹中爆发。

Elsewhere, an analysis by Cryptoinsightuk in an X post on January 14 suggested that XRP’s technical setup points to a massive rally that “will leave people in shock.” According to the expert, the XRP/BTC pair has broken out of a multi-year downtrend.

另一方面，Cryptoinsightuk 在 1 月 14 日的 X 帖子中进行的分析表明，XRP 的技术设置表明将出现大规模反弹，“将让人们感到震惊”。据专家称，XRP/BTC 货币对已突破多年下降趋势。

Between 2013 and 2017, XRP consolidated against Bitcoin for 1,277 days before skyrocketing by an astounding 5,492%. Fast-forward to 2024, and XRP has just completed a significantly longer consolidation period of 2,741 days—more than twice the length of the prior cycle. With this breakout, the potential for a similarly exponential rally is anticipated.

2013 年至 2017 年间，XRP 相对于比特币盘整了 1,277 天，然后飙升了 5,492%。快进到 2024 年，XRP 刚刚完成了 2,741 天的明显更长的盘整期，是前一个周期长度的两倍多。随着这次突破，预计有可能出现类似的指数级反弹。

This short-term bullish breakout is also supported by analysis from World of Charts, which predicted that XRP could target $4 in the “next couple of days.” Meanwhile, Alan Santana pointed out that XRP’s recent short-term rally against the general market momentum indicates that the token’s bullish breakout has been confirmed.

这种短期看涨突破也得到了 World of Charts 分析的支持，该分析预测 XRP 可能在“未来几天”达到 4 美元的目标。与此同时，Alan Santana 指出，XRP 最近的短期反弹表明该代币的看涨突破已经得到证实。

XRP price analysis

瑞波币价格分析

At press time, XRP was trading at $2.59, having rallied by over 7% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, the asset has gained 5.3%.

截至发稿时，XRP 交易价格为 2.59 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 7% 以上。从周线图来看，该资产上涨了 5.3%。

At its current price, XRP is showing strong bullish momentum as it remains above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and 200-day SMA. With a 14-day RSI of 60.20, XRP is nearing bullish territory without being overbought, leaving room for further gains.

以目前的价格来看，XRP 表现出强劲的看涨势头，因为它仍高于 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 和 200 日移动平均线。 XRP 的 14 天 RSI 为 60.20，接近看涨区域，但没有超买，为进一步上涨留下了空间。

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