如果重複的歷史模式上演，當前週期中的 XRP 突破可能會為代幣反彈至 100 美元做好準備

技術分析師 Gert van Lagen 表示，該預測是基於 Ripple 附屬代幣已確認雙底突破的事實

XRP’s recent breakout might be preparing the token for a rally to $100 if a repeating historical pattern plays out, according to technical analyst Gert van Lagen.

技術分析師 Gert van Lagen 表示，如果重複的歷史模式上演，XRP 最近的突破可能會為反彈至 100 美元做好準備。

The projection is based on the fact that XRP has confirmed a double-bottom breakout, a bullish structure that previously led to XRP’s rise in 2017.

該預測基於 XRP 已確認雙底突破這一事實，這是一種看漲結構，曾導致 XRP 在 2017 年上漲。

In an X post on January 14, Van Lagen noted that the double-bottom formation emerged in the 2017-2018 cycle, during which XRP surged to its all-time high near $3.50 after breaking through its neckline resistance and successfully retesting it.

Van Lagen 在 1 月 14 日的 X 貼文中指出，雙底形態出現在 2017-2018 年周期中，在此期間，XRP 在突破頸線阻力並成功重新測試後飆升至 3.50 美元附近的歷史高點。

Now, amid the current market cycle, the analyst observed that XRP has repeated this structure, bouncing from the neckline after a retest.

現在，在當前的市場週期中，分析師觀察到 XRP 重複了這種結構，在重新測試後從頸部反彈。

Van Lagen’s projection suggests that XRP could follow a similar trajectory, making the next target possibly around $100.

Van Lagen 的預測表明，XRP 可能會遵循類似的軌跡，使下一個目標可能在 100 美元左右。

It is worth noting that although such a rally might be driven by underlying fundamentals around Ripple partnerships and regulatory developments, it remains highly ambitious. Achieving this target will also require significant support from the overall sustainability of the cryptocurrency market rally.

值得注意的是，儘管這種反彈可能是由 Ripple 合作夥伴關係和監管發展的基本面所推動的，但它仍然雄心勃勃。要實現這一目標還需要加密貨幣市場反彈整體永續性的大力支持。

Indeed, a $100 target would elevate XRP’s market cap to $5.74 trillion, making it the most valuable cryptocurrency, provided assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) post minimal growth over the same period. However, Van Lagen did not offer a specific timeline for when XRP might reach this ambitious $100 target.

事實上，100 美元的目標將使XRP 的市值升至5.74 兆美元，使其成為最有價值的加密貨幣，前提是比特幣(BTC) 和以太坊(ETH) 等資產在同一時期內增長幅度最小。然而，Van Lagen 並未提供 XRP 何時達到這一雄心勃勃的 100 美元目標的具體時間表。

While the $100 mark may not seem achievable in the short term, XRP investors could interpret the asset’s recent breakout as a potential indicator of its trajectory toward this goal.

雖然短期內似乎無法達到 100 美元大關，但 XRP 投資者可以將該資產最近的突破解釋為其實現這一目標軌蹟的潛在指標。

What next for XRP’s price

XRP 的價格接下來會怎樣

XRP has experienced one of the longest consolidation periods below the $1 mark, but recently broke out amid the post-election rally, driven by anticipation of Donald Trump’s pro-cryptocurrency stance.

XRP 經歷了 1 美元以下最長的盤整期之一，但最近在唐納德·川普支持加密貨幣立場的預期推動下，在大選後的反彈中爆發。

Elsewhere, an analysis by Cryptoinsightuk in an X post on January 14 suggested that XRP’s technical setup points to a massive rally that “will leave people in shock.” According to the expert, the XRP/BTC pair has broken out of a multi-year downtrend.

另一方面，Cryptoinsightuk 在 1 月 14 日的 X 貼文中進行的分析表明，XRP 的技術設定表明將出現大規模反彈，「會讓人們感到震驚」。據專家稱，XRP/BTC 貨幣對已突破多年下降趨勢。

Between 2013 and 2017, XRP consolidated against Bitcoin for 1,277 days before skyrocketing by an astounding 5,492%. Fast-forward to 2024, and XRP has just completed a significantly longer consolidation period of 2,741 days—more than twice the length of the prior cycle. With this breakout, the potential for a similarly exponential rally is anticipated.

2013 年至 2017 年間，XRP 相對於比特幣盤整了 1,277 天，然後飆升了 5,492%。快進到 2024 年，XRP 剛剛完成了 2,741 天的明顯更長的盤整期，是前一個週期長度的兩倍多。隨著這次突破，預計有可能出現類似的指數級反彈。

This short-term bullish breakout is also supported by analysis from World of Charts, which predicted that XRP could target $4 in the “next couple of days.” Meanwhile, Alan Santana pointed out that XRP’s recent short-term rally against the general market momentum indicates that the token’s bullish breakout has been confirmed.

這種短期看漲突破也得到了 World of Charts 分析的支持，預測 XRP 可能在「未來幾天」達到 4 美元的目標。同時，Alan Santana 指出，XRP 最近的短期反彈表明該代幣的看漲突破已經得到證實。

XRP price analysis

瑞波幣價格分析

At press time, XRP was trading at $2.59, having rallied by over 7% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, the asset has gained 5.3%.

截至發稿時，XRP 交易價格為 2.59 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 7% 以上。從週線圖來看，該資產上漲了 5.3%。

At its current price, XRP is showing strong bullish momentum as it remains above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and 200-day SMA. With a 14-day RSI of 60.20, XRP is nearing bullish territory without being overbought, leaving room for further gains.

以目前的價格來看，XRP 表現出強勁的看漲勢頭，因為它仍高於 50 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 和 200 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA)。 XRP 的 14 天 RSI 為 60.20，接近看漲區域，但沒有超買，為進一步上漲留下了空間。

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