XLM（出色）价格预测：看跌头和肩膀模式可能导致30％的下降

Stellar（XLM）是Stellar网络的本地令牌，也是XRP的竞争对手，目前处于关键点。资产一直显示出无力的迹象

Stellar (XLM), the native token of the Stellar network and a competitor to XRP, is currently at a pivotal point as its price hovers above crucial support. However, ongoing bearish sentiment and declining market momentum suggest that the token could be heading for a significant drop.

Stellar（XLM）是Stellar网络的本地令牌，也是XRP的竞争对手，目前正处于关键点，因为其价格徘徊在关键支持之上。但是，持续的看跌情绪和市场势头下降表明，令牌可能会大幅下降。

After forming a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the four-hour timeframe, a classic signal that a downtrend could be unfolding, Stellar’s price is now testing the neckline support of this pattern.

在四个小时的时间范围内形成了看跌头和肩膀的图案之后，经典的信号表明下降可能正在展开，Stellar的价格现在正在测试这种模式的领口支持。

If XLM manages to break below this neckline and close a four-hour candle under $0.265, historical price trends suggest that the token could drop as much as 30%, setting a target around $0.19.

如果XLM设法在此领口以下打破并关闭0.265美元以下的四小时蜡烛，则历史价格趋势表明，令牌可能会下降多达30％，将目标定为0.19美元左右。

On the other hand, if buyers can keep the price above the neckline and push it back above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.285, it could stall the bearish setup and set the stage for a short-term recovery.

另一方面，如果买家可以将价格保持在领口上方，并将其推回50％的斐波那契回收水平，则为0.285美元，它可能会使看跌的设置停滞不前，并为短期恢复奠定了基础。

Key Levels to Watch

观看的关键水平

At present, XLM is trading at $0.275, indicating a loss of over 4.5% in the last 24 hours.

目前，XLM的交易价格为0.275美元，表明过去24小时内损失超过4.5％。

Adding to the bearish narrative, trading volume has decreased by 35%, showing that traders are participating less at these levels. This lack of interest could make it easier for the asset to continue moving down.

除看跌的叙述外，交易量减少了35％，这表明交易者在这些水平上的参与较少。这种缺乏兴趣可能会使资产更容易继续下降。

On-chain data from Coin glass reveals that traders have taken over-leveraged positions around key levels. At the lower end, $0.27 is acting as a strong support zone, where traders who went short at $0.285 might place stops.

硬币玻璃的链链数据表明，交易者在关键水平上采取了过度杠杆率的位置。在下端，0.27美元的薪水是一个强大的支持区，在该区域的销售商处于0.285美元的价格，可能会停止。

On the upper side, $0.285 is emerging as a crucial resistance level, as a break above this point could open the way for further gains.

在上侧，$ 0.285正在成为关键的阻力水平，因为超过这一点的突破可能为进一步的增长打开了道路。

Key Observations from On-Chain Data:

链接数据的主要观察结果：

Over-leveraged positions are evident at $0.27, indicating strong support in this zone.

过度验证的职位显而易见，为0.27美元，表明该区域有很大的支持。

As traders unwind their leveraged positions, we can expect increased volatility.

当交易者放松自己的杠杆位置时，我们可以预期波动性的增加。

At the upper level, $0.285 is acting as a resistance zone, where leveraged traders might place their take-profit orders.

在高层，$ 0.285充当电阻区，杠杆交易者可能下达其个性化订单。

What’s Next for XLM

XLM的下一步

In the final analysis, XLM’s fate rests on whether it can stay above the crucial support at $0.265. If the bears manage to push the price below this level, it could open the door for a sharp 30% drop toward $0.19.

在最终分析中，XLM的命运取决于它是否可以保持在关键支持的高度为0.265美元。如果熊队设法将价格提高到此水平以下，它可能会以急速30％的速度打开门，跌至0.19美元。

However, if the bulls can defend this support and push the price back above $0.285, it could trigger a short-term relief rally, invalidating the bearish setup.

但是，如果公牛队可以捍卫这一支持并将价格推迟到0.285美元以上，则可能会引发短期救济集会，使看跌的设置无效。