10x Research的负责人加密研究者不排除比特币重复其2024年价格动作

比特币（BTC）的当前图表信号“市场犹豫不决”

10x Research's head crypto researcher isn't ruling out Bitcoin repeating its 2024 price action, where it spent the majority of the year consolidating after hitting all-time highs early on.

10X Research的负责人加密研究者不排除比特币重复其2024年的价格行动，在此期间大部分时间都在一年中花费了大部分时间。

“Very possible,” Markus Thielen told Cointelegraph when asked what the chances of Bitcoin (BTC) repeating a similar market movement to 2024.

“很可能，”当被问及比特币（BTC）重复与2024年相似的市场运动的机会时，Markus Thielen告诉Cointelegraph。

In March 2024, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $73,679 before entering a consolidation phase, swinging within a range of around $20,000 up until Donald Trump was elected as US president in November.

2024年3月，比特币在进入合并阶段之前达到了73,679美元的历史最高点，直到11月唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）当选为美国总统。

Bitcoin's current chart signals 'market indecision'

比特币当前的图表信号“市场犹豫不决”

Thielen said he had this thought even two months ago, around the time Bitcoin hit its current all-time high of $109,000 on the day of Trump's inauguration.

蒂伦（Thielen）说，他甚至在两个月前都有这个想法，那时比特币在特朗普就职当天达到了目前的109,000美元高点。

He explained in his most recent market report on March 15 that Bitcoin's current chart shows signs of a “High and Tight Flag,” which, despite typically being a bullish continuation pattern, shows signs of weakness.

他在3月15日的最新市场报告中解释说，比特币的当前图表显示了“高而紧密的旗帜”的迹象，尽管通常是看涨的延续模式，但它显示出虚弱的迹象。

"Two flags instead of a single, precise formation weaken this setup. As a result, the pattern currently suggests market indecision rather than a straightforward bullish consolidation."

“两个旗帜而不是一个精确的形成削弱了这种设置。结果，该模式目前暗示了市场犹豫而不是直接的看涨巩固。”

Meanwhile, he also pointed out that the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market shows no signs of a “buy-the-dip” mentality.

同时，他还指出，现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）市场没有表现出“浸入式”心态的迹象。

'Little incentive' to take advantage of Bitcoin's recent price dip

利用比特币最近的价格下跌的“小动力”

“This aligns with our view that most ETF flows came from arbitrage-driven hedge funds. Given the persistently low funding rates, there’s little incentive or willingness to deploy additional capital despite the recent price correction.”

“这与我们认为大多数ETF流来自套利驱动的对冲基金。鉴于持续低的资金率，尽管最近进行了价格校正，但几乎没有动力或愿意部署额外的资金。”

Since the beginning of March, when Bitcoin fell below $90,000, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US have recorded total outflows of around $1.66 billion, according to Farside data.

自3月初以来，比特币低于90,000美元以下，美国的现货比特币ETF记录的总流出量约为16.6亿美元。

Bitcoin is trading at $84,290 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap. This represents a 23% decline from its $109,000 January all-time high.

根据CoinMarketCap的数据，在出版时，比特币的交易价格为84,290美元。这比1月109,000美元的历史最高水平下降了23％。

Bitcoin is down 12.86% over the past month. Source: CoinMarketCap

在过去的一个月中，比特币下跌了12.86％。资料来源：CoinMarketCap

Thielen is unsure if Bitcoin’s uptrend will resume in the short term. ”Therefore, it may be prudent to close short positions at this stage, although there remains little evidence to support a strong price recovery,” Thielen said.

Thielen不确定比特币的上升趋势是否会在短期内恢复。 Thielen说：“因此，在此阶段关闭短职位可能是谨慎的，尽管几乎没有证据支持强劲的价格恢复。”

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Ever since Bitcoin fell below $80,000 on Feb. 28 — the first time since November — amid growing macroeconomic uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs, several crypto analysts have been predicting further downfall for the asset.

自2月28日（11月以来第一次）比特币低于80,000美元以来，由于对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）提议的关税的宏观经济不确定性越来越大，几位加密分析师一直在预测资产进一步衰落。

On March 10, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom chief investment officer Arthur Hayes said “it looks like Bitcoin will retest $78,000.” "If it fails, $75,000 is next in the crosshairs," he added.

3月10日，BITMEX联合创始人和Maelstrom首席投资官Arthur Hayes说：“看来比特币将重新估算78,000美元。”他补充说：“如果失败了，十字准线中下一个$ 75,000。”

Meanwhile, Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph on March 11 that the low $70,000 range could “provide a foundation for a more sustainable recovery.”

同时，数字资产投资平台Nexo的调度分析师Iliya Kalchev于3月11日告诉Cointelegraph，低70,000美元的范围“可以为更可持续的恢复提供基础。”