比特币（BTC）价格预测：比特币会飙升至新的高点还是面对另一个下降？

比特币一直在经历大幅度波动，最近跌至77,000美元以下，然后弹跳到约83,000美元左右。

Bitcoin has been making headlines for its big price swings, recently dropping below $77,000 before bouncing back to around $83,000.

比特币一直因其大幅度波动而成为头条新闻，最近跌至77,000美元以下，然后弹跳回83,000美元左右。

These moves have been driven by a mix of regulatory issues, economic uncertainty, and large market liquidations. But the real game-changer could be just around the corner.

这些举动是由监管问题，经济不确定性和大型市场清算的混合所驱动的。但是真正的改变游戏规则的人可能会临近。

All eyes are now on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting—a key event that could have a significant impact on the crypto market.

现在，所有人都关注即将举行的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议，这一关键活动可能会对加密货币市场产生重大影响。

With investors on edge and speculation running high, the big question is: Will Bitcoin soar to new highs or face another drop? Here’s what you need to know.

随着投资者处于边缘状态并猜测高高，最大的问题是：比特币会飙升至新的高点还是面对另一个下降？这是您需要知道的。

What to Expect from the FOMC Meeting

FOMC会议的期望

The FOMC meeting, scheduled for March 19, is expected to provide an update on the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates.

原定于3月19日举行的FOMC会议预计将提供有关美联储有关利率立场的最新消息。

Experts from institutions like Trading Economics predict that the Fed will keep rates at 4.25% to 4.5%, the same as in January.

来自贸易经济学等机构的专家预测，美联储将使利率保持在4.25％至4.5％，与一月份相同。

However, despite this prediction, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have signaled a cautious approach to rate changes, highlighting ongoing economic uncertainties.

然而，尽管有这样的预测，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和其他官员表明了对变化的谨慎方法，强调了正在进行的经济不确定性。

Key concerns include inflation risks and the potential impact of President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

关键的关注包括通货膨胀风险以及唐纳德·特朗普总统的贸易政策的潜在影响。

How Interest Rates Could Impact Bitcoin

利率如何影响比特币

If the Fed decides to hold rates steady, it could be seen as a sign of economic stability, which may encourage investors to take more risks with assets like Bitcoin.

如果美联储决定保持利率稳定，则可以将其视为经济稳定的标志，这可能会鼓励投资者使用比特币等资产承担更多风险。

Some analysts, like those at DigitalCoinPrice, believe that if Bitcoin manages to close above its 2024 high of around $70,000, it could then rally toward its next resistance level, which is at $95,000.

像DigitalCoinprice一样，一些分析师认为，如果比特币设法超过其2024年高约70,000美元的高度，它可能会朝着下一个阻力水平集结，为95,000美元。

However, if Bitcoin drops below that 2024 high and continues down, it may follow a pattern similar to what happened in 2017, where Bitcoin retested the previous year’s peak in December before declining further.

但是，如果比特币降至2024年高的高度下降，它可能会遵循类似于2017年发生的模式，在该模式下，比特币在12月重新下降，然后进一步下降。

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost points out that Bitcoin’s open interest has surged to $33 billion, indicating that many traders are using leverage to make significant bets on the direction of Bitcoin.

CryptoQuant分析师DarkFost指出，比特币的开放兴趣已飙升至330亿美元，这表明许多交易者正在利用杠杆作用，在比特币方向上大量赌注。

At the same time, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen highlights that political uncertainty and macroeconomic factors have been leading to liquidations, which tend to cause short-term price dips.

同时，加密分析师本杰明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）强调，政治不确定性和宏观经济因素已导致清算，这往往会导致短期价格下跌。

With the FOMC decision rapidly approaching, Bitcoin traders are preparing for the possibility of increased volatility as the market reacts to the implications of the meeting.

随着FOMC的决定迅速临近，比特币交易者正在准备增加波动率的可能性，因为市场对会议的影响做出了反应。