比特幣（BTC）價格預測：比特幣會飆升至新的高點還是面對另一個下降？

比特幣一直在經歷大幅度波動，最近跌至77,000美元以下，然後彈跳到約83,000美元左右。

Bitcoin has been making headlines for its big price swings, recently dropping below $77,000 before bouncing back to around $83,000.

比特幣一直因其大幅度波動而成為頭條新聞，最近跌至77,000美元以下，然後彈跳回83,000美元左右。

These moves have been driven by a mix of regulatory issues, economic uncertainty, and large market liquidations. But the real game-changer could be just around the corner.

這些舉動是由監管問題，經濟不確定性和大型市場清算的混合所驅動的。但是真正的改變遊戲規則的人可能會臨近。

All eyes are now on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting—a key event that could have a significant impact on the crypto market.

現在，所有人都關注即將舉行的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議，這一關鍵活動可能會對加密貨幣市場產生重大影響。

With investors on edge and speculation running high, the big question is: Will Bitcoin soar to new highs or face another drop? Here’s what you need to know.

隨著投資者處於邊緣狀態並猜測高高，最大的問題是：比特幣會飆升至新的高點還是面對另一個下降？這是您需要知道的。

What to Expect from the FOMC Meeting

FOMC會議的期望

The FOMC meeting, scheduled for March 19, is expected to provide an update on the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates.

原定於3月19日舉行的FOMC會議預計將提供有關美聯儲有關利率立場的最新消息。

Experts from institutions like Trading Economics predict that the Fed will keep rates at 4.25% to 4.5%, the same as in January.

來自貿易經濟學等機構的專家預測，美聯儲將使利率保持在4.25％至4.5％，與一月份相同。

However, despite this prediction, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have signaled a cautious approach to rate changes, highlighting ongoing economic uncertainties.

然而，儘管有這樣的預測，美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）和其他官員表明了對變化的謹慎方法，強調了正在進行的經濟不確定性。

Key concerns include inflation risks and the potential impact of President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

關鍵的關注包括通貨膨脹風險以及唐納德·特朗普總統的貿易政策的潛在影響。

How Interest Rates Could Impact Bitcoin

利率如何影響比特幣

If the Fed decides to hold rates steady, it could be seen as a sign of economic stability, which may encourage investors to take more risks with assets like Bitcoin.

如果美聯儲決定保持利率穩定，則可以將其視為經濟穩定的標誌，這可能會鼓勵投資者使用比特幣等資產承擔更多風險。

Some analysts, like those at DigitalCoinPrice, believe that if Bitcoin manages to close above its 2024 high of around $70,000, it could then rally toward its next resistance level, which is at $95,000.

像DigitalCoinprice一樣，一些分析師認為，如果比特幣設法超過其2024年高約70,000美元的高度，它可能會朝著下一個阻力水平集結，為95,000美元。

However, if Bitcoin drops below that 2024 high and continues down, it may follow a pattern similar to what happened in 2017, where Bitcoin retested the previous year’s peak in December before declining further.

但是，如果比特幣降至2024年高的高度下降，它可能會遵循類似於2017年發生的模式，在該模式下，比特幣在12月重新下降，然後進一步下降。

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost points out that Bitcoin’s open interest has surged to $33 billion, indicating that many traders are using leverage to make significant bets on the direction of Bitcoin.

CryptoQuant分析師DarkFost指出，比特幣的開放興趣已飆升至330億美元，這表明許多交易者正在利用槓桿作用，在比特幣方向上大量賭注。

At the same time, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen highlights that political uncertainty and macroeconomic factors have been leading to liquidations, which tend to cause short-term price dips.

同時，加密分析師本傑明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）強調，政治不確定性和宏觀經濟因素已導致清算，這往往會導致短期價格下跌。

With the FOMC decision rapidly approaching, Bitcoin traders are preparing for the possibility of increased volatility as the market reacts to the implications of the meeting.

隨著FOMC的決定迅速臨近，比特幣交易者正在準備增加波動率的可能性，因為市場對會議的影響做出了反應。