Whale 收购了价值 510 万美元的 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代币，预示着加密货币市场的潜在价格变化

1 月 20 日，鲸鱼在加密市场执行了一笔重大交易，以每个代币 11.60 美元的平均价格收购了 440,136 个 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代币，价值 510 万美元。

A whale made a major crypto purchase on the 20th of January, acquiring 440,136 Melania Meme [MELANIA] tokens at an average price of $11.60 per token, totaling $5.1M.

1 月 20 日，一头鲸鱼进行了一次重大加密货币购买，以每个代币 11.60 美元的平均价格购买了 440,136 个 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代币，总计 510 万美元。

At the time of writing, the token’s value has dropped to $4.40, showcasing a large decline.

截至撰写本文时，该代币的价值已跌至 4.40 美元，跌幅较大。

A high-stakes bet in the market

市场上的高风险赌注

Usually, whale activity serves as an indicator of potential price shifts in the crypto market. In this case, the whale’s purchase of MELANIA at $11.60 shows high confidence despite the token’s downtrend.

通常，鲸鱼活动可以作为加密货币市场潜在价格变化的指标。在这种情况下，尽管该代币处于下跌趋势，但鲸鱼以 11.60 美元购买 MELANIA 显示出高度的信心。

However, the drop indicated a mismatch between market sentiment and the whale’s expectations.

然而，下跌表明市场情绪与鲸鱼的预期不匹配。

The current floating loss suggests limited buying pressure to counter the price drop. If the whale decides to sell, further declines could occur.

目前的浮动亏损表明应对价格下跌的购买压力有限。如果鲸鱼决定出售，价格可能会进一步下跌。

On the other hand, whales holding assets could stabilize the market, with a reversal possible if smaller investors follow their lead.

另一方面，持有资产的鲸鱼可能会稳定市场，如果较小的投资者追随他们的脚步，市场可能会出现逆转。

Decoding MELANIA’s downward price spiral

解读 MELANIA 的价格螺旋式下降

MELANIA has been on a downtrend since peaking above $12. An analysis of the meme coin shows a descending channel that eventually broke into a consolidation zone near $4.40.

MELANIA 自达到 12 美元以上峰值以来一直处于下降趋势。对 meme 代币的分析显示了一个下降通道，最终突破了 4.40 美元附近的盘整区域。

This indicated bearish momentum transitioning into potential accumulation.

这表明看跌势头正在转变为潜在的积累。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

Also, the consolidation zone suggests that sellers may be losing strength, which could lead to a reversal if buyers step in. However, breaking below the current range could trigger another bearish leg.

此外，盘整区域表明卖家可能正在失去力量，如果买家介入，这可能会导致逆转。然而，跌破当前区间可能会引发另一次看跌。

Contrasting transfers

对比转移

The Solscan chart highlighted contrasting trends in transfer activity and total transfer value. On the 19th of January, the total transfer value was significantly lower despite a moderate number of transfers.

Solscan 图表突出显示了转会活动和转会总价值的对比趋势。 1 月 19 日，尽管转会数量适中，但总转会价值却明显下降。

Conversely, there was a sharp increase in transfer value on the 20th of January, coinciding with the whale transaction.

相反，1 月 20 日转让价值急剧增加，与鲸鱼交易同时发生。

Source: Solascan.io

资料来源：Solascan.io

This disparity implied concentrated activity driven by a few large players. Declining smaller transfers reflect reduced retail interest, which might indicate skepticism.

这种差异意味着少数大型企业驱动的集中活动。小额转移的减少反映了零售兴趣的减少，这可能表明了怀疑。

Although, sustained high transfer values could hint at institutional moves, potentially stabilizing the token’s price.

尽管如此，持续的高转移价值可能暗示机构的举动，从而有可能稳定代币的价格。

Concentration and risk: The impact of large holders

集中度和风险：大股东的影响

The token distribution chart illustrates the concentration of MELANIA among various holders. A significant portion is controlled by large wallets, including the whale, who recently acquired 440,136 tokens.

代币分布图说明了 MELANIA 在各个持有者中的集中度。很大一部分由大型钱包控制，其中包括最近收购了 440,136 个代币的鲸鱼。

Such concentrated ownership indicates potential price volatility, as actions by a few keyholders could drastically impact the market.

这种集中的所有权表明潜在的价格波动，因为少数关键持有人的行为可能会对市场产生巨大影响。

Source: Solascan.io

资料来源：Solascan.io

If the whale opts to hold, it may signal confidence, encouraging smaller investors to accumulate. Conversely, any sell-off could exacerbate the current downtrend.

如果鲸鱼选择持有，可能会发出信心信号，鼓励小投资者增持。相反，任何抛售都可能加剧当前的下跌趋势。

Broader distribution among holders would reduce volatility and promote market stability.

持有人之间更广泛的分配将减少波动性并促进市场稳定。

The recent whale activity in MELANIA highlights the volatility associated with concentrated holdings.

MELANIA 最近的鲸鱼活动凸显了与集中持有相关的波动性。

While the whale’s significant investment demonstrates confidence, the market’s bearish sentiment remains evident through declining price action and reduced retail participation.

尽管鲸鱼的巨额投资表明了信心，但通过价格走势下降和散户参与减少，市场的看跌情绪仍然明显。

Read Melania Meme’s [MELANIA] Price Prediction 2025–2026

阅读 Melania Meme 的 [MELANIA] 2025–2026 年价格预测

The token’s consolidation around $4.40 suggests a potential turning point, but broader market sentiment and whale behavior will likely dictate the next movement.

该代币在 4.40 美元附近的盘整暗示着一个潜在的转折点，但更广泛的市场情绪和鲸鱼行为可能会决定下一步走势。

The disparity between transfer values and counts, along with concentrated token ownership, underscores the need for careful observation of market dynamics.

转移价值和数量之间的差异，以及代币所有权的集中，凸显了仔细观察市场动态的必要性。