Whale 收購了價值 510 萬美元的 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代幣，預示著加密貨幣市場的潛在價格變化

1 月 20 日，鯨魚在加密市場執行了一筆重大交易，以每個代幣 11.60 美元的平均價格收購了 440,136 個 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代幣，價值 510 萬美元。

A whale made a major crypto purchase on the 20th of January, acquiring 440,136 Melania Meme [MELANIA] tokens at an average price of $11.60 per token, totaling $5.1M.

1 月 20 日，一頭鯨魚進行了一次重大加密貨幣購買，以每個代幣 11.60 美元的平均價格購買了 440,136 個 Melania Meme [MELANIA] 代幣，總計 510 萬美元。

At the time of writing, the token’s value has dropped to $4.40, showcasing a large decline.

截至撰寫本文時，該代幣的價值已跌至 4.40 美元，跌幅較大。

A high-stakes bet in the market

市場上的高風險賭注

Usually, whale activity serves as an indicator of potential price shifts in the crypto market. In this case, the whale’s purchase of MELANIA at $11.60 shows high confidence despite the token’s downtrend.

通常，鯨魚活動可以作為加密貨幣市場潛在價格變化的指標。在這種情況下，儘管該代幣處於下跌趨勢，但鯨魚以 11.60 美元購買 MELANIA 仍顯示出高度信心。

However, the drop indicated a mismatch between market sentiment and the whale’s expectations.

然而，下跌表明市場情緒與鯨魚的預期不符。

The current floating loss suggests limited buying pressure to counter the price drop. If the whale decides to sell, further declines could occur.

目前的浮動虧損顯示應對價格下跌的購買壓力有限。如果鯨魚決定出售，價格可能會進一步下跌。

On the other hand, whales holding assets could stabilize the market, with a reversal possible if smaller investors follow their lead.

另一方面，持有資產的鯨魚可能會穩定市場，如果較小的投資者追隨他們的腳步，市場可能會出現逆轉。

Decoding MELANIA’s downward price spiral

解讀 MELANIA 的價格螺旋式下降

MELANIA has been on a downtrend since peaking above $12. An analysis of the meme coin shows a descending channel that eventually broke into a consolidation zone near $4.40.

MELANIA 自達到 12 美元以上高峰以來一直處於下降趨勢。對 meme 代幣的分析顯示了一個下降通道，最終突破了 4.40 美元附近的盤整區域。

This indicated bearish momentum transitioning into potential accumulation.

這表明看跌勢頭正在轉變為潛在的累積。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

Also, the consolidation zone suggests that sellers may be losing strength, which could lead to a reversal if buyers step in. However, breaking below the current range could trigger another bearish leg.

此外，盤整區域表明賣家可能正在失去力量，如果買家介入，這可能會導致逆轉。

Contrasting transfers

對比轉移

The Solscan chart highlighted contrasting trends in transfer activity and total transfer value. On the 19th of January, the total transfer value was significantly lower despite a moderate number of transfers.

Solscan 圖表突顯了轉會活動和轉會總價值的對比趨勢。 1 月 19 日，儘管轉會次數不多，但總轉會價值卻明顯下降。

Conversely, there was a sharp increase in transfer value on the 20th of January, coinciding with the whale transaction.

相反，1 月 20 日轉讓價值急劇增加，與鯨魚交易同時發生。

Source: Solascan.io

資料來源：Solascan.io

This disparity implied concentrated activity driven by a few large players. Declining smaller transfers reflect reduced retail interest, which might indicate skepticism.

這種差異意味著少數大型企業驅動的集中活動。小額轉移的減少反映了零售興趣的減少，這可能表明了懷疑。

Although, sustained high transfer values could hint at institutional moves, potentially stabilizing the token’s price.

儘管如此，持續的高轉移價值可能暗示機構的舉動，從而有可能穩定代幣的價格。

Concentration and risk: The impact of large holders

集中度與風險：大股東的影響

The token distribution chart illustrates the concentration of MELANIA among various holders. A significant portion is controlled by large wallets, including the whale, who recently acquired 440,136 tokens.

代幣分佈圖說明了 MELANIA 在各個持有者中的集中度。很大一部分由大型錢包控制，其中包括最近收購了 440,136 個代幣的鯨魚。

Such concentrated ownership indicates potential price volatility, as actions by a few keyholders could drastically impact the market.

這種集中的所有權表明潛在的價格波動，因為少數關鍵持有者的行為可能會對市場產生巨大影響。

Source: Solascan.io

資料來源：Solascan.io

If the whale opts to hold, it may signal confidence, encouraging smaller investors to accumulate. Conversely, any sell-off could exacerbate the current downtrend.

如果鯨魚選擇持有，可能會發出信心訊號，鼓勵小投資者增持。相反，任何拋售都可能加劇當前的下跌趨勢。

Broader distribution among holders would reduce volatility and promote market stability.

持有者之間更廣泛的分配將減少波動性並促進市場穩定。

The recent whale activity in MELANIA highlights the volatility associated with concentrated holdings.

MELANIA 最近的鯨魚活動凸顯了與集中持有相關的波動性。

While the whale’s significant investment demonstrates confidence, the market’s bearish sentiment remains evident through declining price action and reduced retail participation.

儘管鯨魚的巨額投資顯示了信心，但透過價格走勢下降和散戶參與減少，市場的看跌情緒仍然明顯。

Read Melania Meme’s [MELANIA] Price Prediction 2025–2026

閱讀 Melania Meme 的 [MELANIA] 2025–2026 年價格預測

The token’s consolidation around $4.40 suggests a potential turning point, but broader market sentiment and whale behavior will likely dictate the next movement.

該代幣在 4.40 美元附近的盤整暗示著一個潛在的轉折點，但更廣泛的市場情緒和鯨魚行為可能會決定下一步走勢。

The disparity between transfer values and counts, along with concentrated token ownership, underscores the need for careful observation of market dynamics.

轉移價值和數量之間的差異，以及代幣所有權的集中，凸顯了仔細觀察市場動態的必要性。