尽管开始了动荡，但Ripple（XRP）代币阶段出色的恢复，稳定在2美元的范围内

在本周的动荡开始之后，当Ripple的原始代币跌至1.64美元的低点时，加密货币资产进行了显着的恢复。

Cryptocurrency prices remained volatile on Thursday, with Ripple’s (XRP) token staging a partial recovery to trade above the $2 mark.

加密货币价格在周四保持波动，Ripple（XRP）代币进行了部分回收，以超过2美元的交易。

XRP price rose above the $2 psychological level on Thursday, signaling some recovery after a volatile start to the week that saw the token fall to lows of $1.64.

XRP价格上涨于周四的2美元心理水平，这表明在一周开始的动荡开始后，令牌下跌至1.64美元。

The move follows a partial rollback of new reciprocal tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration.

此举是在总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）政府征收的新互惠关税的部分回滚之后。

According to reports from the U.S., the administration has decided to pause a sweeping tariff plan for 90 days and slash duties to 10% for over 75 non-retaliating countries.

根据美国的报道，政府已决定暂停90天的全面关税计划，并将75多个非续约国家的关税削减至10％。

Tariffs on Chinese goods, which had soared to 125%, will be reduced to 75%, signaling a partial rollback of the trade war measures.

对中国商品的关税已飙升至125％，将减少到75％，这表明贸易战措施的部分回滚。

The move comes as part of broader efforts to stabilize global financial markets, which have been battered by trade tensions and the coronavirus pandemic.

此举是作为稳定全球金融市场的更广泛努力的一部分，这些市场受到贸易紧张局势和冠状病毒大流行的打击。

The S&P 500 futures gained 9.5% in early trading on Thursday, while major cryptocurrencies also saw significant price increases. Bitcoin rose by over 8% to trade above $17,000, while XRP followed with a 9% gain to trade above the $2 mark.

标准普尔500年期货在周四的早期交易中上涨了9.5％，而主要的加密货币也显着上涨。比特币增长了8％以上，超过$ 17,000，而XRP随后收益超过$ 2。

The rapid price movement in XRP led to the liquidation of $18 million in short positions within 24 hours, according to data from Coinglass. Overall, liquidations across long and short trades neared $24.16 million.

根据Coinglass的数据，XRP的快速价格变动导致在24小时内销售1800万美元。总体而言，长期和短贸易的清算收入接近2416万美元。

The wave of forced exits among bearish traders could inject fresh momentum into the market, suggesting that XRP’s bulls are regaining control.

看跌贸易商之间强迫出口的浪潮可能会向市场注入新的动力，这表明XRP的公牛正在恢复控制。

According to derivatives market activity, open interest in XRP surged by 6.68% to $3.05 billion, while options volume jumped by 21.36% to $7,670. A spike in open interest typically signals an influx of new capital and growing trader engagement—a potential precursor to sustained upward movement.

根据衍生品市场活动，XRP的开放兴趣飙升了6.68％，至30.5亿美元，而期权量跃升了21.36％，至7,670美元。开放兴趣的激增通常表示新资本和不断增长的交易者参与度的涌入，这是持续向上移动的潜在先驱。

“The price recovery from $1.61 to above $2 makes XRP increasingly attractive to long-position traders,” said a Coinglass analyst. “We’re now watching closely for confirmation signals like MACD crossover and volume support.”

一位Coinglass分析师说：“从1.61美元到2美元以上的价格恢复使XRP对长位交易者的吸引力越来越有吸引力。” “我们现在密切关注MACD交叉和音量支持等确认信号。”

On-chain metrics also suggest that XRP may be entering a stage of technical optimism.

链上指标还表明，XRP可能正在进入技术乐观的阶段。

According to data from Santiment, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio remains nearly 9.5% below the mean, a historical buy signal. This negative MVRV suggests that most XRP holders are currently underwater, reducing the likelihood of near-term selling pressure and supporting a potential rebound.

根据Santiment的数据，XRP的市场价值与已实现价值（MVRV）的比率保持近9.5％，这是历史买入信号的均值。这种负MVRV表明，大多数XRP持有人目前都在水下，从而降低了近期销售压力的可能性并支持潜在的反弹。

“Whenever MVRV dips below zero, it implies undervaluation,” analysts from Santiment noted. “This is when smart money typically accumulates.”

Santiment分析师指出：“每当MVRV下降到零以下时，这意味着低估了。” “这是聪明的钱通常积累的时候。”

However, XRP’s recovery isn’t without hurdles. Daily active addresses have sharply declined—from 581,000 in mid-March to just over 10,000 this week. A decrease in network activity may indicate reduced organic demand, potentially dampening momentum unless usage picks up.

但是，XRP的恢复并非没有障碍。每日活动地址急剧下降，从3月中旬的581,000到本周超过10,000。网络活动的减少可能表明有机需求减少，除非使用使用，否则可能会抑制动量。

Despite the recent volatility, macroeconomic factors are increasingly influencing the XRP price outlook.

尽管最近有波动性，但宏观经济因素越来越多地影响XRP价格前景。

With the Federal Reserve facing pressure to cut interest rates, traders are placing bets on a more liquidity-rich environment.

随着美联储面临降低利率的压力，交易者将赌注放在更流动性的环境中。

Historically, rate cuts have been bullish for cryptocurrencies, which tend to benefit from looser monetary policy as it injects capital into the system, leading to outflows from traditional low-yield assets like bonds and into riskier assets like equities and cryptocurrencies.

从历史上看，削减速度一直是加密货币的看涨，因为它将资本注入系统时往往会受益于较宽的货币政策，从而导致传统低收益资产（如债券）和股票和加密货币等风险较高的资产流出。

“All risk assets, including crypto, tend to benefit from easier monetary policy,” said XRP community figure ‘All Things XRP’ in a conversation with CC.

XRP社区在与CC的对话中说：“包括加密在内的所有风险资产往往会受益于更轻松的货币政策。”

According to him, rate cuts increase the opportunity cost of holding cash, leading to a search for yield across various asset classes. In this environment, XRP and Bitcoin become attractive alternatives to traditional low-yield assets.

据他介绍，削减税率增加了持有现金的机会成本，从而在各种资产类别中寻找收益率。在这种环境中，XRP和比特币成为传统低收益资产的有吸引力替代品。

However, the market’s reaction depends heavily on the context of the rate cut. If perceived as a response to strength, the move could fuel a rally. Conversely, if it signals economic distress, investor caution may prevail.

但是，市场的反应在很大程度上取决于降低税率的背景。如果被认为是对力量的反应，此举可能会加剧集会。相反，如果这标志着经济困扰，投资者的警告可能会占上风。

According to long-term analysis using Elliot Wave theory, XRP’s token may currently be in Wave 2 of a five-wave cycle.

根据使用Elliot Wave理论的长期分析，XRP的令牌目前可能处于五波周期的第2波。

Popular analyst XForceGlobal suggests a final drop below $1 could complete Wave 2, marking an ideal buy zone before the powerful Wave 3 catapults XRP to a projected $20 high.

受欢迎的分析师Xforceglobal认为，最终下降到1美元以下可以完成Wave 2，这标志着强大的Wave 3 Satapults XRP的理想买入区域预计高达20美元。

“Wave 3 is typically the strongest and most explosive in the Elliot Wave sequence,” said the analyst. “Assuming fundamentals hold, we could see a tenfold increase in market cap.”

分析师说：“在艾略特波序列中，波3通常是最强，最爆炸性的。” “假设基本原理，我们可以看到市值增加了十倍。”

Wave 4 could bring a retracement to $7 before a final surge to $30 concludes the cycle.

Wave 4可以将回撤达到7美元，然后最后一次激增至30美元，结束了这一周期。

While this long-term vision may take years to play out, it provides a roadmap for high-conviction investors navigating short-term volatility.

尽管这种长期愿景可能需要数年的时间才能发挥作用，但它为高信性投资者提供了路线图，以导航短期波动。