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在本週的動蕩開始之後,當Ripple的原始代幣跌至1.64美元的低點時,加密貨幣資產進行了顯著的恢復。
Cryptocurrency prices remained volatile on Thursday, with Ripple’s (XRP) token staging a partial recovery to trade above the $2 mark.
加密貨幣價格在周四保持波動,Ripple(XRP)代幣進行了部分回收,以超過2美元的交易。
XRP price rose above the $2 psychological level on Thursday, signaling some recovery after a volatile start to the week that saw the token fall to lows of $1.64.
XRP價格上漲於週四的2美元心理水平,這表明在一周開始的動蕩開始後,令牌下跌至1.64美元。
The move follows a partial rollback of new reciprocal tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration.
此舉是在總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)政府徵收的新互惠關稅的部分回滾之後。
According to reports from the U.S., the administration has decided to pause a sweeping tariff plan for 90 days and slash duties to 10% for over 75 non-retaliating countries.
根據美國的報導,政府已決定暫停90天的全面關稅計劃,並將75多個非續約國家的關稅削減至10%。
Tariffs on Chinese goods, which had soared to 125%, will be reduced to 75%, signaling a partial rollback of the trade war measures.
對中國商品的關稅已飆升至125%,將減少到75%,這表明貿易戰措施的部分回滾。
The move comes as part of broader efforts to stabilize global financial markets, which have been battered by trade tensions and the coronavirus pandemic.
此舉是作為穩定全球金融市場的更廣泛努力的一部分,這些市場受到貿易緊張局勢和冠狀病毒大流行的打擊。
The S&P 500 futures gained 9.5% in early trading on Thursday, while major cryptocurrencies also saw significant price increases. Bitcoin rose by over 8% to trade above $17,000, while XRP followed with a 9% gain to trade above the $2 mark.
標準普爾500年期貨在周四的早期交易中上漲了9.5%,而主要的加密貨幣也顯著上漲。比特幣增長了8%以上,超過$ 17,000,而XRP隨後收益超過$ 2。
The rapid price movement in XRP led to the liquidation of $18 million in short positions within 24 hours, according to data from Coinglass. Overall, liquidations across long and short trades neared $24.16 million.
根據Coinglass的數據,XRP的快速價格變動導致在24小時內銷售1800萬美元。總體而言,長期和短貿易的清算收入接近2416萬美元。
The wave of forced exits among bearish traders could inject fresh momentum into the market, suggesting that XRP’s bulls are regaining control.
看跌貿易商之間強迫出口的浪潮可能會向市場注入新的動力,這表明XRP的公牛正在恢復控制。
According to derivatives market activity, open interest in XRP surged by 6.68% to $3.05 billion, while options volume jumped by 21.36% to $7,670. A spike in open interest typically signals an influx of new capital and growing trader engagement—a potential precursor to sustained upward movement.
根據衍生品市場活動,XRP的開放興趣飆升了6.68%,至30.5億美元,而期權量躍升了21.36%,至7,670美元。開放興趣的激增通常表示新資本和不斷增長的交易者參與度的湧入,這是持續向上移動的潛在先驅。
“The price recovery from $1.61 to above $2 makes XRP increasingly attractive to long-position traders,” said a Coinglass analyst. “We’re now watching closely for confirmation signals like MACD crossover and volume support.”
一位Coinglass分析師說:“從1.61美元到2美元以上的價格恢復使XRP對長位交易者的吸引力越來越有吸引力。” “我們現在密切關注MACD交叉和音量支持等確認信號。”
On-chain metrics also suggest that XRP may be entering a stage of technical optimism.
鏈上指標還表明,XRP可能正在進入技術樂觀的階段。
According to data from Santiment, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio remains nearly 9.5% below the mean, a historical buy signal. This negative MVRV suggests that most XRP holders are currently underwater, reducing the likelihood of near-term selling pressure and supporting a potential rebound.
根據Santiment的數據,XRP的市場價值與已實現價值(MVRV)的比率保持近9.5%,這是歷史買入信號的均值。這種負MVRV表明,大多數XRP持有人目前都在水下,從而降低了近期銷售壓力的可能性並支持潛在的反彈。
“Whenever MVRV dips below zero, it implies undervaluation,” analysts from Santiment noted. “This is when smart money typically accumulates.”
Santiment分析師指出:“每當MVRV下降到零以下時,這意味著低估了。” “這是聰明的錢通常積累的時候。”
However, XRP’s recovery isn’t without hurdles. Daily active addresses have sharply declined—from 581,000 in mid-March to just over 10,000 this week. A decrease in network activity may indicate reduced organic demand, potentially dampening momentum unless usage picks up.
但是,XRP的恢復並非沒有障礙。每日活動地址急劇下降,從3月中旬的581,000到本週超過10,000。網絡活動的減少可能表明有機需求減少,除非使用使用,否則可能會抑制動量。
Despite the recent volatility, macroeconomic factors are increasingly influencing the XRP price outlook.
儘管最近有波動性,但宏觀經濟因素越來越多地影響XRP價格前景。
With the Federal Reserve facing pressure to cut interest rates, traders are placing bets on a more liquidity-rich environment.
隨著美聯儲面臨降低利率的壓力,交易者將賭注放在更流動性的環境中。
Historically, rate cuts have been bullish for cryptocurrencies, which tend to benefit from looser monetary policy as it injects capital into the system, leading to outflows from traditional low-yield assets like bonds and into riskier assets like equities and cryptocurrencies.
從歷史上看,削減速度一直是加密貨幣的看漲,因為它將資本注入系統時往往會受益於較寬的貨幣政策,從而導致傳統低收益資產(如債券)和股票和加密貨幣等風險較高的資產流出。
“All risk assets, including crypto, tend to benefit from easier monetary policy,” said XRP community figure ‘All Things XRP’ in a conversation with CC.
XRP社區在與CC的對話中說:“包括加密在內的所有風險資產往往會受益於更輕鬆的貨幣政策。”
According to him, rate cuts increase the opportunity cost of holding cash, leading to a search for yield across various asset classes. In this environment, XRP and Bitcoin become attractive alternatives to traditional low-yield assets.
據他介紹,削減稅率增加了持有現金的機會成本,從而在各種資產類別中尋找收益率。在這種環境中,XRP和比特幣成為傳統低收益資產的有吸引力替代品。
However, the market’s reaction depends heavily on the context of the rate cut. If perceived as a response to strength, the move could fuel a rally. Conversely, if it signals economic distress, investor caution may prevail.
但是,市場的反應在很大程度上取決於降低稅率的背景。如果被認為是對力量的反應,此舉可能會加劇集會。相反,如果這標誌著經濟困擾,投資者的警告可能會佔上風。
According to long-term analysis using Elliot Wave theory, XRP’s token may currently be in Wave 2 of a five-wave cycle.
根據使用Elliot Wave理論的長期分析,XRP的令牌目前可能處於五波週期的第2波。
Popular analyst XForceGlobal suggests a final drop below $1 could complete Wave 2, marking an ideal buy zone before the powerful Wave 3 catapults XRP to a projected $20 high.
受歡迎的分析師Xforceglobal認為,最終下降到1美元以下可以完成Wave 2,這標誌著強大的Wave 3 Satapults XRP的理想買入區域預計高達20美元。
“Wave 3 is typically the strongest and most explosive in the Elliot Wave sequence,” said the analyst. “Assuming fundamentals hold, we could see a tenfold increase in market cap.”
分析師說:“在艾略特波序列中,波3通常是最強,最爆炸性的。” “假設基本原理,我們可以看到市值增加了十倍。”
Wave 4 could bring a retracement to $7 before a final surge to $30 concludes the cycle.
Wave 4可以將回撤達到7美元,然後最後一次激增至30美元,結束了這一周期。
While this long-term vision may take years to play out, it provides a roadmap for high-conviction investors navigating short-term volatility.
儘管這種長期願景可能需要數年的時間才能發揮作用,但它為高信性投資者提供了路線圖,以導航短期波動。
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