资深分析师预测 XRP 反弹将达到历史新高

受人尊敬的分析师 Peter Brandt 表示，XRP 可能会上涨并可能达到历史新高。 Brandt 在 XRP 价格图表中发现了一种类似于倒头肩形态的模式，这在历史上表明价格大幅上涨。

Veteran Analyst Predicts XRP Rally and All-Time Highs

资深分析师预测 XRP 反弹并创历史新高

Peter Brandt, a seasoned analyst with over four decades of experience in commodity markets, has identified a potential technical pattern in the weekly price chart of XRP (XRP) that indicates the cryptocurrency could experience a significant rally in the near future. Brandt, the CEO of Factor LLC, described the pattern as a "possible inverted head-and-shoulders with a stunted right shoulder."

Peter Brandt 是一位在大宗商品市场拥有四十多年经验的经验丰富的分析师，他在 XRP (XRP) 的每周价格图表中发现了一种潜在的技术模式，表明加密货币可能在不久的将来经历大幅上涨。 Factor LLC 的首席执行官布兰特将这种形态描述为“可能是头肩倒置，右肩发育不良”。

Inverted head-and-shoulders patterns are bullish reversal patterns that, when validated, suggest the potential for a substantial increase in price. They consist of three troughs, with the middle trough being the lowest, and a trendline connecting the high points of the two retracements. A breakout or bullish reversal is confirmed once the asset establishes a firm foothold above the neckline resistance.

倒头肩形态是看涨反转形态，经过验证后，表明价格有可能大幅上涨。它们由三个波谷组成，中间的波谷最低，一条趋势线连接两个回撤的高点。一旦资产在颈线阻力上方站稳脚跟，就会确认突破或看涨反转。

While XRP has already surpassed the neckline resistance of 75 cents and is currently trading above it, a weekly close above this level (Sunday, 23:59 UTC) is still required to substantiate the breakout. If the breakout is confirmed, it could pave the way for a potential rally to $3.30, which represents the all-time high that XRP reached on January 4, 2018, according to data from Messari.

虽然 XRP 已经突破了 75 美分的颈线阻力位，并且目前交投于其上方，但仍需要每周收盘价高于该水平（周日，世界标准时间 23:59）才能证实突破。根据 Messari 的数据，如果突破得到确认，可能会为潜在反弹至 3.30 美元铺平道路，这代表了 XRP 在 2018 年 1 月 4 日达到的历史高点。

However, it is important to note that technical analysis is subjective, and different analysts may interpret price patterns differently. Katie Stockton, a technical analyst at Fairlead Strategies, opines that the price structure on the weekly chart does not strictly adhere to the definition of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. "It does not fulfill my criterion of having just three significant oversold lows throughout the pattern's formation," Stockton explained in an email. "Complex head-and-shoulders patterns exist, but I believe this can be more accurately characterized as a rounded base."

然而，值得注意的是，技术分析是主观的，不同的分析师可能对价格模式有不同的解释。 Fairlead Strategies 的技术分析师凯蒂·斯托克顿 (Katie Stockton) 认为，周线图上的价格结构并不严格遵循倒头肩形态的定义。斯托克顿在一封电子邮件中解释说：“它不符合我的标准，即在整个形态形成过程中只有三个显着的超卖低点。” “存在复杂的头肩形态，但我相信这可以更准确地描述为圆形底部。”

Stockton's criteria for a valid inverted head-and-shoulders pattern include three troughs accompanied by an oversold reading on an overbought/oversold indicator like the relative strength index (RSI).

斯托克顿关于有效倒头肩形态的标准包括三个波谷，并伴有超买/超卖指标（如相对强弱指数 (RSI)）的超卖读数。

Despite the difference in terminology, Brandt and Stockton share a bullish outlook for XRP based on the price action. "The takeaway is similarly bullish given the breakout above long-term resistance," Stockton said, adding that XRP has already achieved its upside price targets.

尽管术语存在差异，但 Brandt 和 Stockton 根据价格走势对 XRP 的前景持乐观态度。斯托克顿表示：“考虑到突破长期阻力位，外卖同样看涨。”他补充说，XRP 已经实现了其上行价格目标。

Currently, XRP is trading at $1.003, representing a significant gain of 58% for the week – the highest weekly gain since the end of January, as per CoinDesk 20 data.

目前，XRP 的交易价格为 1.003 美元，本周大幅上涨 58%，这是自 1 月底以来的最高周涨幅（根据 CoinDesk 20 数据）。

Brandt believes that the XRP rally could be fueled by the recent decision from New York Judge Sarah Netburn to grant Ripple access to internal communications from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on how it determines whether a cryptocurrency is a security. In December, the SEC filed a lawsuit against Ripple, CEO Brad Garlinghouse, and Executive Chairman Chris Larsen, alleging the unlawful sale of $1.3 billion worth of XRP to the general public.

Brandt 认为，纽约法官 Sarah Netburn 最近决定授予 Ripple 访问美国证券交易委员会（SEC）关于如何确定加密货币是否为证券的内部通信的权限，这可能会推动 XRP 的上涨。去年 12 月，SEC 对 Ripple、首席执行官 Brad Garlinghouse 和执行主席 Chris Larsen 提起诉讼，指控其向公众非法出售价值 13 亿美元的 XRP。

Overall, the technical pattern identified by Brandt, combined with the positive sentiment surrounding the SEC's decision, suggests the possibility of a sustained rally for XRP in the coming months, potentially leading to new all-time highs for the cryptocurrency.

总体而言，Brandt 确定的技术模式，加上围绕 SEC 决定的积极情绪，表明 XRP 在未来几个月内可能持续上涨，可能导致该加密货币创下新的历史高点。