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交易所交易基金 (ETF) 提供商 VanEck 的数字资产研究主管表示,战略性比特币 (BTC) 储备可以帮助美国在大约 25 年内偿还迅速增加的国家债务。
A top executive at exchange-traded fund (ETF) provider VanEck says a strategic Bitcoin (BTC) reserve can help the US pay off its rapidly accelerating national debt in about 25 years.
交易所交易基金 (ETF) 提供商 VanEck 的一位高管表示,战略性比特币 (BTC) 储备可以帮助美国在大约 25 年内偿还迅速增加的国家债务。
In a new thread on the social media platform X, VanEck executive Matthew Sigel shows how a strategic Bitcoin reserve could improve the United States’ financial position by 2050.
在社交媒体平台 X 的新帖子中,VanEck 高管 Matthew Sigel 展示了战略性比特币储备如何在 2050 年之前改善美国的财务状况。
In July, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming said she would announce a bill to establish a BTC reserve that would drive the US government to accumulate one million Bitcoin in five years.
7 月,怀俄明州共和党参议员 Cynthia Lummis 表示,她将宣布一项建立 BTC 储备的法案,该法案将推动美国政府在五年内积累 100 万比特币。
According to Sigel’s data, the one million Bitcoin trove would be valued at $42.4 trillion in 2049 while the US national debt would be worth $119.3 trillion.
根据 Sigel 的数据,到 2049 年,100 万枚比特币的价值将达到 42.4 万亿美元,而美国国债将价值 119.3 万亿美元。
“Assume the US Treasury starts buying 1 million Bitcoin over 5 years at a starting price of $200,000.
“假设美国财政部开始在 5 年内以 20 万美元的起始价格购买 100 万个比特币。
Assume US debt grows at 5% (vs. last 10 years 8% compound annual growth rate) and BTC price compounds at 25%.
假设美国债务增长 5%(过去 10 年复合年增长率为 8%),而 BTC 价格复合增长率为 25%。
In such a scenario, the US Strategic BTC Reserve would hold assets equivalent to 36% of debt by 2050.
在这种情况下,到 2050 年,美国战略 BTC 储备将持有相当于债务 36% 的资产。
In that scenario, BTC would be $42 million/coin (same as Michael Saylor’s target, coincidentally) and the market cap would be 18% of global financial assets.
在这种情况下,BTC 将达到 4200 万美元/枚(巧合的是,与 Michael Saylor 的目标相同),市值将占全球金融资产的 18%。
But even at a 15% compound annual growth rate, the BTC stash would still be quite valuable”
但即使以 15% 的复合年增长率计算,BTC 储备仍然非常有价值”
Sigel’s estimates come as Senator Lummis reiterates the need to create a US strategic Bitcoin reserve.
西格尔做出这一估计之际,参议员鲁米斯重申了建立美国战略比特币储备的必要性。
“To be clear, the ‘strategic’ purpose of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is to: explicitly, strategically, pay down government debt hanging over the head of every American.
“需要明确的是,比特币战略储备的‘战略’目的是:明确地、战略性地偿还悬在每个美国人头上的政府债务。
Put future Americans on a better footing, unencumbered by debt that they never supported or benefitted from…
让未来的美国人处于更好的基础上,不受他们从未支持或从中受益的债务的困扰……
The bill language is to HODL (hold on for dear life) for twenty years (minimum) and establishes proof of reserves.
法案的语言是 HODL(珍惜生命)二十年(至少)并建立储备证明。
By that time, the proper next action will be self-evident.”
到那时,下一步正确的行动就不言而喻了。”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at $94,839.
截至撰写本文时,比特币的价值为 94,839 美元。
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