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尽管许多加密货币市场参与者对即将到来的 10 月份寄予厚望,但它的到来却带来了前所未有的失望
Despite the anticipation among crypto market participants for a bullish October, the arrival of the month brought disappointment as Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 3.98% from the beginning. This was accompanied by a decrease in the total market cap of altcoins by $41.67 billion.
尽管加密货币市场参与者对 10 月份的牛市充满期待,但 10 月份的到来却带来了失望,比特币 (BTC) 价格较年初下跌了 3.98%。与此同时,山寨币总市值下降了 416.7 亿美元。
Upon closer examination, this occurrence can be attributed to heightened geopolitical tensions and the tendency for expectations to be subverted when a crowd anticipates a particular outcome.
经过仔细研究,这种情况的发生可能是由于地缘政治紧张局势加剧以及当人群预期特定结果时期望被颠覆的趋势。
However, there may still be hope for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market to experience gains in October. A recent revelation from Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson suggests that the bulk of the anticipated "Uptober" will not commence until after the 19th.
然而,比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场可能仍有希望在 10 月份实现上涨。比特币分析师蒂莫西·彼得森 (Timothy Peterson) 最近透露,预期的“Uptober”大部分要到 19 日之后才会开始。
This aligns with historical data that supports a bullish outlook for Bitcoin in October. Since 2018, the cryptocurrency has consistently performed positively during this month, with an average gain of over 14% and a median return of around 13%. Notably, each month that concluded in the green has seen gains from the beginning.
这与支持 10 月份比特币看涨前景的历史数据一致。自 2018 年以来,加密货币在本月一直表现积极,平均涨幅超过 14%,中位回报率约为 13%。值得注意的是,每个以绿色结束的月份都比年初有所增长。
While October 2024 may not live up to "Uptober" expectations initially, if the median over Bitcoin's 11-years of public trading is to be believed, then there should be at least two more weeks before giving up completely.
虽然 2024 年 10 月最初可能达不到“Uptober”的预期,但如果比特币 11 年公开交易的中位数可信,那么在完全放弃之前应该至少还有两周的时间。
However, one thing is certain: with the influx of new market participants, particularly institutions, old patterns will no longer apply as easily, necessitating a higher level of sophistication among retail investors to maintain their presence and profitability in the market.
然而,有一点是肯定的:随着新的市场参与者,特别是机构的涌入,旧的模式将不再那么容易适用,散户投资者需要更高水平的成熟度才能维持其在市场中的地位和盈利能力。
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