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儘管許多加密貨幣市場參與者對即將到來的 10 月寄予厚望,但它的到來卻帶來了前所未有的失望
Despite the anticipation among crypto market participants for a bullish October, the arrival of the month brought disappointment as Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 3.98% from the beginning. This was accompanied by a decrease in the total market cap of altcoins by $41.67 billion.
儘管加密貨幣市場參與者對 10 月的多頭市場充滿期待,但 10 月的到來帶來了失望,比特幣 (BTC) 價格較年初下跌了 3.98%。同時,山寨幣總市值下降了 416.7 億美元。
Upon closer examination, this occurrence can be attributed to heightened geopolitical tensions and the tendency for expectations to be subverted when a crowd anticipates a particular outcome.
經過仔細研究,這種情況的發生可能是由於地緣政治緊張局勢加劇以及當人群預期特定結果時期望被顛覆的趨勢。
However, there may still be hope for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market to experience gains in October. A recent revelation from Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson suggests that the bulk of the anticipated "Uptober" will not commence until after the 19th.
然而,比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場可能仍有希望在 10 月實現上漲。比特幣分析師蒂莫西·彼得森 (Timothy Peterson) 最近透露,預期的「Uptober」大部分要到 19 日之後才會開始。
This aligns with historical data that supports a bullish outlook for Bitcoin in October. Since 2018, the cryptocurrency has consistently performed positively during this month, with an average gain of over 14% and a median return of around 13%. Notably, each month that concluded in the green has seen gains from the beginning.
這與支持 10 月比特幣看漲前景的歷史數據一致。自 2018 年以來,加密貨幣在本月一直表現積極,平均漲幅超過 14%,中位數回報率約為 13%。值得注意的是,每個以綠色結束的月份都比年初增長。
While October 2024 may not live up to "Uptober" expectations initially, if the median over Bitcoin's 11-years of public trading is to be believed, then there should be at least two more weeks before giving up completely.
雖然 2024 年 10 月最初可能達不到「Uptober」的預期,但如果比特幣 11 年公開交易的中位數可信,那麼在完全放棄之前應該至少還有兩週的時間。
However, one thing is certain: with the influx of new market participants, particularly institutions, old patterns will no longer apply as easily, necessitating a higher level of sophistication among retail investors to maintain their presence and profitability in the market.
然而,有一點是肯定的:隨著新的市場參與者,特別是機構的湧入,舊的模式將不再那麼容易適用,散戶投資者需要更高水平的成熟度才能維持其在市場中的地位和盈利能力。
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