美国面临历史性预算赤字，短短三个月就达到7110亿美元

公共支出的爆炸性增长，加上税收收入的下降，给联邦财政带来了巨大压力。即将重新入主白宫的唐纳德·特朗普将不得不协调他的减税承诺与控制债务的需要。

The United States government has announced that its budget deficit has reached $711 billion in just three months, marking a 39% increase compared to the previous year. This surge in public spending, coupled with a decline in tax revenues, is putting severe pressure on federal finances. As Donald Trump prepares to potentially return to the White House, he will have to reconcile his promises of tax cuts with the need to contain the debt. To assist him in this endeavor, Elon Musk has been appointed to lead a commission dedicated to government efficiency. His goal is to reduce federal spending by $2 trillion, although a half-reached goal would already be a “super result,” according to Musk. Between budgetary austerity and economic imperatives, the future administration finds itself facing a perilous equation.

美国政府宣布，短短三个月内预算赤字就达到7110亿美元，比上年增加39%。公共支出的激增，加上税收收入的下降，给联邦财政带来了巨大压力。随着唐纳德·特朗普准备重返白宫，他将不得不协调减税承诺与控制债务的需要。为了协助他实现这一目标，埃隆·马斯克被任命领导一个致力于政府效率的委员会。他的目标是减少 2 万亿美元的联邦支出，尽管马斯克表示，实现一半的目标就已经是“超级结果”了。在预算紧缩和经济需要之间，未来的政府发现自己面临着一个危险的平衡点。

An Uncontrollable Deficit: Exploding Public SpendingThe Treasury Department has published a critical report on the state of American public finances. In just three months, federal spending has reached $1.8 trillion, showing an 11% increase compared to the previous year. This surge is largely due to increased spending in several key sectors. Pensions, health care for low-income individuals, and defense are among the most costly items. According to a Treasury official, this increase results notably from more intense military activity and heightened maintenance operations.

无法控制的赤字：公共支出爆炸式增长美国财政部发布了一份关于美国公共财政状况的重要报告。短短三个月内，联邦支出已达到1.8万亿美元，较上年增长11%。这一激增主要是由于几个关键部门支出的增加。低收入个人的养老金、医疗保健和国防是最昂贵的项目之一。据财政部官员称，这一增长主要是由于军事活动更加频繁和维护活动加强所致。

In addition to these structural expenditures, there are cyclical factors that have further worsened the deficit. Hurricanes Helene and Milton, which occurred between September and October, forced the federal administration to unlock emergency funds to finance reconstruction and aid to victims. Furthermore, the burden of public debt is increasing due to high interest rates, making each loan more expensive for the state. This financial pressure is exacerbated by the fact that tax revenues have fallen by 2%, limiting the government’s ability to offset these exceptional expenses. In light of these figures, the budgetary balance seems more precarious than ever.

除了这些结构性支出外，还有周期性因素进一步加剧了赤字。九月至十月期间发生的飓风海伦和米尔顿迫使联邦政府动用紧急资金来资助重建和援助受害者。此外，由于高利率，公共债务负担不断增加，使得每笔贷款对国家来说更加昂贵。税收收入下降了 2%，从而限制了政府抵消这些特殊支出的能力，从而加剧了这种财务压力。鉴于这些数字，预算平衡似乎比以往任何时候都更加不稳定。

Trump and Musk: The Impossible Mission of Budgetary RigorAs he prepares for his return to the White House, Donald Trump is planning a broad economic reform. In accordance with his past commitments, he intends to cut taxes while implementing massive budget cuts in federal spending. His goal is clear: to rein in the soaring deficit without slowing down growth. To realize this ambition, he can rely on Elon Musk, appointed to head a commission tasked with optimizing public finances. Indeed, known for his frankness, the head of Tesla and SpaceX wasted no time in setting the tone. “It's like being in a room full of targets: you can close your eyes and be sure not to miss the mark,” he said, pointing out the numerous budgetary wastes he intends to eradicate.

特朗普和马斯克：严格预算的不可能完成的任务在准备重返白宫之际，唐纳德·特朗普正在计划一项广泛的经济改革。按照他过去的承诺，他打算在大幅削减联邦支出的同时减税。他的目标很明确：在不减缓增长的情况下控制赤字飙升。为了实现这一雄心，他可以依靠埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)，他被任命领导一个负责优化公共财政的委员会。事实上，这位以坦率着称的特斯拉和 SpaceX 公司的负责人立即就定下了基调。 “这就像在一个充满目标的房间里：你可以闭上眼睛，确保不会错过目标，”他说，并指出了他打算消除的众多预算浪费。

However, the obstacles to this restructuring remain considerable. Musk, who originally aimed for $2 trillion in savings, now admits that achieving half of this goal would already be a notable success. Among the first measures considered are massive staff reductions within the federal bureaucracy. However, these job cuts are likely to face strong political and social opposition. The prospect of drastic budget cuts could also reignite tensions in Congress, where Democrats are firmly opposed to any reform that could weaken public services. Between stated ambitions and political realities, Trump and Musk will have to maneuver skillfully to fulfill their promises without causing institutional blockages.

然而，这种重组的障碍仍然很大。马斯克最初的目标是节省 2 万亿美元，现在他承认，实现这一目标的一半就已经是一个显着的成功。首先考虑的措施之一是联邦官僚机构内的大规模裁员。然而，这些裁员可能会面临政治和社会的强烈反对。大幅削减预算的前景也可能重新引发国会的紧张局势，民主党人坚决反对任何可能削弱公共服务的改革。在既定的雄心和政治现实之间，特朗普和马斯克必须巧妙地运用技巧来履行他们的承诺，同时又不造成制度障碍。

If Donald Trump and Elon Musk fail to stabilize public finances, the country risks facing rising tensions in financial markets, increased inflation, and higher interest rates, making the cost of debt even harder to control. Conversely, overly brutal budget cuts could stifle growth, weaken public services, and exacerbate inequalities. The budget equation thus relies on a fragile balance between austerity and economic stimulus. Every decision will be closely scrutinized by investors, financial institutions, and citizens, while the specter of an uncontrollable deficit threatens to become a central issue of the upcoming mandate.

如果唐纳德·特朗普和埃隆·马斯克未能稳定公共财政，该国将面临金融市场紧张局势加剧、通货膨胀加剧和利率上升的风险，从而使债务成本更加难以控制。相反，过于残酷的预算削减可能会抑制增长、削弱公共服务并加剧不平等。因此，预算方程依赖于紧缩和经济刺激之间的脆弱平衡。每一项决定都将受到投资者、金融机构和公民的密切关注，而无法控制的赤字的幽灵有可能成为即将到来的任务的核心问题。