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比特币又重新成为了人们的关注,而不仅仅是由于市场波动。比特币政策研究所(BPI)的大胆预测表明,如果美国政府要积累100万BTC
The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) has made a bold claim: if the U.S. government were to begin accumulating 1 million BTC, the BTC price could soar to $1 million. It may sound far-fetched, but BPI’s head of policy, Zach Shapiro, recently discussed on the Bitcoin Magazine Vivid Podcast how such a move would generate a 'huge shockwave' through global markets, pushing BTC price 'through the roof.'
比特币政策研究所(BPI)提出了一个大胆的主张:如果美国政府要开始积累100万BTC,BTC的价格可能会飙升至100万美元。听起来可能很牵强,但是BPI的政策负责人Zach Shapiro最近在《比特币杂志》上讨论了生动的播客,这种举动将如何通过全球市场产生“巨大的冲击波”,从而通过屋顶推动了BTC的价格。
Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Plan: A Strategic Shift
特朗普的比特币储备计划:战略转变
This discussion on the Bright Side of Bitcoin podcast (Segment 3: A U.S. Bitcoin Standard: Interview with BPI’s Zach Shapiro) comes as President Donald Trump’s executive order, issued on March 7, continues to be a hot topic. The order, focused on creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, signals a shift in how the U.S. might engage with Bitcoin—not just as a digital asset, but also as a strategic resource, much like gold.
关于比特币播客的亮点(第3部分:美国比特币标准:对BPI的Zach Shapiro的访谈)的讨论是作为3月7日发出的唐纳德·特朗普总统的行政命令,仍然是一个热门话题。该订单专注于创建战略性比特币储备,这表明美国与比特币的互动方式发生了变化,而不是数字资产,而是作为一种战略资源,就像黄金一样。
Building a large BTC Reserve would also be crucial for establishing the U.S. as a global Bitcoin leader, with other countries closely watching America’s stance. Together, Trump’s evolving crypto strategy and the actions of other nations are shaping the future of the global digital economy.
建立大型BTC储备也对于确立美国为全球比特币领导者至关重要,其他国家密切关注美国的立场。特朗普不断发展的加密战略以及其他国家的行动正在塑造全球数字经济的未来。
Trump’s Tariffs Could Help Fund BTC Buying
特朗普的关税可以帮助BTC购买
One of the most interesting ideas is how the U.S. might fund this Bitcoin Reserve without raising taxes. Pines suggested using revenue from recent tariffs as a “budget-neutral” method to acquire BTC.
最有趣的想法之一是美国如何在不增加税收的情况下为这个比特币储备提供资金。派恩斯建议将最近关税的收入作为收购BTC的“预算中立”方法。
That fits well with Trump’s tariff policy, especially after the April 2 order that introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports. Other non-tax sources, such as gold sales and federal royalties, could also help in this endeavor.
这非常符合特朗普的关税政策,尤其是在4月2日命令对所有进口征收10%的基准关税之后。其他非税收来源,例如黄金销售和联邦特许权使用费,也可能有助于这一努力。
With this policy shift impacting sentiment, the market has begun pricing in its potential impact. Let’s break down how BTC price has responded and where it could be headed next.
随着政策转变影响情绪,市场已经开始定价其潜在影响。让我们分解BTC价格的响应方式以及接下来的何处。
BTC Price Action Analysis of April 16th, 2025
BTC价格动作分析2025年4月16日
The BTC price on a 5-minute chart shows distinct market phases. It began an uptrend within an ascending channel, which was strongly rejected at the resistance zone around $86,000. This resistance zone proved critical, as the price quickly reversed from this level, initiating a sharp downtrend contained within a descending channel.
5分钟图表上的BTC价格显示出不同的市场阶段。它开始了上升频道的上升趋势,该频道在电阻区被强烈拒绝了86,000美元。由于价格迅速从该级别逆转,该电阻区被证明是至关重要的,从而启动了降落渠道内的急剧下降趋势。
The RSI indicators during the rally frequently touched or exceeded the overbought threshold, signaling buyer exhaustion before the correction began. MACD golden crosses supported the initial bullish momentum, while subsequent death crosses aligned with the bearish channel breakdown, confirming the trend shift. The RSI during the decline repeatedly entered oversold territory, suggesting temporary bounces were likely, yet momentum remained mainly bearish.
集会期间的RSI指标经常触摸或超过过分买入的阈值,在校正开始之前,用来买家疲惫。 MACD Golden Crosss支持了最初的看涨势头,而随后的死亡与看跌通道的崩溃一致,证实了趋势的转变。下降期间的RSI反复进入超卖领土,表明可能暂时弹跳,但势头仍然主要是看跌。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, Published on April 16th, 2025
图1,由Alokkp0608分析,于2025年4月16日发布
Buyers stepped in as the price reached the support zone near $83,000, halting the decline and initiating a sideways consolidation. This support has held multiple tests, reinforcing its strength. Multiple MACD golden crosses have emerged in this consolidation phase, signaling improving momentum, and the RSI has climbed above 60, suggesting a shift in sentiment.
当价格达到支撑区接近83,000美元时,买家介入了,停止了下降并启动了侧向巩固。这种支持已进行了多次测试,从而增强了其力量。在这个合并阶段已经出现了多个MACD黄金十字,信号提高了动量,RSI攀升了60以上,表明情绪发生了变化。
The BTC price is pushing higher toward the mid-range, indicating early bullish intent, but it remains below resistance. The support and resistance zones are key inflection points for any upcoming breakout or breakdown.
BTC的价格将更高的价格推向中距离,表明早期看涨意图,但仍低于阻力。支撑区和阻力区是即将进行的任何突破或分解的关键拐点。
BTC Eyes Breakout as Reserve Talk and Tariffs Shift Sentiment
BTC的眼睛突破作为预备谈话和关税转移情绪
With technical signals turning bullish and major macro narratives heating up, Bitcoin is at a critical tipping point. The idea of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, possibly funded by Trump’s new tariff policies, has added fresh fuel to long-term price speculation.
随着技术信号的变化和主要的宏观叙事加热,比特币处于关键的转折点。可能由特朗普的新关税政策资助的美国战略比特币储备的想法为长期价格推测增加了新的燃料。
On the chart, BTC has respected key support and shows signs of renewed strength, with RSI recovery and MACD golden crosses pointing toward a shift in sentiment. As buyers step back in and price edges upward, all eyes are now on the resistance zone. If momentum holds, BTC looks poised to rechallenge the $86,000 level soon.
在图表上,BTC尊重关键支持,并显示了重新实力的迹象,RSI恢复和MACD Golden Crosses指向情感的转变。随着买家向后介入并向上边缘,现在所有人的目光都位于电阻区域。如果动量保持稳定,BTC看起来很快就会很快获得86,000美元的水平。
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