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比特幣又重新成為了人們的關注,而不僅僅是由於市場波動。比特幣政策研究所(BPI)的大膽預測表明,如果美國政府要積累100萬BTC
The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) has made a bold claim: if the U.S. government were to begin accumulating 1 million BTC, the BTC price could soar to $1 million. It may sound far-fetched, but BPI’s head of policy, Zach Shapiro, recently discussed on the Bitcoin Magazine Vivid Podcast how such a move would generate a 'huge shockwave' through global markets, pushing BTC price 'through the roof.'
比特幣政策研究所(BPI)提出了一個大膽的主張:如果美國政府要開始積累100萬BTC,BTC的價格可能會飆升至100萬美元。聽起來可能很牽強,但是BPI的政策負責人Zach Shapiro最近在《比特幣雜誌》上討論了生動的播客,這種舉動將如何通過全球市場產生“巨大的衝擊波”,從而通過屋頂推動了BTC的價格。
Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Plan: A Strategic Shift
特朗普的比特幣儲備計劃:戰略轉變
This discussion on the Bright Side of Bitcoin podcast (Segment 3: A U.S. Bitcoin Standard: Interview with BPI’s Zach Shapiro) comes as President Donald Trump’s executive order, issued on March 7, continues to be a hot topic. The order, focused on creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, signals a shift in how the U.S. might engage with Bitcoin—not just as a digital asset, but also as a strategic resource, much like gold.
關於比特幣播客的亮點(第3部分:美國比特幣標準:對BPI的Zach Shapiro的訪談)的討論是作為3月7日發出的唐納德·特朗普總統的行政命令,仍然是一個熱門話題。該訂單專注於創建戰略性比特幣儲備,這表明美國與比特幣的互動方式發生了變化,而不是數字資產,而是作為一種戰略資源,就像黃金一樣。
Building a large BTC Reserve would also be crucial for establishing the U.S. as a global Bitcoin leader, with other countries closely watching America’s stance. Together, Trump’s evolving crypto strategy and the actions of other nations are shaping the future of the global digital economy.
建立大型BTC儲備也對於確立美國為全球比特幣領導者至關重要,其他國家密切關注美國的立場。特朗普不斷發展的加密戰略以及其他國家的行動正在塑造全球數字經濟的未來。
Trump’s Tariffs Could Help Fund BTC Buying
特朗普的關稅可以幫助BTC購買
One of the most interesting ideas is how the U.S. might fund this Bitcoin Reserve without raising taxes. Pines suggested using revenue from recent tariffs as a “budget-neutral” method to acquire BTC.
最有趣的想法之一是美國如何在不增加稅收的情況下為這個比特幣儲備提供資金。派恩斯建議將最近關稅的收入作為收購BTC的“預算中立”方法。
That fits well with Trump’s tariff policy, especially after the April 2 order that introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports. Other non-tax sources, such as gold sales and federal royalties, could also help in this endeavor.
這非常符合特朗普的關稅政策,尤其是在4月2日命令對所有進口徵收10%的基準關稅之後。其他非稅收來源,例如黃金銷售和聯邦特許權使用費,也可能有助於這一努力。
With this policy shift impacting sentiment, the market has begun pricing in its potential impact. Let’s break down how BTC price has responded and where it could be headed next.
隨著政策轉變影響情緒,市場已經開始定價其潛在影響。讓我們分解BTC價格的響應方式以及接下來的何處。
BTC Price Action Analysis of April 16th, 2025
BTC價格動作分析2025年4月16日
The BTC price on a 5-minute chart shows distinct market phases. It began an uptrend within an ascending channel, which was strongly rejected at the resistance zone around $86,000. This resistance zone proved critical, as the price quickly reversed from this level, initiating a sharp downtrend contained within a descending channel.
5分鐘圖表上的BTC價格顯示出不同的市場階段。它開始了上升頻道的上升趨勢,該頻道在電阻區被強烈拒絕了86,000美元。由於價格迅速從該級別逆轉,該電阻區被證明是至關重要的,從而啟動了降落渠道內的急劇下降趨勢。
The RSI indicators during the rally frequently touched or exceeded the overbought threshold, signaling buyer exhaustion before the correction began. MACD golden crosses supported the initial bullish momentum, while subsequent death crosses aligned with the bearish channel breakdown, confirming the trend shift. The RSI during the decline repeatedly entered oversold territory, suggesting temporary bounces were likely, yet momentum remained mainly bearish.
集會期間的RSI指標經常觸摸或超過過分買入的閾值,在校正開始之前,用來買家疲憊。 MACD Golden Crosss支持了最初的看漲勢頭,而隨後的死亡與看跌通道的崩潰一致,證實了趨勢的轉變。下降期間的RSI反復進入超賣領土,表明可能暫時彈跳,但勢頭仍然主要是看跌。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, Published on April 16th, 2025
圖1,由Alokkp0608分析,於2025年4月16日發布
Buyers stepped in as the price reached the support zone near $83,000, halting the decline and initiating a sideways consolidation. This support has held multiple tests, reinforcing its strength. Multiple MACD golden crosses have emerged in this consolidation phase, signaling improving momentum, and the RSI has climbed above 60, suggesting a shift in sentiment.
當價格達到支撐區接近83,000美元時,買家介入了,停止了下降並啟動了側向鞏固。這種支持已進行了多次測試,從而增強了其力量。在這個合併階段已經出現了多個MACD黃金十字,信號提高了動量,RSI攀升了60以上,表明情緒發生了變化。
The BTC price is pushing higher toward the mid-range, indicating early bullish intent, but it remains below resistance. The support and resistance zones are key inflection points for any upcoming breakout or breakdown.
BTC的價格將更高的價格推向中距離,表明早期看漲意圖,但仍低於阻力。支撐區和阻力區是即將進行的任何突破或分解的關鍵拐點。
BTC Eyes Breakout as Reserve Talk and Tariffs Shift Sentiment
BTC的眼睛突破作為預備談話和關稅轉移情緒
With technical signals turning bullish and major macro narratives heating up, Bitcoin is at a critical tipping point. The idea of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, possibly funded by Trump’s new tariff policies, has added fresh fuel to long-term price speculation.
隨著技術信號的變化和主要的宏觀敘事加熱,比特幣處於關鍵的轉折點。可能由特朗普的新關稅政策資助的美國戰略比特幣儲備的想法為長期價格推測增加了新的燃料。
On the chart, BTC has respected key support and shows signs of renewed strength, with RSI recovery and MACD golden crosses pointing toward a shift in sentiment. As buyers step back in and price edges upward, all eyes are now on the resistance zone. If momentum holds, BTC looks poised to rechallenge the $86,000 level soon.
在圖表上,BTC尊重關鍵支持,並顯示了重新實力的跡象,RSI恢復和MACD Golden Crosses指向情感的轉變。隨著買家向後介入並向上邊緣,現在所有人的目光都位於電阻區域。如果動量保持穩定,BTC看起來很快就會很快獲得86,000美元的水平。
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