2023-2024 年 Toncoin (TON) 价格预测：TON 能否维持这种反弹？

Toncoin [TON] 大幅飙升，交易价格比下降三角形形态的突破水平高出 27%，暗示随着价格暂停，其潜在局部顶部将达到 6.32 美元。

Toncoin (TON) price has surged impressively, trading 27% above its breakout level from a descending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, hinting at a potential local top at the $6.32 level as the price marked a pause in its ascent. This breakout from a downtrend that previously suppressed its price marked a significant shift in market dynamics.

Toncoin (TON) 价格大幅飙升，比 4 小时图上的下降三角形形态的突破水平高出 27%，暗示价格可能会在 6.32 美元的水平上出现局部顶部，因为价格标志着上涨的暂停。此次突破此前压制其价格的下跌趋势，标志着市场动态的重大转变。

The resistance along the descending trendline, consistently formed lower highs, flipped as TON burst through, suggesting a change from bearish to bullish sentiment. A huge green candle captured the intense buying pressure, indicating a sharp increase in value within a brief period.

沿着下降趋势线的阻力一直形成较低的高点，随着 TON 突破而发生翻转，表明情绪从看跌转向看涨。一根巨大的绿色蜡烛捕捉到了强烈的购买压力，表明价格在短时间内急剧上涨。

Toncoin 4hr Chart

东币 4 小时图

Toncoin now testing new levels as price surges following the breakout, with the MACD confirming a bullish crossover—an optimistic signal for further upward movement. This technical momentum could push TON toward the $9 mark if it maintains support above current levels, drawing more traders to capitalize on its newly bullish trend.

随着突破后价格飙升，Toncoin 目前测试新水平，MACD 确认看涨交叉——这是进一步上涨的乐观信号。如果 TON 维持在当前水平上方的支撑位，这种技术势头可能会将 TON 推向 9 美元大关，吸引更多交易者利用其新的看涨趋势。

A closer look at the TON/USDT pair revealed interesting dynamics. At $6.50, large leveraged positions risked liquidation, potentially driving price action toward these zones due to the high liquidity present. Notably, $915K and $701K were at stake at $5.85 and $6.32, respectively.

仔细观察 TON/USDT 货币对揭示了有趣的动态。价格为 6.50 美元时，大额杠杆头寸面临清算风险，由于存在高流动性，可能会推动价格走势向这些区域移动。值得注意的是，91.5 万美元和 70.1 万美元的赌注分别为 5.85 美元和 6.32 美元。

Toncoin Liquidation Heatmap

Toncoin 清算热图

The market's liquidity map revealed that these areas could either provide substantial resistance or support, depending on whether traders decide to cut losses or capitalize on lower prices. The heatmap visually represented these dynamics with distinct bands, signaling densely packed liquidity zones.

市场的流动性地图显示，这些区域可能会提供巨大的阻力或支撑，具体取决于交易者是否决定减少损失或利用较低的价格。热图以不同的带直观地表示了这些动态，表明了密集的流动性区域。

This setup suggested that TON could either rebound off these levels or plunge through them if sell-off pressures increase, making these points critical for traders to watch. Such insights were vital for market participants aiming to navigate the intricacies of leveraged trading within volatile markets.

这种设置表明，如果抛售压力增加，TON 可能会从这些水平反弹，也可能会暴跌，因此这些点对于交易者来说至关重要。这些见解对于想要在波动的市场中应对杠杆交易的复杂性的市场参与者至关重要。

Active Addresses by Profitability

按盈利能力划分的活跃地址

Most TON holders saw profits, with 32.64% of addresses ‘In the Money’. This represented 298K addresses, indicating positive sentiment that may encourage price increases.

大多数 TON 持有者都看到了利润，其中 32.64% 的地址“处于货币状态”。这代表了 298K 个地址，表明积极情绪可能会鼓励价格上涨。

A significant 66.71% of holders are ‘At the Money,’ at a break-even point, showing potential volatility. These holders might sell as prices rise or hold for further gains, influencing TON's potential to hit targets like $9.

66.71% 的持有者处于“平价”状态，处于盈亏平衡点，显示出潜在的波动性。这些持有者可能会随着价格上涨而出售，或者持有以获得进一步收益，从而影响 TON 达到 9 美元等目标的潜力。

Toncoin Holder Profitability

Toncoin 持有者盈利能力

Only 0.65% are ‘Out of the Money’, showed minimal immediate sell pressure from losses. This distribution indicated a basis for growth, with most holders not pressured to sell, potentially enabling a gradual rise to $9.

只有 0.65% 处于“价外”状态，表明损失带来的直接抛售压力很小。这种分配表明了增长的基础，大多数持有者没有被迫出售的压力，有可能逐渐上涨至 9 美元。