Toncoin (TON) 价格预测：MTH 的主导地位暗示有可能从下跌趋势中复苏

Toncoin (TON) 价格在过去四个月中面临持续下跌趋势，多次尝试恢复均告失败。尽管遇到这些挫折，但最近的市场状况表明潜在的复苏，因为中期持有者（MTH）现在似乎正在推动价格。这一转变可能标志着 Toncoin 价格走势的转折点。

Toncoin (TON) price has been battered by a persistent downtrend in the last four months, enduring several failed attempts to rally. However, recent market conditions might signal a potential recovery, as medium-term holders (MTH) appear to be driving the price now. This shift in MTH might mark a turning point in Toncoin’s price action.

Toncoin (TON) 价格在过去四个月中受到持续下跌趋势的打击，经历了几次上涨尝试失败。然而，最近的市场状况可能预示着潜在的复苏，因为中期持有者（MTH）现在似乎正在推动价格。 MTH 的这一转变可能标志着 Toncoin 价格走势的转折点。

Toncoin Investors Seem Bullish

Toncoin 投资者似乎看涨

Toncoin’s market sentiment seems to be stabilizing, as short-term holders (STH) slowly transition into medium-term holders (MTH). Over the last two months, MTHs’ presence has grown by 32%, with 77% of all TON addresses holding their assets for over a month. This shift from STHs to MTHs might indicate a growing investor confidence and commitment, which bodes well for price stability.

随着短期持有者（STH）慢慢转变为中期持有者（MTH），Toncoin 的市场情绪似乎正在稳定。在过去两个月中，MTH 的存在量增长了 32%，所有 TON 地址中的 77% 持有其资产超过一个月。这种从 STH 到 MTH 的转变可能表明投资者的信心和承诺不断增强，这对价格稳定来说是个好兆头。

A higher MTH presence tends to reduce market volatility, as these holders are less likely to react to minor price movements. This extended holding period may help establish a steadier price foundation, increasing Toncoin’s ability to sustain upward momentum.

较高的 MTH 存在往往会减少市场波动，因为这些持有者不太可能对较小的价格变动做出反应。延长持有期可能有助于建立更稳定的价格基础，增强 Toncoin 维持上涨势头的能力。

Toncoin’s macro momentum is further supported by a positive Funding Rate, which suggests that traders are largely betting on a price increase. When the Funding Rate is positive, it indicates that traders are paying a premium to maintain long positions, reflecting an optimistic outlook on Toncoin’s potential for growth. This sentiment could act as a catalyst for TON’s price, with traders’ bullish positions signaling confidence in the asset.

正的融资利率进一步支撑了 Toncoin 的宏观势头，这表明交易者主要押注价格上涨。当资金利率为正时，表明交易者正在支付溢价来维持多头头寸，反映出对 Toncoin 增长潜力的乐观前景。这种情绪可能会成为 TON 价格的催化剂，交易员的看涨头寸表明了对该资产的信心。

With the majority of traders betting on a Toncoin rally, the overall market sentiment seems to be leaning toward optimism. Positive Funding Rates often serve as an indicator of an anticipated price movement, as traders invest in the asset’s upward momentum. For Toncoin, this trend could further support the altcoin’s attempt to break out of its current downtrend.

由于大多数交易者押注 Toncoin 反弹，整体市场情绪似乎倾向于乐观。当交易者投资于资产的上涨势头时，正资金费率通常可以作为预期价格变动的指标。对于 Toncoin 来说，这种趋势可能会进一步支持山寨币试图突破当前的下跌趋势。

TON Price Prediction: Breaking Downtrend

TON 价格预测：突破下跌趋势

Currently, the Toncoin price is trading at $4.91, aiming to establish $4.86 as a strong support level. Securing this floor is key for TON, as it provides a base from which the asset could attempt to rally. Holding above $4.86 would indicate the strength needed for further bullish action.

目前，Toncoin 价格交易价格为 4.91 美元，目标是将 4.86 美元确立为强有力的支撑位。确保这个底线对于 TON 来说至关重要，因为它为该资产尝试反弹提供了基础。保持在 4.86 美元上方将表明进一步看涨行动所需的力量。

As the asset aims to break the downtrend line, it must also flip $5.37 into support to confirm a genuine breakout. This would demonstrate a stronger commitment to the upside, increasing the possibility of a sustained rally toward $6.00. A successful flip of $5.37 would mark a significant step for Toncoin, reflecting growing investor confidence.

由于该资产旨在突破下降趋势线，因此还必须翻转 5.37 美元至支撑位才能确认真正的突破。这将表明对上行的坚定承诺，增加了持续反弹至 6.00 美元的可能性。成功翻转 5.37 美元将标志着 Toncoin 迈出了重要一步，反映出投资者信心的增强。

However, if Toncoin fails to hold the $4.86 support level, it risks falling to $4.61. Dropping below this point would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to further declines. This scenario would challenge Toncoin’s upward trajectory, forcing investors to reconsider the potential for recovery.

然而，如果 Toncoin 未能守住 4.86 美元的支撑位，则有跌至 4.61 美元的风险。跌破这一点将使看涨前景失效，并可能导致进一步下跌。这种情况将挑战 Toncoin 的上升轨迹，迫使投资者重新考虑复苏的潜力。