Toncoin (TON) 價格預測：MTH 的主導地位暗示有可能從下跌趨勢中復甦

Toncoin (TON) 價格在過去四個月中面臨持續下跌趨勢，多次嘗試恢復均告失敗。儘管遇到這些挫折，但最近的市場狀況表明潛在的復甦，因為中期持有者（MTH）現在似乎正在推動價格。這一轉變可能標誌著 Toncoin 價格走勢的轉折點。

Toncoin (TON) price has been battered by a persistent downtrend in the last four months, enduring several failed attempts to rally. However, recent market conditions might signal a potential recovery, as medium-term holders (MTH) appear to be driving the price now. This shift in MTH might mark a turning point in Toncoin’s price action.

Toncoin (TON) 價格在過去四個月中受到持續下跌趨勢的打擊，經歷了幾次上漲嘗試失敗。然而，最近的市場狀況可能預示著潛在的復甦，因為中期持有者（MTH）現在似乎正在推動價格。 MTH 的這一轉變可能標誌著 Toncoin 價格走勢的轉折點。

Toncoin Investors Seem Bullish

Toncoin 投資者似乎看漲

Toncoin’s market sentiment seems to be stabilizing, as short-term holders (STH) slowly transition into medium-term holders (MTH). Over the last two months, MTHs’ presence has grown by 32%, with 77% of all TON addresses holding their assets for over a month. This shift from STHs to MTHs might indicate a growing investor confidence and commitment, which bodes well for price stability.

隨著短期持有者（STH）慢慢轉變為中期持有者（MTH），Toncoin 的市場情緒似乎正在穩定。在過去兩個月中，MTH 的存在量增加了 32%，所有 TON 地址中的 77% 持有其資產超過一個月。這種從 STH 到 MTH 的轉變可能表明投資者的信心和承諾不斷增強，這對價格穩定來說是個好兆頭。

A higher MTH presence tends to reduce market volatility, as these holders are less likely to react to minor price movements. This extended holding period may help establish a steadier price foundation, increasing Toncoin’s ability to sustain upward momentum.

較高的 MTH 存在往往會減少市場波動，因為這些持有者不太可能對較小的價格變動做出反應。延長持有期可能有助於建立更穩定的價格基礎，增強 Toncoin 維持上漲勢頭的能力。

Toncoin’s macro momentum is further supported by a positive Funding Rate, which suggests that traders are largely betting on a price increase. When the Funding Rate is positive, it indicates that traders are paying a premium to maintain long positions, reflecting an optimistic outlook on Toncoin’s potential for growth. This sentiment could act as a catalyst for TON’s price, with traders’ bullish positions signaling confidence in the asset.

正的融資利率進一步支撐了 Toncoin 的宏觀勢頭，這表明交易者主要押注價格上漲。當資金費率為正時，表示交易者正在支付溢價來維持多頭頭寸，反映出對 Toncoin 成長潛力的樂觀前景。這種情緒可能會成為 TON 價格的催化劑，交易員的看漲頭寸表明了對該資產的信心。

With the majority of traders betting on a Toncoin rally, the overall market sentiment seems to be leaning toward optimism. Positive Funding Rates often serve as an indicator of an anticipated price movement, as traders invest in the asset’s upward momentum. For Toncoin, this trend could further support the altcoin’s attempt to break out of its current downtrend.

由於大多數交易者押注 Toncoin 反彈，整體市場情緒似乎傾向於樂觀。當交易者投資於資產的上漲動能時，正資金費率通常可以作為預期價格變動的指標。對於 Toncoin 來說，這種趨勢可能會進一步支持山寨幣試圖突破當前的下跌趨勢。

TON Price Prediction: Breaking Downtrend

TON 價格預測：突破下跌趨勢

Currently, the Toncoin price is trading at $4.91, aiming to establish $4.86 as a strong support level. Securing this floor is key for TON, as it provides a base from which the asset could attempt to rally. Holding above $4.86 would indicate the strength needed for further bullish action.

目前，Toncoin 價格交易價格為 4.91 美元，目標是將 4.86 美元確立為強有力的支撐位。確保這個底線對於 TON 至關重要，因為它為該資產嘗試反彈提供了基礎。保持在 4.86 美元上方將表明進一步看漲行動所需的力量。

As the asset aims to break the downtrend line, it must also flip $5.37 into support to confirm a genuine breakout. This would demonstrate a stronger commitment to the upside, increasing the possibility of a sustained rally toward $6.00. A successful flip of $5.37 would mark a significant step for Toncoin, reflecting growing investor confidence.

由於該資產旨在突破下降趨勢線，因此還必須翻轉 5.37 美元至支撐位才能確認真正的突破。這將表明對上行的堅定承諾，增加了持續反彈至 6.00 美元的可能性。成功翻轉 5.37 美元將標誌著 Toncoin 邁出了重要一步，反映出投資者信心的增強。

However, if Toncoin fails to hold the $4.86 support level, it risks falling to $4.61. Dropping below this point would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to further declines. This scenario would challenge Toncoin’s upward trajectory, forcing investors to reconsider the potential for recovery.

然而，如果 Toncoin 未能守住 4.86 美元的支撐位，則有跌至 4.61 美元的風險。跌破這一點將使看漲前景失效，並可能導致進一步下跌。這種情況將挑戰 Toncoin 的上升軌跡，迫使投資者重新考慮復甦的潛力。