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十月初,加密货币市场遭遇严重崩盘,看跌情绪加剧,吸引了资本雄厚的卖空者。由于市场以空头头寸为主的未平仓头寸出现失衡,一些加密货币现在面临着挤压空头的风险。
As October began, cryptocurrency traders were presented with a unique scenario in the derivatives market.
十月伊始,加密货币交易者就看到了衍生品市场的独特场景。
As the بازار خرس نقطه عطف خود را افزایش می دهد و سرمایه گذاران بزرگ کوتاه مدت را به خود جذب می کند، برخی از ارزهای دیجیتال اکنون در معرض خطر تجربه فشار کوتاه مدت هستند.
随着熊市拐点上升并吸引大量短期投资者,一些加密货币现在面临承受短期压力的风险。
According to data from CoinGlass, Sui (SUI) and Celestia (TIA) stand out with remarkably high negative funding rates. On October 4, SUI and TIA short sellers were paying 71.54% and 124.88% APR, respectively, to holders of long positions.
根据 CoinGlass 的数据,Sui (SUI) 和 Celestia (TIA) 以非常高的负资金利率脱颖而出。 10 月 4 日,SUI 和 TIA 卖空者分别向多头头寸持有者支付 71.54% 和 124.88% 的年利率。
These funding rates were the most lopsided among the 30 cryptocurrencies with the highest open interest in the market.
这些融资利率是市场上未平仓合约最高的 30 种加密货币中最不平衡的。
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In essence, funding rates can increase or decrease rapidly due to imbalances between open shorts and longs, which can play a role in the price action dynamics. Highly shorted markets will punish short sellers with a higher cost to keep their positions open, potentially leading to a short squeeze.
从本质上讲,由于未平仓空头和多头之间的不平衡,资金费率可能会迅速上升或下降,这可能会在价格走势动态中发挥作用。高度做空的市场将以更高的成本惩罚卖空者以保持其持仓,可能导致轧空。
Sui (SUI) short squeeze on the horizon
Sui (SUI) 逼空即将到来
First, Sui reached an all-time high open interest of $502.28 million on October 2, while trading at $1.85. This was largely driven by a surge in short positions, which is evident from SUI’s funding rates turning sharply negative.
首先,Sui 于 10 月 2 日达到历史最高持仓量,达到 5.0228 亿美元,交易价格为 1.85 美元。这主要是由空头头寸激增推动的,这从 SUI 的融资利率急剧转为负值就可以看出。
The trend continued, and on October 4, the token clocked a record negative funding rate at the $1.69 price point. As things stand, Sui could soon experience a short squeeze if demand for the token sees an unexpected surge.
这一趋势仍在继续,10 月 4 日,该代币以 1.69 美元的价格创下了创纪录的负资金利率。就目前情况而言,如果代币需求意外激增,Sui 可能很快就会遭遇轧空。
It’s worth noting that the last time SUI saw such a lopsided imbalance, weighted by its total open interest, the token went on to register a significant increase in price during August, as Finbold highlighted at the time.
值得注意的是,正如 Finbold 当时强调的那样,上次 SUI 出现如此不平衡的失衡(按其未平仓总量加权)时,该代币的价格在 8 月份继续大幅上涨。
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Celestia (TIA) extreme negative funding rates
Celestia (TIA) 极端负资金利率
Second, Celestia features the highest imbalance in the market, with a nearly -125% funding rate at the last check. This, however, appears to be a normal state for the native token TIA, judging by the cryptocurrency’s historical funding rate.
其次,Celestia 的不平衡性是市场上最高的,上次检查时的资金费率接近-125%。然而,从加密货币的历史融资率来看,这似乎是原生代币 TIA 的正常状态。
Moreover, despite having the highest negative rate, Celestia had far worse short-selling imbalances in the past when weighted by OI. Similar to SUI, its chart shows how negative funding rate spikes usually preceded short squeezes, followed by price increases.
此外,尽管 Celestia 的负利率最高,但按 OI 加权,过去的卖空失衡情况要严重得多。与 SUI 类似,它的图表显示了负融资利率通常如何先于轧空,然后是价格上涨。
While increased short-selling and high negative funding rates can potentially lead to short squeezes and price surges, traders should proceed with caution. This is because short positions tend to increase when an asset is overbought or bearish sentiment dominates the market.
虽然卖空增加和较高的负融资利率可能会导致轧空和价格飙升,但交易者应谨慎行事。这是因为当资产超买或看跌情绪主导市场时,空头头寸往往会增加。
For instance, SUI recently clocked a short-duration surge of over 100%, suggesting an overbought cryptocurrency. TIA, on the other hand, is evidently dominated by short sellers amidst a sustained bearish perception since July.
例如,SUI 最近出现了超过 100% 的短期飙升,表明加密货币已经超买。另一方面,自 7 月份以来,在持续看跌的情绪中,TIA 显然由卖空者主导。
Hence, these projects might not experience a short squeeze unless further data suggests otherwise and the sentiment shifts. Traders can open and close positions at any time, re-evaluating their trades based on the market’s dynamics.
因此,除非进一步的数据表明情况相反并且情绪发生变化,否则这些项目可能不会经历轧空。交易者可以随时开仓和平仓,根据市场动态重新评估自己的交易。
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