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十月初,加密貨幣市場遭遇嚴重崩盤,看跌情緒加劇,吸引了資本雄厚的賣空者。由於市場以空頭部位為主的未平倉部位出現失衡,一些加密貨幣現在面臨著擠壓空頭的風險。
As October began, cryptocurrency traders were presented with a unique scenario in the derivatives market.
十月伊始,加密貨幣交易者就看到了衍生性商品市場的獨特場景。
As the بازار خرس نقطه عطف خود را افزایش می دهد و سرمایه گذاران بزرگ کوتاه مدت را به خود جذب می کند، برخی از ارزهای دیجیتال اکنون در معرض خطر تجربه فشار کوتاه مدت هستند.
隨著熊市拐點上升並吸引大量短期投資者,一些加密貨幣現在面臨承受短期壓力的風險。
According to data from CoinGlass, Sui (SUI) and Celestia (TIA) stand out with remarkably high negative funding rates. On October 4, SUI and TIA short sellers were paying 71.54% and 124.88% APR, respectively, to holders of long positions.
根據 CoinGlass 的數據,Sui (SUI) 和 Celestia (TIA) 以非常高的負資金利率脫穎而出。 10 月 4 日,SUI 和 TIA 賣空者分別向多頭部位持有者支付 71.54% 和 124.88% 的年利率。
These funding rates were the most lopsided among the 30 cryptocurrencies with the highest open interest in the market.
這些融資利率是市場上未平倉合約最高的 30 種加密貨幣中最不平衡的。
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In essence, funding rates can increase or decrease rapidly due to imbalances between open shorts and longs, which can play a role in the price action dynamics. Highly shorted markets will punish short sellers with a higher cost to keep their positions open, potentially leading to a short squeeze.
從本質上講,由於未平倉空頭和多頭之間的不平衡,資金費率可能會迅速上升或下降,這可能會在價格走勢動態中發揮作用。高度做空的市場將以更高的成本懲罰賣空者以保持其持倉,可能導致軋空。
Sui (SUI) short squeeze on the horizon
Sui (SUI) 逼空即將到來
First, Sui reached an all-time high open interest of $502.28 million on October 2, while trading at $1.85. This was largely driven by a surge in short positions, which is evident from SUI’s funding rates turning sharply negative.
首先,Sui 於 10 月 2 日達到歷史最高持倉量,達到 5.0228 億美元,交易價格為 1.85 美元。這主要是由空頭部位激增推動的,這從 SUI 的融資利率急劇轉為負值就可以看出。
The trend continued, and on October 4, the token clocked a record negative funding rate at the $1.69 price point. As things stand, Sui could soon experience a short squeeze if demand for the token sees an unexpected surge.
這一趨勢仍在繼續,10 月 4 日,該代幣以 1.69 美元的價格創下了創紀錄的負資金利率。就目前情況而言,如果代幣需求意外激增,Sui 可能很快就會遭遇軋空。
It’s worth noting that the last time SUI saw such a lopsided imbalance, weighted by its total open interest, the token went on to register a significant increase in price during August, as Finbold highlighted at the time.
值得注意的是,正如 Finbold 當時所強調的那樣,上次 SUI 出現如此不平衡的失衡(按其未平倉總量加權)時,該代幣的價格在 8 月繼續大幅上漲。
Last batch of VCs getting easy exit liquidity. https://t.co/rwyMnr8JID
最後一批創投公司輕鬆退出流動性。 https://t.co/rwyMnr8JID
Celestia (TIA) extreme negative funding rates
Celestia (TIA) 極端負資金利率
Second, Celestia features the highest imbalance in the market, with a nearly -125% funding rate at the last check. This, however, appears to be a normal state for the native token TIA, judging by the cryptocurrency’s historical funding rate.
其次,Celestia 的不平衡性是市場上最高的,上次檢查時的資金費率接近-125%。然而,從加密貨幣的歷史融資率來看,這似乎是原生代幣 TIA 的正常狀態。
Moreover, despite having the highest negative rate, Celestia had far worse short-selling imbalances in the past when weighted by OI. Similar to SUI, its chart shows how negative funding rate spikes usually preceded short squeezes, followed by price increases.
此外,儘管 Celestia 的負利率最高,但以 OI 加權,過去的賣空失衡情況要嚴重得多。與 SUI 類似,它的圖表顯示了負融資利率通常如何先於軋空,然後是價格上漲。
While increased short-selling and high negative funding rates can potentially lead to short squeezes and price surges, traders should proceed with caution. This is because short positions tend to increase when an asset is overbought or bearish sentiment dominates the market.
雖然賣空增加和較高的負融資利率可能會導致軋空和價格飆升,但交易者應謹慎行事。這是因為當資產超買或看跌情緒主導市場時,空頭部位往往會增加。
For instance, SUI recently clocked a short-duration surge of over 100%, suggesting an overbought cryptocurrency. TIA, on the other hand, is evidently dominated by short sellers amidst a sustained bearish perception since July.
例如,SUI 最近出現了超過 100% 的短期飆升,表明加密貨幣已經超買。另一方面,自 7 月以來,在持續看跌的情緒中,TIA 顯然由賣空者主導。
Hence, these projects might not experience a short squeeze unless further data suggests otherwise and the sentiment shifts. Traders can open and close positions at any time, re-evaluating their trades based on the market’s dynamics.
因此,除非進一步的數據表明情況相反且情緒發生變化,否則這些項目可能不會經歷軋空。交易者可以隨時開倉和平倉,根據市場動態重新評估自己的交易。
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