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自 9 月 27 日以來,比特幣已下跌 5.76%。
Bitcoin (BTC) may not be performing as predicted for the start of October, but it may be too early to tell where the remainder of the month is headed as investors are laser-focused on broader economy events, according to a crypto analyst.
一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣(BTC) 的表現可能不會如10 月初的預期那樣,但現在判斷本月剩餘時間的走向可能還為時過早,因為投資者將注意力集中在更廣泛的經濟事件上。
“It might be too early to judge the trend for the rest of the month as most investors are largely reactionary to macro events,” Bitget chief crypto analyst Ryan Lee opined in an Oct. 2 report viewed by Cointelegraph.
Bitget 首席加密貨幣分析師Ryan Lee 在Cointelegraph 看到的10 月2 日報告中表示,「現在判斷本月剩餘時間的趨勢可能還為時過早,因為大多數投資者很大程度上對宏觀事件做出反應。
Bitcoin is down 5.76% since Sept. 27. Source: TradingView
自 9 月 27 日以來,比特幣已下跌 5.76%。
Traders echoed a similar sentiment, noting that this year’s different start to October doesn’t predict how the rest of the month will unfold.
交易員也表達了類似的觀點,並指出今年與 10 月不同的開局並不能預測本月剩餘時間將如何發展。
Bitcoin trading volume drop due to investors on sidelines
由於投資者觀望,比特幣交易量下降
“Just because Uptober started this way doesn’t mean it will end the sam,” CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler pointed out.
CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Axel Adler 指出,“Uptober 以這種方式開始並不意味著它會結束同樣的情況。”
Lee highlighted that the 16% drop in spot BTC trading volume since Oct. 1 shows dwindling sentiment but noted that it “is explainable.”
Lee 強調,自 10 月 1 日以來,現貨 BTC 交易量下降了 16%,表明市場情緒正在減弱,但他指出,這是「可以解釋的」。
According to Lee, investors would prefer to wait on the sidelines with macroeconomic uncertainty and take more of a risk-off-asset approach.
李表示,在宏觀經濟不確定的情況下,投資人更願意觀望,並採取更多規避資產風險的方法。
Bitcoin’s market capitalization has declined approximately 2.5% since Oct. 1. Source: CoinMarketCap
自 10 月 1 日以來,比特幣市值已下降約 2.5%。
“Investors will prefer not to get caught up in a macroeconomic situation that will tie down their capital,” Lee explained.
「投資者寧願不陷入宏觀經濟形勢,因為這會束縛他們的資本,」李解釋。
What’s delaying “Uptober?”
是什麼推遲了「Uptober」?
Several macroeconomic events may be keeping investors on the sidelines, including expectations of more Federal Reserve rate cuts after September’s 50 basis point reduction, the United States presidential election and escalating tensions in the Middle East.
一些宏觀經濟事件可能會讓投資者保持觀望,包括聯準會在 9 月降息 50 個基點後進一步降息的預期、美國總統大選以及中東緊張局勢升級。
Related: Bitcoin is again forming a ‘three blind mice’ trading pattern: Peter Brandt
相關:比特幣再次形成「三隻盲鼠」交易模式:Peter Brandt
However, Lee suggested that clearer conditions could lead to a short-term 18% price surge for Bitcoin.
不過,Lee 表示,更明確的條件可能會導致比特幣價格短期飆升 18%。
Lee also highlighted that despite the decline in trading volume since the beginning of October, “institutional investors continue to buy digital currency at a rate at par or higher than the quantity mined daily.”
Lee 還強調,儘管自 10 月初以來交易量有所下降,但“機構投資者繼續以與每日開採量持平或更高的價格購買數位貨幣。”
For example, the latest Farside data shows that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) within the U.S. have attracted over 18,500 BTC (worth over $1.1 billion at today’s prices) in 10 months.
例如,最新的 Farside 數據顯示,美國境內的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 10 個月內吸引了超過 18,500 枚 BTC(以今天的價格計算,價值超過 11 億美元)。
Magazine: Anti-aging tycoon Bryan Johnson almost devoted his life to crypto
雜誌:抗衰老大亨布萊恩·約翰遜幾乎將一生都奉獻給了加密貨幣
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做決定時應自行研究。
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