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自 9 月 27 日以来,比特币已下跌 5.76%。一些宏观经济事件可能会让投资者保持观望。
Bitcoin (BTC) may not be performing as predicted for the start of October, but it may be too early to tell where the remainder of the month is headed as investors are laser-focused on broader economy events, according to a crypto analyst.
一位加密货币分析师表示,比特币 (BTC) 的表现可能不会如 10 月初的预期那样,但现在判断本月剩余时间的走向可能还为时过早,因为投资者将注意力集中在更广泛的经济事件上。
“It might be too early to judge the trend for the rest of the month as most investors are largely reactionary to macro events,” Bitget chief crypto analyst Ryan Lee opined in an Oct. 2 report viewed by Cointelegraph.
Bitget 首席加密货币分析师 Ryan Lee 在 Cointelegraph 看到的 10 月 2 日报告中表示,“现在判断本月剩余时间的趋势可能还为时过早,因为大多数投资者很大程度上对宏观事件做出反应。”
Bitcoin is down 5.76% since Sept. 27. Source: TradingView
自 9 月 27 日以来,比特币已下跌 5.76%。来源:TradingView
Traders echoed a similar sentiment, noting that this year’s different start to October doesn’t predict how the rest of the month will unfold.
交易员也表达了类似的观点,并指出今年与 10 月不同的开局并不能预测本月剩余时间将如何发展。
Bitcoin trading volume drop due to investors on sidelines
由于投资者观望,比特币交易量下降
“Just because Uptober started this way doesn’t mean it will end the sam,” CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler pointed out.
CryptoQuant 撰稿人阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler) 指出,“Uptober 以这种方式开始并不意味着它会结束同样的情况。”
Lee highlighted that the 16% drop in spot BTC trading volume since Oct. 1 shows dwindling sentiment but noted that it “is explainable.”
Lee 强调,自 10 月 1 日以来,现货 BTC 交易量下降了 16%,表明市场情绪正在减弱,但他指出,这是“可以解释的”。
According to Lee, investors would prefer to wait on the sidelines with macroeconomic uncertainty and take more of a risk-off-asset approach.
李表示,在宏观经济不确定的情况下,投资者更愿意观望,并更多地采取规避资产风险的方法。
Bitcoin’s market capitalization has declined approximately 2.5% since Oct. 1. Source: CoinMarketCap
自 10 月 1 日以来,比特币市值已下降约 2.5%。资料来源:CoinMarketCap
“Investors will prefer not to get caught up in a macroeconomic situation that will tie down their capital,” Lee explained.
“投资者宁愿不陷入宏观经济形势,因为这会束缚他们的资本,”李解释道。
What’s delaying “Uptober?”
是什么推迟了“Uptober”?
Several macroeconomic events may be keeping investors on the sidelines, including expectations of more Federal Reserve rate cuts after September’s 50 basis point reduction, the United States presidential election and escalating tensions in the Middle East.
一些宏观经济事件可能会让投资者保持观望,包括美联储在 9 月份降息 50 个基点后进一步降息的预期、美国总统大选以及中东紧张局势升级。
Related: Bitcoin is again forming a ‘three blind mice’ trading pattern: Peter Brandt
相关:比特币再次形成“三只盲鼠”交易模式:Peter Brandt
However, Lee suggested that clearer conditions could lead to a short-term 18% price surge for Bitcoin.
不过,Lee 表示,更明确的条件可能会导致比特币价格短期飙升 18%。
Lee also highlighted that despite the decline in trading volume since the beginning of October, “institutional investors continue to buy digital currency at a rate at par or higher than the quantity mined daily.”
Lee 还强调,尽管自 10 月初以来交易量有所下降,但“机构投资者继续以与每日开采量持平或更高的价格购买数字货币。”
For example, the latest Farside data shows that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) within the U.S. have attracted over 18,500 BTC (worth over $1.1 billion at today’s prices) in 10 months.
例如,最新的 Farside 数据显示,美国境内的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 10 个月内吸引了超过 18,500 枚 BTC(按今天的价格计算,价值超过 11 亿美元)。
Magazine: Anti-aging tycoon Bryan Johnson almost devoted his life to crypto
杂志:抗衰老大亨布莱恩·约翰逊几乎将一生都奉献给了加密货币
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应自行研究。
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