恒星流明 (XLM) 价格预测：为什么 XLM 在一月份即将大幅上涨

恒星价格分析：下降楔形是催化剂 1月份恒星价格正处于强劲看涨突破的边缘，主要是因为该代币已经形成了下降楔形模式。

Stellar (XLM) price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few weeks. The coin dropped to a low of $0.35, which was the lowest level since December 2020. It has erased some of the gains that it made in November when it surged by almost 500%. Still, several catalysts suggest that the Stellar Lumens price is on the verge of a strong surge in January.

过去几周，恒星币（XLM）价格一直处于强劲的看跌趋势。该币跌至 0.35 美元的低点，这是自 2020 年 12 月以来的最低水平。它抹去了 11 月份飙升近 500% 时取得的部分涨幅。尽管如此，一些催化剂表明恒星币价格在一月份即将强劲飙升。

Stellar price technical analysis: Falling wedge as a catalyst

恒星价格技术分析：下降楔形作为催化剂

The four-hour chart shows that the Stellar price has been forming a bullish falling wedge pattern. The upper side of the wedge connects the highest swings on Dec. 2, 17, and 24.

四小时图显示，恒星币价格已形成看涨下降楔形形态。楔形的上侧连接了 12 月 2 日、17 日和 24 日的最高波动。

On the other hand, the lower side of the wedge links the lowest swings on Dec 3, 9, and 20th. These two lines are now about to converge, which will likely lead to a strong bullish breakout in the next few weeks.

另一方面，楔形的下侧连接了 12 月 3 日、9 日和 20 日的最低波动。这两条线现在即将收敛，这可能会导致未来几周的强劲看涨突破。

If this happens, the initial level to watch will be at the psychological point of $0.500, which is about 50% above the current level.

如果发生这种情况，最初值得关注的水平将是 0.500 美元的心理点，该水平比当前水平高出约 50%。

This rebound will likely happen when the XLM price drops and bottoms at $0.2970, the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. It will reach that point as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves to the oversold level at 30.

当 XLM 价格下跌并触底于 0.2970 美元（61.8% 斐波那契回撤位）时，这种反弹可能会发生。当相对强弱指数 (RSI) 移动到 30 的超卖水平时，它将达到该点。

More catalysts for the XLM price

XLM 价格的更多催化剂

There are other potential catalysts that will push the XLM price higher in January.

还有其他潜在的催化剂将在一月份推高 XLM 价格。

First, as shown below, the token’s futures interest has been in a strong downtrend in the past few weeks. It has fallen from the year-to-date high of $335 million in November to the current $132 million.

首先，如下图所示，该代币的期货利息在过去几周一直处于强劲的下降趋势。它已从 11 月份的年初至今高点 3.35 亿美元跌至目前的 1.32 亿美元。

In most cases, falling futures open interest is usually a sign that the crowd is losing interest in an asset. This performance usually precedes potential surges. For example, Stellar had a futures interest of less than $40 million before the recent surge.

在大多数情况下，期货未平仓合约下降通常表明人群对资产失去兴趣。这种表现通常先于潜在的激增。例如，在最近的飙升之前，Stellar 的期货权益不到 4000 万美元。

Second, the Stellar price may surge in the coming weeks because of Ripple. As we covered in this XRP price prediction, the coin is slowly forming a bullish pennant pattern, which may lead to more gains in the coming weeks. This is notable since Stellar tends to correlate closely with Ripple since the two are seen as cousins.

其次，由于瑞波币的影响，未来几周恒星价格可能会飙升。正如我们在 XRP 价格预测中所介绍的，该代币正在慢慢形成看涨三角旗模式，这可能会在未来几周内带来更多涨幅。值得注意的是，Stellar 往往与 Ripple 密切相关，因为两者被视为表兄弟。

Further, the XLM price may recover because of the seasonality of the crypto industry, where most tokens perform well in the first quarter of the year.

此外，由于加密行业的季节性，大多数代币在今年第一季度表现良好，XLM 价格可能会回升。