Solana (SOL) 2023 年价格预测 – SOL 会在跌至 197 美元后恢复吗？

截至发稿时，Solana [SOL] 的交易价格为 197.05 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 8.68%，但过去一周上涨 4.31%。

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) encountered difficulties on Friday as the coin dropped below a crucial technical support level amid a wave of liquidations.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) 周五遇到了困难，在一波清算浪潮中，该货币跌破了关键的技术支撑位。

What Happened: SOL was trading at $197.05 by 02:16 ET, showing an 8.68% decrease in the last 24 hours and a 4.31% gain over the past week.

发生了什么：截至美国东部时间 02:16，SOL 的交易价格为 197.05 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 8.68%，过去一周上涨 4.31%。

The cryptocurrency’s trading volume surged to $6.69 billion within 24 hours.

该加密货币的交易量在 24 小时内飙升至 66.9 亿美元。

At the time of writing, with a circulating supply of 480 million SOL, the coin’s market capitalization stood at $95.54 billion, as SOL’s price has fluctuated within a 24-hour range of $193.90 to $215.98, and the weekly range extends from $188.79 to $221.35.

截至撰写本文时，SOL 的流通量为 4.8 亿枚，其市值为 955.4 亿美元，24 小时价格波动范围为 193.90 美元至 215.98 美元，每周波动范围为 188.79 美元至 221.35 美元。

The asset is currently 24.9% below its all-time high of $263.21, recorded on the 23rd of November 2024, and it faces resistance near key levels.

该资产目前比 2024 年 11 月 23 日创下的历史高点 263.21 美元低 24.9%，并且在关键水平附近面临阻力。

Aнализ цени

价格分析

Recent price action shows a break below the bullish trendline and Fair Value Gap (FVG), with the 200-day Moving Average (MA) at $217.96 acting as strong resistance. Immediate support lies near $195.72, with a potential downside target of $180 if the support level fails to hold.

最近的价格走势显示跌破了看涨趋势线和公允价值缺口 (FVG)，200 天移动平均线 (MA) 位于 217.96 美元，是强劲阻力。直接支撑位于 195.72 美元附近，如果未能守住该支撑位，潜在下行目标为 180 美元。

The convergence of MA indicates possible increased volatility. Traders are monitoring whether SOL can reclaim $200 and move toward the $220 resistance. A continued bearish trend could further test lower support levels, creating uncertainty in the market.

MA 的收敛表明波动性可能增加。交易员正在关注 SOL 能否​​重回 200 美元并朝 220 美元阻力位迈进。持续的看跌趋势可能会进一步测试较低的支撑位，从而给市场带来不确定性。

Derivatives Data Shows Trader Caution

衍生品数据显示交易者谨慎

Coinglass data showed a mixed sentiment in derivatives markets. Trading volume increased by 94.85% to $12.62 billion, while Open Interest (OI) dropped 10.68% to $6.03 billion.

Coinglass 数据显示衍生品市场情绪参差不齐。交易量增长 94.85% 至 126.2 亿美元，而未平仓合约 (OI) 下降 10.68% 至 60.3 亿美元。

This indicates a reduction in leveraged positions, as OI fell while trading volume rose. A possible explanation is traders closing out their positions or shifting to lower leverage strategies.

这表明杠杆头寸减少，持仓量下降而交易量上升。一个可能的解释是交易者平仓或转向较低杠杆策略。

Options activity also surged, with a 447.63% increase in volume to $902,320 and a 14.97% rise in OI to $1.97 million.

期权活动也激增，成交量增长 447.63% 至 902,320 美元，持仓量增长 14.97% 至 197 万美元。

Liquidation data reveals that $10.62 million in long positions were liquidated compared to $4.64 million in shorts, suggesting traders betting on a rebound were caught off guard by the price drop.

清算数据显示，多头头寸被清算 1062 万美元，而空头头寸被清算 464 万美元，这表明押注反弹的交易员对价格下跌感到措手不及。

The majority of liquidations occurred on Binance and Bybit, with long positions bearing the brunt of the losses.

大部分清算发生在币安和Bybit，多头头寸首当其冲。

Solana Network Activity

Solana 网络活动

According to DefiLlama, Solana’s Total Value Locked (TVL) is $8.79 billion, showing a 7.59% decline in the last 24 hours.

根据 DefiLlama 的数据，Solana 的总锁定价值（TVL）为 87.9 亿美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌了 7.59%。

The stablecoin market capitalization on Solana stands at $5.56 billion, while the network generated $4.35 million in fees and $2.18 million in revenue over the same period.

Solana 的稳定币市值为 55.6 亿美元，同期该网络产生了 435 万美元的费用和 218 万美元的收入。

Network activity remains high, with 4.74 million active addresses and 62.43 million transactions recorded in the last 24 hours.

网络活动仍然很高，过去 24 小时内记录了 474 万个活跃地址和 6243 万笔交易。

The recent price decline comes as traders and investors await signs of recovery or further decline in the market.

最近的价格下跌之际，交易者和投资者正在等待市场复苏或进一步下跌的迹象。

As Solana consolidates near $197, key technical levels and network activity will be closely monitored for further cues on the coin’s next directional move.

随着 Solana 在 197 美元附近盘整，我们将密切监控关键技术水平和网络活动，以获取有关代币下一步走势的进一步线索。