Solana (SOL) 价格预测：为什么必须守住 200 美元的水平

过去几周，随着加密货币市场整体回落，Solana (SOL) 一直在努力应对价格持续下跌的问题。

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) has been grappling with a persistent price decline over the past few weeks, currently trading at $218.76 with an 8% price drop over the past seven days.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) 在过去几周一直在努力应对价格持续下跌的问题，目前交易价格为 218.76 美元，过去 7 天价格下跌了 8%。

Amid ongoing selloffs and low buying interest, mounting pressure could push SOL’s price below the critical $200 threshold in the near term. Here's a technical analysis explaining why this may be possible.

在持续的抛售和低购买兴趣的情况下，不断增加的压力可能会在短期内推动 SOL 的价格跌破 200 美元的关键门槛。以下是解释为什么这可能的技术分析。

Solana's price, on a daily chart, has been moving within a descending channel since November 23. This channel is formed when an asset's price moves between two parallel downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a bearish trend. It suggests that the price is experiencing lower highs and lower lows, reflecting sustained selling pressure.

从日线图上看，自 11 月 23 日以来，Solana 的价格一直在下降通道内波动。当资产价格在两条平行的向下倾斜趋势线之间移动时，就会形成该通道，表明看跌趋势。这表明价格正在经历更低的高点和更低的低点，反映出持续的抛售压力。

The upper line of this channel represents resistance, while the lower trend line is a support level. In SOL’s case, it has faced resistance at $230.17 and has found support at the $200.60 price level.

该通道的上部线代表阻力位，下部趋势线代表支撑位。就 SOL 而言，其在 230.17 美元的价格水平遇到阻力，并在 200.60 美元的价格水平找到支撑。

Moreover, the decline in SOL's value over the past few weeks has caused it to break below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This moving average measures an asset's average price over the past 20 days, with more weight given to recent prices.

此外，过去几周 SOL 价值的下跌已导致其跌破 20 天指数移动平均线 (EMA)。该移动平均线衡量资产在过去 20 天的平均价格，其中近期价格的权重更大。

When an asset's price breaks below the 20-day EMA, it signals a shift to bearish momentum, indicating that sellers are gaining control. Following the break, the 20-day EMA often acts as a resistance level, as attempts to rise above it may face selling pressure from traders viewing it as a barrier.

当资产价格跌破 20 日均线时，就标志着转向看跌势头，表明卖家正在获得控制权。突破后，20 日均线通常充当阻力位，因为试图突破该均线可能会面临交易者将其视为障碍的抛售压力。

In SOL’s case, this barrier is formed at $227, which its price has struggled to breach in the past six days.

就 SOL 而言，这一障碍形成于 227 美元，其价格在过去六天内一直难以突破。

If the bulls are unable to defend this zone, the price could drop to $187, a level not seen since early November. However, should demand rise, the SOL coin price could break through its 20-day EMA resistance at $227, surpass the upper trendline of its descending channel, and set its sights on reclaiming its all-time high of $264.

如果多头无法守住该区域，价格可能会跌至 187 美元，这是自 11 月初以来的最高水平。然而，如果需求上升，SOL 代币价格可能会突破 20 日均线阻力位 227 美元，突破下降通道的上方趋势线，并有望重回历史高点 264 美元。