Solana (SOL) Price Prediction: Why the $200 Level Must Hold

Solana (SOL) has been grappling with a persistent price decline over the past few weeks amid the pullback in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) has been grappling with a persistent price decline over the past few weeks, currently trading at $218.76 with an 8% price drop over the past seven days.

Amid ongoing selloffs and low buying interest, mounting pressure could push SOL’s price below the critical $200 threshold in the near term. Here's a technical analysis explaining why this may be possible.

Solana's price, on a daily chart, has been moving within a descending channel since November 23. This channel is formed when an asset's price moves between two parallel downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a bearish trend. It suggests that the price is experiencing lower highs and lower lows, reflecting sustained selling pressure.

The upper line of this channel represents resistance, while the lower trend line is a support level. In SOL’s case, it has faced resistance at $230.17 and has found support at the $200.60 price level.

Moreover, the decline in SOL's value over the past few weeks has caused it to break below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This moving average measures an asset's average price over the past 20 days, with more weight given to recent prices.

When an asset's price breaks below the 20-day EMA, it signals a shift to bearish momentum, indicating that sellers are gaining control. Following the break, the 20-day EMA often acts as a resistance level, as attempts to rise above it may face selling pressure from traders viewing it as a barrier.

In SOL’s case, this barrier is formed at $227, which its price has struggled to breach in the past six days.

If the bulls are unable to defend this zone, the price could drop to $187, a level not seen since early November. However, should demand rise, the SOL coin price could break through its 20-day EMA resistance at $227, surpass the upper trendline of its descending channel, and set its sights on reclaiming its all-time high of $264.