索拉纳（SOL）价格分析：面临着看跌压力，目标100美元

在最近的交易课程中，索拉纳（Sol）一直面临着看跌压力的增加，每天的主动地址和交易量一直在下降。

Solana (SOL) faced increasing bearish pressure in recent trading sessions as daily active addresses and transaction volumes continued to decline. Despite a brief attempt at a rebound, the market encountered resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, keeping the cryptocurrency on a downward trajectory.

随着日常活动的地址和交易量的继续下降，索拉纳（Sol）在最近的交易中面临着越来越多的看跌压力。尽管短暂尝试了反弹，但市场在50％的斐波那契回回水平上遇到了阻力，使加密货币保持向下轨迹。

The broader crypto market also experienced selling pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading lower. BTC dropped by 2.1% in the past 24 hours to $65,087, while ETH fell by 6.5% to $2,034.

更广泛的加密市场还经历了销售压力，比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）交易较低。在过去的24小时内，BTC下降了2.1％，至65,087美元，而ETH下跌了6.5％，至2,034美元。

Solana’s Price Action and Market Reaction

索拉纳的价格行动和市场反应

After a period of consolidation, SOL experienced a sharp downturn following the opening of the Asian trading session. The cryptocurrency dropped from around $138 to $131 by the time of writing.

经过一段时间的合并，在亚洲交易会开幕后，索尔经历了急剧下滑。写作时，加密货币从$ 138下降到131美元。

While trading volumes increased by 4% to $3.4 billion in the past 24 hours, the surge in volume did not translate into bullish momentum.

在过去24小时内交易量增长了4％，达到34亿美元，但数量的增长并未转化为看涨的势头。

Solana’s price retracement wiped out a portion of its recent gains, and investors appeared to be taking a breather from the rally that began on March 11.

索拉纳（Solana）的价格回答消除了其最近收益的一部分，投资者似乎正在从3月11日开始的集会上进行喘息。

The combination of macroeconomic concerns, including the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged and former U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on imported vehicles and auto parts, contributed to increased uncertainty in the financial markets.

宏观经济问题的结合，包括美联储决定保持不变的利率和美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布对进口车辆和汽车零件的新关税的决定，这有助于增加金融市场的不确定性。

These economic factors fueled inflation fears, leading investors to speculate that the Fed might delay interest rate cuts. The prospect of prolonged higher interest rates placed pressure on riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies.

这些经济因素引起了通货膨胀的担忧，导致投资者推测美联储可能会降低利率降低。延长较高利率的前景给包括加密货币在内的风险较高的资产施加压力。

Solana’s Active Addresses and Transactions Decline

Solana的主动地址和交易下降

A critical factor contributing to Solana’s decline was the significant drop in daily active addresses and transactions. According to data from Artemis, both metrics fell sharply since the beginning of the year.

导致Solana下降的关键因素是每日主动地址和交易的显着下降。根据Artemis的数据，这两个指标自今年年初以来急剧下降。

The decline in activity was largely attributed to reduced demand for meme coins and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications on the Solana network.

活动的下降在很大程度上归因于对模因硬币的需求减少和Solana网络上的分散融资（DEFI）应用。

Meme coins were a significant driver of transaction volumes on Solana. However, as interest in speculative assets waned, it had a direct impact on transaction activity. Similarly, DeFi applications on Solana saw reduced user engagement, further exacerbating the decline in network activity.

模因硬币是Solana交易量的重要驱动力。但是，随着对投机资产的兴趣减弱，它对交易活动产生了直接影响。同样，Solana上的Defi应用程序减少了用户参与度，进一步加剧了网络活动的下降。

Solana: Declining Active Addresses and Transactions (Credit: Artemis)

Solana：主动地址和交易的下降（信用：Artemis）

Key Fibonacci Level Rejected, Signaling Further Downside

密钥斐波那契级别被拒绝，发出进一步的偏低。

A technical analysis of Solana’s price action showed a clear rejection at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the March 9 low to March 13 high.

对Solana的价格行动的技术分析表明，从3月9日低至3月13日高点的50％斐波那契回撤水平上有明显的拒绝。

The latest price move failed to pierce through the $146.5 resistance, which was a key level to watch for a potential breakout. In classical technical analysis, the failure to break above a key retracement level often signaled the continuation of the existing trend—in this case, a downtrend.

最新的价格举动未能穿越146.5美元的电阻，这是关注潜在突破的关键水平。在经典技术分析中，未能超出关键回答水平的突破通常表示现有趋势的延续，在这种情况下是下降趋势。

This rejection suggested that SOL could be poised for further downside. Momentum indicators were also aligning with this bearish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) just tagged the signal line, and the MACD histogram showed three consecutive lower readings, indicating fading positive momentum.

这种拒绝表明，SOL可以有望进一步的缺点。动量指标也与这种看跌前景保持一致。相对强度指数（RSI）刚刚标记了信号线，MACD直方图显示三个连续的较低读数，表明正向动量褪色。

If the sell signal is confirmed, the first downside target for SOL could be around $110, which corresponded to its nearest lower low. However, given the textbook Fibonacci retracement pattern observed, the possibility of a drop below $100 was also on the table. A deeper retracement would further confirm that bearish momentum was firmly in control.

如果确认卖出信号，SOL的第一个下行目标可能约为110美元，对应于其最接近的低点。但是，鉴于观察到的教科书斐波那契回溯模式，桌面上也可能会降至100美元以下。更深层次的回答将进一步证实看跌势头牢固地控制了。

Fear and Greed Index Reflects Negative Market Sentiment

恐惧和贪婪指数反映了负面市场情绪

The crypto Fear and Greed Index stood at 33, which fell into the “Fear” category. While this was an improvement from recent extreme lows, it still signaled that investors were largely operating with fear.

加密恐惧和贪婪指数为33，属于“恐惧”类别。尽管这比最近的极端低点有所改善，但它仍然表明投资者在很大程度上害怕运作。

A market operating under fear-driven sentiment experienced reduced buying interest, making it more challenging for assets like Solana to mount a sustained recovery.

在以恐惧驱动的情绪下运作的市场降低了购买兴趣，这使得像Solana这样的资产更具挑战性，可以持续恢复。

Short-Term Rebound Presents Opportunities for Short Sellers

短期反弹为卖空者提供了机会

Although the daily chart displayed a strong bearish bias, the hourly chart showed that SOL was attempting to bounce off key support at $130.

尽管每日图表表现出强烈的看跌偏见，但每小时图表显示SOL试图以130美元的价格反弹关键支持。

The price appeared to be holding this level during the Asian trading session, and some indicators hinted at short-term bullish momentum.

在亚洲交易会期间，价格似乎在保持这一水平，一些指标暗示了短期看涨势头。

For instance, the MACD histogram on the hourly chart had been forming higher lows, and the RSI was approaching its signal line from below. These signs suggested that an intraday bounce could be in the works.

例如，小时图上的MACD直方图正在形成较高的低点，RSI从下方接近其信号线。这些迹象表明，可能正在进行盘中反弹。

However, given the prevailing bearish conditions on higher timeframes, it was more likely that this bounce would be a retracement before the broader selloff continues.

但是，鉴于较高时间范围的普遍看跌条件，这种反弹更有可能是在更广泛的抛售继续之前的回答。

Short sellers might find an opportunity to capitalize on this short-term bounce by entering positions around key Fibonacci retracement levels. If SOL retraced to the 23.6% or 38.2% Fibonacci levels from the March 9 low to March 13 high, they could place their shorts with a high risk-reward ratio.

卖空者可能会找到一个机会，通过进入纤维纤维回试的主要位置来利用这种短期反弹。如果SOL从3月9日低至3月13日高的佛比那契回溯到23.6％或38.2％的斐波那契水平，则可以将短裤以高风险奖励比率放置。

Based on the chart’s take-profit area, the risk-reward ratios for this trade

根据图表的投资区域，此交易的风险回报比率