索拉納（SOL）價格分析：面臨著看跌壓力，目標100美元

在最近的交易課程中，索拉納（Sol）一直面臨著看跌壓力的增加，每天的主動地址和交易量一直在下降。

Solana (SOL) faced increasing bearish pressure in recent trading sessions as daily active addresses and transaction volumes continued to decline. Despite a brief attempt at a rebound, the market encountered resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, keeping the cryptocurrency on a downward trajectory.

隨著日常活動的地址和交易量的繼續下降，索拉納（Sol）在最近的交易中面臨著越來越多的看跌壓力。儘管短暫嘗試了反彈，但市場在50％的斐波那契回回水平上遇到了阻力，使加密貨幣保持向下軌跡。

The broader crypto market also experienced selling pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading lower. BTC dropped by 2.1% in the past 24 hours to $65,087, while ETH fell by 6.5% to $2,034.

更廣泛的加密市場還經歷了銷售壓力，比特幣（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）交易較低。在過去的24小時內，BTC下降了2.1％，至65,087美元，而ETH下跌了6.5％，至2,034美元。

Solana’s Price Action and Market Reaction

索拉納的價格行動和市場反應

After a period of consolidation, SOL experienced a sharp downturn following the opening of the Asian trading session. The cryptocurrency dropped from around $138 to $131 by the time of writing.

經過一段時間的合併，在亞洲交易會開幕後，索爾經歷了急劇下滑。寫作時，加密貨幣從$ 138下降到131美元。

While trading volumes increased by 4% to $3.4 billion in the past 24 hours, the surge in volume did not translate into bullish momentum.

在過去24小時內交易量增長了4％，達到34億美元，但數量的增長並未轉化為看漲的勢頭。

Solana’s price retracement wiped out a portion of its recent gains, and investors appeared to be taking a breather from the rally that began on March 11.

索拉納（Solana）的價格回答消除了其最近收益的一部分，投資者似乎正在從3月11日開始的集會上進行喘息。

The combination of macroeconomic concerns, including the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged and former U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on imported vehicles and auto parts, contributed to increased uncertainty in the financial markets.

宏觀經濟問題的結合，包括美聯儲決定保持不變的利率和美國前總統唐納德·特朗普宣布對進口車輛和汽車零件的新關稅的決定，這有助於增加金融市場的不確定性。

These economic factors fueled inflation fears, leading investors to speculate that the Fed might delay interest rate cuts. The prospect of prolonged higher interest rates placed pressure on riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies.

這些經濟因素引起了通貨膨脹的擔憂，導致投資者推測美聯儲可能會降低利率降低。延長較高利率的前景給包括加密貨幣在內的風險較高的資產施加壓力。

Solana’s Active Addresses and Transactions Decline

Solana的主動地址和交易下降

A critical factor contributing to Solana’s decline was the significant drop in daily active addresses and transactions. According to data from Artemis, both metrics fell sharply since the beginning of the year.

導致Solana下降的關鍵因素是每日主動地址和交易的顯著下降。根據Artemis的數據，這兩個指標自今年年初以來急劇下降。

The decline in activity was largely attributed to reduced demand for meme coins and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications on the Solana network.

活動的下降在很大程度上歸因於對模因硬幣的需求減少和Solana網絡上的分散融資（DEFI）應用。

Meme coins were a significant driver of transaction volumes on Solana. However, as interest in speculative assets waned, it had a direct impact on transaction activity. Similarly, DeFi applications on Solana saw reduced user engagement, further exacerbating the decline in network activity.

模因硬幣是Solana交易量的重要驅動力。但是，隨著對投機資產的興趣減弱，它對交易活動產生了直接影響。同樣，Solana上的Defi應用程序減少了用戶參與度，進一步加劇了網絡活動的下降。

Solana: Declining Active Addresses and Transactions (Credit: Artemis)

Solana：主動地址和交易的下降（信用：Artemis）

Key Fibonacci Level Rejected, Signaling Further Downside

密鑰斐波那契級別被拒絕，發出進一步的偏低。

A technical analysis of Solana’s price action showed a clear rejection at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the March 9 low to March 13 high.

對Solana的價格行動的技術分析表明，從3月9日低至3月13日高點的50％斐波那契回撤水平上有明顯的拒絕。

The latest price move failed to pierce through the $146.5 resistance, which was a key level to watch for a potential breakout. In classical technical analysis, the failure to break above a key retracement level often signaled the continuation of the existing trend—in this case, a downtrend.

最新的價格舉動未能穿越146.5美元的電阻，這是關注潛在突破的關鍵水平。在經典技術分析中，未能超出關鍵回答水平的突破通常表示現有趨勢的延續，在這種情況下是下降趨勢。

This rejection suggested that SOL could be poised for further downside. Momentum indicators were also aligning with this bearish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) just tagged the signal line, and the MACD histogram showed three consecutive lower readings, indicating fading positive momentum.

這種拒絕表明，SOL可以有望進一步的缺點。動量指標也與這種看跌前景保持一致。相對強度指數（RSI）剛剛標記了信號線，MACD直方圖顯示三個連續的較低讀數，表明正向動量褪色。

If the sell signal is confirmed, the first downside target for SOL could be around $110, which corresponded to its nearest lower low. However, given the textbook Fibonacci retracement pattern observed, the possibility of a drop below $100 was also on the table. A deeper retracement would further confirm that bearish momentum was firmly in control.

如果確認賣出信號，SOL的第一個下行目標可能約為110美元，對應於其最接近的低點。但是，鑑於觀察到的教科書斐波那契回溯模式，桌面上也可能會降至100美元以下。更深層次的回答將進一步證實看跌勢頭牢固地控制了。

Fear and Greed Index Reflects Negative Market Sentiment

恐懼和貪婪指數反映了負面市場情緒

The crypto Fear and Greed Index stood at 33, which fell into the “Fear” category. While this was an improvement from recent extreme lows, it still signaled that investors were largely operating with fear.

加密恐懼和貪婪指數為33，屬於“恐懼”類別。儘管這比最近的極端低點有所改善，但它仍然表明投資者在很大程度上害怕運作。

A market operating under fear-driven sentiment experienced reduced buying interest, making it more challenging for assets like Solana to mount a sustained recovery.

在以恐懼驅動的情緒下運作的市場降低了購買興趣，這使得像Solana這樣的資產更具挑戰性，可以持續恢復。

Short-Term Rebound Presents Opportunities for Short Sellers

短期反彈為賣空者提供了機會

Although the daily chart displayed a strong bearish bias, the hourly chart showed that SOL was attempting to bounce off key support at $130.

儘管每日圖表表現出強烈的看跌偏見，但每小時圖表顯示SOL試圖以130美元的價格反彈關鍵支持。

The price appeared to be holding this level during the Asian trading session, and some indicators hinted at short-term bullish momentum.

在亞洲交易會期間，價格似乎在保持這一水平，一些指標暗示了短期看漲勢頭。

For instance, the MACD histogram on the hourly chart had been forming higher lows, and the RSI was approaching its signal line from below. These signs suggested that an intraday bounce could be in the works.

例如，小時圖上的MACD直方圖正在形成較高的低點，RSI從下方接近其信號線。這些跡象表明，可能正在進行盤中反彈。

However, given the prevailing bearish conditions on higher timeframes, it was more likely that this bounce would be a retracement before the broader selloff continues.

但是，鑑於較高時間範圍的普遍看跌條件，這種反彈更有可能是在更廣泛的拋售繼續之前的回答。

Short sellers might find an opportunity to capitalize on this short-term bounce by entering positions around key Fibonacci retracement levels. If SOL retraced to the 23.6% or 38.2% Fibonacci levels from the March 9 low to March 13 high, they could place their shorts with a high risk-reward ratio.

賣空者可能會找到一個機會，通過進入纖維纖維回試的主要位置來利用這種短期反彈。如果SOL從3月9日低至3月13日高的佛比那契回溯到23.6％或38.2％的斐波那契水平，則可以將短褲以高風險獎勵比率放置。

Based on the chart’s take-profit area, the risk-reward ratios for this trade

根據圖表的投資區域，此交易的風險回報比率