很简单：这是我的比特币下一个目标

不断有人问我，比特币下一步将走向何方，而事实是——没有人确切知道。但事情是这样的：自从比特币价格低于 5 万美元以来，我一直在遵循同样的基于趋势的斐波那契图表，它对我很有帮助。

I keep getting messages from traders asking me where I see Bitcoin heading next, and the truth is, no one can say for sure where the market will go.

我不断收到交易员发来的消息，问我比特币下一步走向何方，而事实是，没有人能确定市场将走向何方。

But here’s the thing: I’ve been following this same trend-based Fibonacci chart since Bitcoin was still below $50K, and it’s served me well.

但事情是这样的：自从比特币仍低于 5 万美元以来，我一直在遵循同样的基于趋势的斐波那契图表，它对我很有帮助。

I prefer a weekly outlook, keeping it simple by observing how Bitcoin respects Fibonacci levels as both support and resistance. After this recent breakout, my next target sits at $130,198, which lines up perfectly with the 3.618 Fib extension.

我更喜欢每周展望，通过观察比特币如何尊重斐波那契水平作为支撑和阻力来保持简单。在最近的突破之后，我的下一个目标是 130,198 美元，它与 3.618 斐波那契延伸线完美吻合。

Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but here’s my reasoning:

当然，没有什么是可以保证的，但这是我的理由：

This combination of technicals and market sentiment has me keeping a close eye on that $130K zone. As always, I’ll let the chart tell me what’s next.

技术面和市场情绪的结合让我密切关注 13 万美元区域。一如既往，我会让图表告诉我接下来会发生什么。

USDT.D: Signs of Weakness Emerging?

USDT.D：疲软迹象出现？

If you’ve been following my previous articles, you’ll know I watch USDT Dominance (USDT.D) like a hawk. Why? Because it gives me an idea of market sentiment.

如果您一直在关注我之前的文章，您就会知道我像鹰一样关注 USDT 统治地位（USDT.D）。为什么？因为它让我了解市场情绪。

Right now, USDT.D is sitting at a key daily support level after breaking a massive uptrend that’s been in place since November 2017.

目前，USDT.D 在突破了 2017 年 11 月以来的大幅上升趋势后，正处于关键的日支撑位。

Here’s how I see it: it’s like someone mining for gold with a pickaxe. You can only hit that rock so many times before it finally cracks open. If this support level gives way, I’m looking at the 113 Fib level—which would mean about a 10% move to the downside.

我是这样看的：这就像有人用镐开采金子。在它最终裂开之前，你只能敲击那块岩石很多次。如果该支撑位失守，我将关注斐波那契 113 水平，这意味着下跌约 10%。

If that happens, in my opinion, we’d see a positive reaction in the overall crypto market. But as always, test this for yourself and make your own judgment.

在我看来，如果这种情况发生，我们会看到整个加密市场的积极反应。但与往常一样，请亲自测试一下并做出自己的判断。

Altcoins, Altcoins… Where Are You?!

山寨币，山寨币……你在哪里？！

Over the last week, we’ve seen some significant volatility across the altcoin market—which, to be honest, wasn’t surprising. If you remember, I shared the OTHERS chart last week showing altcoins hitting their All-Time High Resistance zone.

上周，我们看到山寨币市场出现了一些大幅波动——说实话，这并不奇怪。如果您还记得，我上周分享了其他图表，显示山寨币触及历史高阻力区域。

Here’s what I’m looking at now:

这是我现在正在看的内容：

Instead of focusing on USD pairs, I’m shifting my attention to ALTBTC pairs. This helps me get a clearer picture of how altcoins are performing relative to Bitcoin.

我不再关注美元货币对，而是将注意力转向 ALTBTC 货币对。这有助于我更清楚地了解山寨币相对于比特币的表现。

Let’s use SOL/BTC as an example:

我们以 SOL/BTC 为例：

Why check ALTBTC charts? When altcoins lose value against Bitcoin, it can be tricky to figure out when they might turn around. By reviewing their BTC pairs, I can identify areas of interest where a shift might occur.

为什么要检查 ALTBTC 图表？当山寨币相对于比特币贬值时，很难弄清楚它们何时会扭转局面。通过查看他们的 BTC 对，我可以确定可能发生转变的感兴趣领域。

The relationship is simple: when an altcoin starts to gain value against Bitcoin on the ALTBTC chart, its USD price often reflects that movement later on. So, next time Bitcoin is making big moves and altcoins appear to be lagging, it might be worth pulling up the BTC pairs to see how they’re behaving.

这种关系很简单：当一种山寨币开始在 ALTBTC 图表上相对于比特币增值时，其美元价格通常会反映随后的走势。因此，下次当比特币大幅波动而山寨币似乎落后时，可能值得拉高 BTC 货币对，看看它们的表现如何。

Best of luck out there, and may the crypto gods bless your trades!

祝你好运，愿加密之神保佑你的交易！

Join Empire Crypto Trading – Australia’s Ultimate Crypto Social Media and Education Platform!

加入 Empire Crypto Trading – 澳大利亚终极加密货币社交媒体和教育平台！

Connect with passionate crypto enthusiasts and traders, access live calls, educational resources, chat groups, and ALPHA research—all in one powerful platform. See you in the Empire! community!

与热情的加密货币爱好者和交易者联系，访问实时通话、教育资源、聊天组和 ALPHA 研究——所有这些都在一个强大的平台上进行。帝国见！社区！

Written by Matthew Stella. At the time of writing this article, Bitcoin was trading at $107,035.

由马修·斯特拉撰写。在撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 107,035 美元。