很簡單：這是我的比特幣下一個目標

不斷有人問我，比特幣下一步將走向何方，而事實是──沒有人確切知道。但事情是這樣的：自從比特幣價格低於 5 萬美元以來，我一直在遵循同樣的基於趨勢的斐波那契圖表，它對我很有幫助。

I keep getting messages from traders asking me where I see Bitcoin heading next, and the truth is, no one can say for sure where the market will go.

我不斷收到交易員傳來的訊息，問我比特幣下一步要走向何方，事實是，沒有人能確定市場將走向何方。

But here’s the thing: I’ve been following this same trend-based Fibonacci chart since Bitcoin was still below $50K, and it’s served me well.

但事情是這樣的：自從比特幣仍低於 5 萬美元以來，我一直在遵循同樣的基於趨勢的斐波那契圖表，它對我很有幫助。

I prefer a weekly outlook, keeping it simple by observing how Bitcoin respects Fibonacci levels as both support and resistance. After this recent breakout, my next target sits at $130,198, which lines up perfectly with the 3.618 Fib extension.

我更喜歡每週展望，透過觀察比特幣如何尊重斐波那契水平作為支撐和阻力來保持簡單。在最近的突破之後，我的下一個目標是 130,198 美元，它與 3.618 斐波那契延伸線完美吻合。

Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but here’s my reasoning:

當然，沒有什麼是可以保證的，但這是我的理由：

This combination of technicals and market sentiment has me keeping a close eye on that $130K zone. As always, I’ll let the chart tell me what’s next.

技術面和市場情緒的結合讓我密切關注 13 萬美元區域。一如既往，我會讓圖表告訴我接下來會發生什麼。

USDT.D: Signs of Weakness Emerging?

USDT.D：疲軟跡像出現？

If you’ve been following my previous articles, you’ll know I watch USDT Dominance (USDT.D) like a hawk. Why? Because it gives me an idea of market sentiment.

如果您一直在關注我之前的文章，您就會知道我像鷹一樣關注 USDT 統治地位（USDT.D）。為什麼？因為它讓我了解市場情緒。

Right now, USDT.D is sitting at a key daily support level after breaking a massive uptrend that’s been in place since November 2017.

目前，USDT.D 在突破了 2017 年 11 月以來的大幅上升趨勢後，正處於關鍵的每日支撐位。

Here’s how I see it: it’s like someone mining for gold with a pickaxe. You can only hit that rock so many times before it finally cracks open. If this support level gives way, I’m looking at the 113 Fib level—which would mean about a 10% move to the downside.

我是這樣看的：這就像有人用鎬開採金子。在它最終裂開之前，你只能敲擊那塊岩石很多次。如果該支撐位失守，我將關注斐波那契 113 水平，這意味著下跌約 10%。

If that happens, in my opinion, we’d see a positive reaction in the overall crypto market. But as always, test this for yourself and make your own judgment.

在我看來，如果這種情況發生，我們會看到整個加密市場的正面反應。但與往常一樣，請親自測試並做出自己的判斷。

Altcoins, Altcoins… Where Are You?!

山寨幣，山寨幣…你在哪裡？ ！

Over the last week, we’ve seen some significant volatility across the altcoin market—which, to be honest, wasn’t surprising. If you remember, I shared the OTHERS chart last week showing altcoins hitting their All-Time High Resistance zone.

上週，我們看到山寨幣市場出現了一些大幅波動——說實話，這並不奇怪。如果您還記得，我上週分享了其他圖表，顯示山寨幣觸及歷史高阻力區域。

Here’s what I’m looking at now:

這是我現在正在看的內容：

Instead of focusing on USD pairs, I’m shifting my attention to ALTBTC pairs. This helps me get a clearer picture of how altcoins are performing relative to Bitcoin.

我不再關注美元貨幣對，而是將注意力轉向 ALTBTC 貨幣對。這有助於我更清楚地了解山寨幣相對於比特幣的表現。

Let’s use SOL/BTC as an example:

我們以 SOL/BTC 為例：

Why check ALTBTC charts? When altcoins lose value against Bitcoin, it can be tricky to figure out when they might turn around. By reviewing their BTC pairs, I can identify areas of interest where a shift might occur.

為什麼要檢查 ALTBTC 圖表？當山寨幣相對於比特幣貶值時，很難弄清楚它們何時會扭轉局面。透過查看他們的 BTC 對，我可以確定可能發生轉變的興趣領域。

The relationship is simple: when an altcoin starts to gain value against Bitcoin on the ALTBTC chart, its USD price often reflects that movement later on. So, next time Bitcoin is making big moves and altcoins appear to be lagging, it might be worth pulling up the BTC pairs to see how they’re behaving.

這種關係很簡單：當一種山寨幣開始在 ALTBTC 圖表上相對於比特幣增值時，其美元價格通常會反映隨後的走勢。因此，下次當比特幣大幅波動而山寨幣似乎落後時，可能值得拉高 BTC 貨幣對，看看它們的表現如何。

Best of luck out there, and may the crypto gods bless your trades!

祝你好運，願加密之神保佑你的交易！

Join Empire Crypto Trading – Australia’s Ultimate Crypto Social Media and Education Platform!

加入 Empire Crypto Trading – 澳洲終極加密貨幣社群媒體和教育平台！

Connect with passionate crypto enthusiasts and traders, access live calls, educational resources, chat groups, and ALPHA research—all in one powerful platform. See you in the Empire! community!

與熱情的加密貨幣愛好者和交易者聯繫，訪問即時通話、教育資源、聊天群組和 ALPHA 研究——所有這些都在一個強大的平台上進行。帝國見！社區！

Written by Matthew Stella. At the time of writing this article, Bitcoin was trading at $107,035.

由馬修·斯特拉撰寫。在撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 107,035 美元。