Ripple（XRP）价格已在周五下跌至2.25美元，比最近达到的3.10美元下降了30％，当时美国SEC确认Grayscale在2月份确认XRP ETF申请。

XRP价格飙升了5％，以收回2.30美元的支持水平，此前美国证券交易委员会（SEC）可以将XRP归类为商品

Ripple (XRP) price dropped to $2.3 on Friday, down 30% from a recent peak of $3.1, which was reached when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) confirmed crypto ETF filings by Grayscale in February.

Ripple（XRP）价格在周五下跌至2.3美元，比最近的3.1美元峰值下降了30％，这是在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）确认Grayscale在2月份确认Crypto ETF申请时达到的。

Key technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts show critical levels the token must cross to hit $20 if the ETF filings are approved.

XRP/USD每周图表上的关键技术指标显示，如果批准ETF文件，令牌必须交叉达到20美元。

What Happened?

发生了什么？

Ripplle (XRP) price rose 5% to reclaim the $2.3 support level following reports that the S.E.C. could classify XRP as a commodity in its ongoing legal battle with Ripple Labs.

Ripplle（XRP）的价格上涨了5％，以收回2.3美元的支持水平，此前有报道称，SEC可以将XRP归类为与Ripple Labs正在进行的法律斗争中的商品。

This development is part of a potential settlement framework that could remove regulatory barriers surrounding XRP ETF approval.

这种发展是潜在的定居框架的一部分，该框架可以消除XRP ETF批准周围的监管障碍。

Sources close to the negotiations said on March 14 that S.E.C. officials are discussing whether to treat XRP similarly to Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are already considered commodities under U.S. law.

接近谈判的消息人士在3月14日表示，SEC官员正在讨论是否对XRP进行类似的对待与比特币和以太坊相似，这些比特币和以太坊已经根据美国法律被视为商品。

If XRP secures commodity status, it could facilitate the approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund, a move that has driven speculation among investors.

如果XRP确保了商品地位，则可以促进XRP交易所交易基金的批准，这一举动导致了投资者之间的投机。

Crypto market analysts noted that an official S.E.C. statement confirming XRP’s commodity classification could act as a catalyst for a major price rally.

加密市场分析师指出，确认XRP的商品分类的正式声明可以成为主要价格集会的催化剂。

The last time similar speculation surfaced, XRP price surged from $0.90 to $3.1 in less than two months.

上一次类似的推测浮出水面时，XRP价格在不到两个月的时间内从0.90美元上涨至3.1美元。

If the S.E.C. provides regulatory clarity soon, XRP could test resistance levels at $3.50 and $5 before eyeing a more ambitious target at $20.

如果SEC很快提供法规清晰度，XRP可以测试阻力水平为3.50美元和5美元，然后将更雄心勃勃的目标定为20美元。

When Could The US S.E.C. Approve An XRP ETF?

美国什么时候可以批准XRP ETF？

The timeline for an XRP ETF approval depends on several key regulatory developments.

XRP ETF批准的时间表取决于几个关键的监管发展。

The S.E.C. is currently reviewing multiple crypto ETF applications, including those for Ethereum and XRP, amid increasing pressure from institutional investors seeking diversified exposure to digital assets.

SEC目前正在审查多个加密ETF应用程序，包括用于以太坊和XRP的应用程序，这在寻求多元化数字资产的机构投资者的压力增加了。

Industry experts predict that an XRP ETF could gain approval in late Q3 or early Q4 of 2025, depending on how Ripple’s legal battle unfolds.

行业专家预测，XRP ETF可以在2025年第三季度或第四季度初获得批准，这取决于Ripple的法律战斗的发展。

If Ripple successfully secures commodity status for XRP and resolves the S.E.C. lawsuit through a settlement, the regulatory pathway for an XRP ETF could become significantly clearer.

如果Ripple成功地确保了XRP的商品状况并通过解决方案解决SEC诉讼，则XRP ETF的监管途径可能会变得更加清晰。

Historically, the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 triggered a wave of institutional inflows that pushed BTC price to new all-time highs.

从历史上看，2024年1月的现货比特币ETF的认可引发了一波机构流入，将BTC价格推向了新的历史高位。

A similar scenario could unfold for XRP if the S.E.C. greenlights a dedicated ETF product.

如果SEC Greenlight是专用的ETF产品，则可以为XRP展开类似的情况。

Analysts project that an XRP ETF could attract over $5 billion in inflows within the first few months, potentially pushing XRP price toward $10 in the short term and $20 in a prolonged bullish cycle.

分析师预测，XRP ETF可能会在最初的几个月内吸引超过50亿美元的流入，这可能会在短期内将XRP价格推向10美元，而在长时间的看涨周期中将XRP价格提高到20美元。

With growing institutional interest and positive regulatory momentum, XRP remains one of the top contenders for the next big ETF approval.

随着机构兴趣和积极的监管动力，XRP仍然是下一个大型ETF批准的最大竞争者之一。

The next major catalysts to watch include upcoming court rulings in the Ripple vs. S.E.C. case and further statements from S.E.C. Chair Gary Gensler on the regulatory framework for crypto-based ETFs.

要关注的下一个主要催化剂包括在Ripple与SEC案件中的法院裁决，以及SEC主席Gary Gensler在基于加密货币ETF的监管框架上的进一步陈述。

XRP Price Forecast 2025: Is $20 A Viable Target?

XRP价格预测2025：$ 20是可行的目标吗？

After retracing from a recent high of $3.10, XRP price is consolidating around $2.38, with technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts hinting at a potential move toward the $20 target by 2025.

从最近的3.10美元高点回来后，XRP价格汇总了2.38美元左右，XRP/USD每周图表上的技术指标暗示，到2025年，可能会朝着20美元的目标转移。

The Bollinger Bands on the monthly chart show an expansion phase, suggesting increased volatility, while the price remains above the midline support, indicating sustained bullish momentum.

每月图表上的布林乐队显示了一个扩展阶段，表明波动性的增加，而价格仍然高于中线支持，表明持续的看涨势头。

The MACD histogram continues to trend positively, confirming strong upward momentum, although the signal line crossing above 0.23 warrants caution.

MACD直方图继续积极趋势，确认了强大的向上动量，尽管信号线越过0.23的信号谨慎。

A bullish scenario unfolds if XRP reclaims the $2.57 resistance and sustains a monthly close above this level.

如果XRP收回2.57美元的抵抗力并每月保持在此级别上方，则表现出现。

This would confirm support at the upper Bollinger Band, paving the way for a continuation toward the next psychological resistance at $5, where historical selling pressure previously emerged.

这将确认上布林乐队的支持，为继续迈向下一个心理抵抗的道路铺平了道路5美元，而历史销售压力先前出现了。

If buying pressure sustains through 2024, a breakout above $5 could open the door for a parabolic rise, with Fibonacci extensions hinting at $10 and beyond, fueled by ETF speculation and surging institutional adoption.

如果购买压力在2024年持续到5美元以上的突破，则可以为抛物线寄生力上升打开大门，斐波那契的扩展名暗示了10美元及以后，而ETF猜测和机构采用飙升。

Conversely, a bearish divergence in MACD or a failure to hold $2.00 as support could signal a deeper correction.

相反，MACD中的看跌分歧或无法持有2.00美元的支撑，因为支撑可能表明更深层的校正。

A breakdown below $1.90 would expose XRP to further downside, potentially testing the $1.00 psychological floor before a renewed uptrend.

低于$ 1.90的细分将使XRP更加不利，可能在重新上涨之前测试$ 1.00的心理场所。

However, considering the current technical setup, the path of least resistance appears to be upward.

但是，考虑到当前的技术设置，阻力最小的路径似乎是向上的。

1. Can XRP price reach $20 if the SEC approves an ETF?

1。如果SEC批准ETF，XRP价格可以达到20美元吗？

Yes, XRP price could hit $20 if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves an XRP ETF and technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts show the key levels the token must cross for this to happen

是的，如果美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准XRP ETF和XRP/USD每周图表上的XRP ETF和技术指标，则XRP价格可能达到20美元。