Ripple（XRP）價格已在周五下跌至2.25美元，比最近達到的3.10美元下降了30％，當時美國SEC確認Grayscale在2月份確認XRP ETF申請。

XRP價格飆升了5％，以收回2.30美元的支持水平，此前美國證券交易委員會（SEC）可以將XRP歸類為商品

Ripple (XRP) price dropped to $2.3 on Friday, down 30% from a recent peak of $3.1, which was reached when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) confirmed crypto ETF filings by Grayscale in February.

Ripple（XRP）價格在周五下跌至2.3美元，比最近的3.1美元峰值下降了30％，這是在美國證券交易委員會（SEC）確認Grayscale在2月份確認Crypto ETF申請時達到的。

Key technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts show critical levels the token must cross to hit $20 if the ETF filings are approved.

XRP/USD每週圖表上的關鍵技術指標顯示，如果批准ETF文件，令牌必須交叉達到20美元。

What Happened?

發生了什麼？

Ripplle (XRP) price rose 5% to reclaim the $2.3 support level following reports that the S.E.C. could classify XRP as a commodity in its ongoing legal battle with Ripple Labs.

Ripplle（XRP）的價格上漲了5％，以收回2.3美元的支持水平，此前有報導稱，SEC可以將XRP歸類為與Ripple Labs正在進行的法律鬥爭中的商品。

This development is part of a potential settlement framework that could remove regulatory barriers surrounding XRP ETF approval.

這種發展是潛在的定居框架的一部分，該框架可以消除XRP ETF批准周圍的監管障礙。

Sources close to the negotiations said on March 14 that S.E.C. officials are discussing whether to treat XRP similarly to Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are already considered commodities under U.S. law.

接近談判的消息人士在3月14日表示，SEC官員正在討論是否對XRP進行類似的對待與比特幣和以太坊相似，這些比特幣和以太坊已經根據美國法律被視為商品。

If XRP secures commodity status, it could facilitate the approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund, a move that has driven speculation among investors.

如果XRP確保了商品地位，則可以促進XRP交易所交易基金的批准，這一舉動導致了投資者之間的投機。

Crypto market analysts noted that an official S.E.C. statement confirming XRP’s commodity classification could act as a catalyst for a major price rally.

加密市場分析師指出，確認XRP的商品分類的正式聲明可以成為主要價格集會的催化劑。

The last time similar speculation surfaced, XRP price surged from $0.90 to $3.1 in less than two months.

上一次類似的推測浮出水面時，XRP價格在不到兩個月的時間內從0.90美元上漲至3.1美元。

If the S.E.C. provides regulatory clarity soon, XRP could test resistance levels at $3.50 and $5 before eyeing a more ambitious target at $20.

如果SEC很快提供法規清晰度，XRP可以測試阻力水平為3.50美元和5美元，然後將更雄心勃勃的目標定為20美元。

When Could The US S.E.C. Approve An XRP ETF?

美國什麼時候可以批准XRP ETF？

The timeline for an XRP ETF approval depends on several key regulatory developments.

XRP ETF批准的時間表取決於幾個關鍵的監管發展。

The S.E.C. is currently reviewing multiple crypto ETF applications, including those for Ethereum and XRP, amid increasing pressure from institutional investors seeking diversified exposure to digital assets.

SEC目前正在審查多個加密ETF應用程序，包括用於以太坊和XRP的應用程序，這在尋求多元化數字資產的機構投資者的壓力增加了。

Industry experts predict that an XRP ETF could gain approval in late Q3 or early Q4 of 2025, depending on how Ripple’s legal battle unfolds.

行業專家預測，XRP ETF可以在2025年第三季度或第四季度初獲得批准，這取決於Ripple的法律戰爭的發展。

If Ripple successfully secures commodity status for XRP and resolves the S.E.C. lawsuit through a settlement, the regulatory pathway for an XRP ETF could become significantly clearer.

如果Ripple成功地確保了XRP的商品狀況並通過解決方案解決SEC訴訟，則XRP ETF的監管途徑可能會變得更加清晰。

Historically, the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 triggered a wave of institutional inflows that pushed BTC price to new all-time highs.

從歷史上看，2024年1月的現貨比特幣ETF的認可引發了一波機構流入，將BTC價格推向了新的歷史高位。

A similar scenario could unfold for XRP if the S.E.C. greenlights a dedicated ETF product.

如果SEC Greenlight是專用的ETF產品，則可以為XRP展開類似的情況。

Analysts project that an XRP ETF could attract over $5 billion in inflows within the first few months, potentially pushing XRP price toward $10 in the short term and $20 in a prolonged bullish cycle.

分析師預測，XRP ETF可能會在最初的幾個月內吸引超過50億美元的流入，這可能會在短期內將XRP價格推向10美元，而在長時間的看漲週期中將XRP價格提高到20美元。

With growing institutional interest and positive regulatory momentum, XRP remains one of the top contenders for the next big ETF approval.

隨著機構興趣和積極的監管動力，XRP仍然是下一個大型ETF批准的最大競爭者之一。

The next major catalysts to watch include upcoming court rulings in the Ripple vs. S.E.C. case and further statements from S.E.C. Chair Gary Gensler on the regulatory framework for crypto-based ETFs.

要關注的下一個主要催化劑包括在Ripple與SEC案件中的法院裁決，以及SEC主席Gary Gensler在基於加密貨幣ETF的監管框架上的進一步陳述。

XRP Price Forecast 2025: Is $20 A Viable Target?

XRP價格預測2025：$ 20是可行的目標嗎？

After retracing from a recent high of $3.10, XRP price is consolidating around $2.38, with technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts hinting at a potential move toward the $20 target by 2025.

從最近的3.10美元高點回來後，XRP價格匯總了2.38美元左右，XRP/USD每週圖表上的技術指標暗示，到2025年，可能會朝著20美元的目標轉移。

The Bollinger Bands on the monthly chart show an expansion phase, suggesting increased volatility, while the price remains above the midline support, indicating sustained bullish momentum.

每月圖表上的布林樂隊顯示了一個擴展階段，表明波動性的增加，而價格仍然高於中線支持，表明持續的看漲勢頭。

The MACD histogram continues to trend positively, confirming strong upward momentum, although the signal line crossing above 0.23 warrants caution.

MACD直方圖繼續積極趨勢，確認了強大的向上動量，儘管信號線越過0.23的信號謹慎。

A bullish scenario unfolds if XRP reclaims the $2.57 resistance and sustains a monthly close above this level.

如果XRP收回2.57美元的抵抗力並每月保持在此級別上方，則表現出現。

This would confirm support at the upper Bollinger Band, paving the way for a continuation toward the next psychological resistance at $5, where historical selling pressure previously emerged.

這將確認上布林樂隊的支持，為繼續邁向下一個心理抵抗的道路鋪平了道路5美元，而歷史銷售壓力先前出現了。

If buying pressure sustains through 2024, a breakout above $5 could open the door for a parabolic rise, with Fibonacci extensions hinting at $10 and beyond, fueled by ETF speculation and surging institutional adoption.

如果購買壓力在2024年持續到5美元以上的突破，則可以為拋物線寄生力上升打開大門，斐波那契的擴展名暗示了10美元及以後，而ETF猜測和機構採用飆升。

Conversely, a bearish divergence in MACD or a failure to hold $2.00 as support could signal a deeper correction.

相反，MACD中的看跌分歧或無法持有2.00美元的支撐，因為支撐可能表明更深層的校正。

A breakdown below $1.90 would expose XRP to further downside, potentially testing the $1.00 psychological floor before a renewed uptrend.

低於$ 1.90的細分將使XRP更加不利，可能在重新上漲之前測試$ 1.00的心理場所。

However, considering the current technical setup, the path of least resistance appears to be upward.

但是，考慮到當前的技術設置，阻力最小的路徑似乎是向上的。

1. Can XRP price reach $20 if the SEC approves an ETF?

1。如果SEC批准ETF，XRP價格可以達到20美元嗎？

Yes, XRP price could hit $20 if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves an XRP ETF and technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts show the key levels the token must cross for this to happen

是的，如果美國證券交易委員會（SEC）批准XRP ETF和XRP/USD每週圖表上的XRP ETF和技術指標，則XRP價格可能達到20美元。