Ripple Labs（XRP）和SEC长期进行的法律摊牌最终可能达到决定性的转折点

法律专家弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）已将新的关注点推向2025年4月16日，这是XRP未来和更广泛的加密监管景观的潜在关键日。

A long-running legal showdown between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may finally reach a decisive turning point. Legal expert Fred Rispoli has brought fresh attention to April 16, 2025, marking it as a potentially pivotal day for the future of XRP and the broader crypto regulatory landscape.

Ripple Labs与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）之间的长期法律摊牌最终可能达到决定性的转折点。法律专家弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）已将新的关注点推向2025年4月16日，这是XRP未来和更广泛的加密监管景观的潜在关键日。

According to Rispoli, the upcoming deadline leaves Ripple with only two critical paths: file an appellate brief or publicly declare a settlement or withdraw the appeal altogether. No extensions are possible, making this a zero-hour moment for the ongoing legal saga.

根据Rispoli的说法，即将到来的截止日期仅留下了两条关键途径：提交上诉摘要或公开宣布和解或完全撤回上诉。不可能扩展，这对于正在进行的法律传奇来说是零小时的时刻。

90% Chance of Settlement or Withdrawal

90％的解决或提款的机会

In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter), Rispoli placed a 90% probability on Ripple choosing to settle or withdraw, leaving only a 10% chance that the firm proceeds with filing its appellate brief. The numbers underscore growing speculation that behind-the-scenes negotiations between Ripple and the SEC may be more advanced than previously believed.

在X（以前是Twitter）上的一篇文章中，Rispoli在Ripple选择定居或撤离的情况下提出了90％的概率，该公司只有10％的机会进行上诉摘要。这些数字强调了不断增长的猜测，即波纹和SEC之间的幕后谈判可能比以前认为的要高。

This dramatic shift in sentiment has already stirred up the XRP community, fueling renewed debates and optimism about a long-awaited resolution. The possibility of Ripple closing this chapter has led to increased investor interest and speculation on how a final decision could impact XRP’s market trajectory.

这种情绪上的这种戏剧性转变已经激发了XRP社区，激发了人们对期待已久的决议的乐观辩论。涟漪结束本章的可能性导致投资者的兴趣增加，并猜测最终决定如何影响XRP的市场轨迹。

Legal Pressure Builds as Deadline Nears

法律压力随着截止日期的临近而建立

The uniqueness of this moment lies in the lack of any extension options. The SEC case has seen multiple delays and procedural twists, but April 16 stands as an immovable marker. Ripple’s legal team must make a clear choice: either move forward with a potentially risky and prolonged appellate fight or finalize a resolution that could put an end to years of regulatory uncertainty.

这一刻的独特性在于缺乏任何扩展选项。 SEC案件已经发生了多次延误和程序上的扭曲，但4月16日是不可移动的标记。 Ripple的法律团队必须做出明确的选择：要么以潜在的风险和长期的上诉斗争前进，要么最终确定可能终止监管不确定性的决议。

The community is watching closely, and analysts predict that any positive outcome—especially a settlement without XRP being classified as a security—could send bullish signals across the crypto market. Conversely, a drawn-out appeal process could continue to weigh on Ripple’s progress and market positioning.

社区正在密切关注，分析师预测，任何积极的结果（尤其是没有XRP被归类为安全的解决方案）都可以在加密货币市场上发送看涨信号。相反，引人入胜的上诉过程可能会继续权衡波纹的进步和市场定位。

What’s at Stake for XRP Investors

XRP投资者有什么风险

Beyond legal technicalities, the outcome on April 16 carries significant implications for XRP’s price, mainstream adoption, and global crypto policy. With the SEC intensifying its scrutiny of other altcoins, the Ripple case remains a regulatory litmus test that could set precedence for future crypto enforcement.

除法律技术外，4月16日的结果对XRP的价格，主流采用和全球加密政策产生了重大影响。随着SEC对其他Altcoins的审查进行了审查，Ripple案仍然是一项监管石站测试，可以为将来的加密执法设定优先。

For XRP investors, this deadline represents more than just a court date—it’s a moment of truth that could redefine the token’s future and ripple across the broader Web3 ecosystem.

对于XRP投资者而言，此截止日期不仅代表了开庭日期 - 这是一个真实的时刻，可以重新定义令牌的未来和在更广泛的Web3生态系统中的涟漪。